15800 F M RD 969 TX 78724
| Owner | MAHLER DAVID B |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0202500266 |
| Short ID | 425519 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,064 SF |
| Land SF | 2,292,127 SF |
| Acres | 52.620 |
| Year Built | 1983 |
| Legal | ABS 5 SUR 33 BURLESON J ACR 52.120 (1-d-1w) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $3,355,097 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $3,355,097 |
| Improvement | $10,598 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $10,598 |
| Market | $3,365,695 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $3,365,695 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$3,352,293 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $13,402 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$5,000 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $8,402 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +70077.1% from $4,796 (2021) to $3,365,695 (2025), a CAGR of 414.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6462% in 2025 (-0.0044% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $138. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($13,402) is $3,352,293 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($3,355,097 land vs $10,598 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~43-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $3,365,695, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +578.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $48,249,736,106 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $293. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
2 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,064 SF | ✓ |
| 121 | WATER/SEWER INF | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425519 | MAHLER DAVID B | 15800 F M RD 969 78724 | $3,764,248 | $13,971 | $8,971 |
| 441772 | MAHLER DAVID B | 0.000 | — | — | — |
Market value changed by 82% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $53.88 | $53.88 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $31.58 | $31.58 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $13.40 | $13.40 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $9.91 | $9.91 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $8.69 | $8.69 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8760% | 1.8002% | 1.6049% | 1.6506% | 1.6462% | -0.0044% | $117.46 | $117.46 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,764,248 | $3,365,695 | +11.8% |
| Assessed Value | $13,971 | $13,402 | +4.2% |
| Land Value | $3,756,640 | $3,355,097 | +12.0% |
| Improvement Value | $7,608 | $10,598 | -28.2% |
| Taxable Value | $8,971 | $8,402 | +6.8% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$3,750,277 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$148
Estimated
|
~$117
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,764,248 | $3,764,248 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $8,971 | $8,971 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,764,248 | $3,756,640 | $7,608 | −$3,750,277 | $13,971 | $8,971 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $3,365,695 | $3,355,097 | $10,598 | −$3,352,293 | $13,402 | $8,402 | ~$117 | Partial |
| 2024 | $22,564 | — | — | −$4,778 | $17,786 | $— | $96 | Verified |
| 2023 | $16,182 | — | — | −$4,216 | $11,966 | $— | $96 | Verified |
| 2022 | $10,795 | — | — | — | $11,966 ! | $— | $104 | Verified |
| 2021 | $4,796 | — | — | — | $6,579 ! | $— | $104 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | — | — | Not available | — |
| 2025 | +80.0% ! | +21.1% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +48.6% | -8.7% | 0.2% | 0.0100% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +81.9% ! | +1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0100% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.8% | 2.1700% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +386.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +11.8% | +3008.5% | +563.7% | +14816.2% | 2025 | +11.8% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.4% | 66.9% | — | 137.2% | 2021 | 0.4% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$117 | $103 | ~$263 | $117 | 2025 | $96 | 2024 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$22,822,268 | ~$14,742 | ~1.5887% | ~$234 | +578.1% |
| 2027 | ~$154,754,338 | ~$16,216 | ~1.5313% | ~$248 | +4498.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,049,365,709 | ~$17,838 | ~1.4738% | ~$263 | +31078.3% |
| 2029 | ~$7,115,589,825 | ~$19,622 | ~1.4164% | ~$278 | +211315.2% |
| 2030 | ~$48,249,736,106 | ~$21,584 | ~1.3589% | ~$293 | +1433474.2% |
| 2026 | ~$22,754,954 | ~$14,742 | ~1.6462% | ~$243 | +576.1% |
| 2027 | ~$153,842,793 | ~$16,216 | ~1.6462% | ~$267 | +4470.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,040,107,809 | ~$17,838 | ~1.6462% | ~$294 | +30803.2% |
| 2029 | ~$7,032,011,249 | ~$19,622 | ~1.6462% | ~$323 | +208831.9% |
| 2030 | ~$47,542,362,225 | ~$21,584 | ~1.6462% | ~$355 | +1412457.1% |
| 2026 | ~$22,889,582 | ~$14,742 | ~1.5600% | ~$230 | +580.1% |
| 2027 | ~$155,668,575 | ~$16,216 | ~1.4738% | ~$239 | +4525.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,058,678,383 | ~$17,838 | ~1.3876% | ~$248 | +31355.0% |
| 2029 | ~$7,199,911,223 | ~$19,622 | ~1.3015% | ~$255 | +213820.5% |
| 2030 | ~$48,965,504,950 | ~$21,584 | ~1.2153% | ~$262 | +1454740.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $3,365,695 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 6× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3,365,695 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $22,564 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $16,182 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $10,795 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $4,796 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.