15117 DECKER LAKE RD TX 78653
| Owner | MERKEL DAVINA & KEITH |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0210501014 |
| Short ID | 525447 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,079 SF |
| Land SF | 588,844 SF |
| Acres | 13.518 |
| Year Built | 2003 |
| Legal | ABS 60 SUR 40 BUCKMAN O ACR 12.5180 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $544,263 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $544,263 |
| Improvement | $240,790 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $240,790 |
| Market | $785,053 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $785,053 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$503,357 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $281,696 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$197,108 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $84,588 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +369.2% from $167,300 (2021) to $785,053 (2025), a CAGR of 47.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6462% in 2025 (-0.0044% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,392. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 40.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($281,696) is $503,357 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 69% of market value ($544,263 land vs $240,790 improvements), about $1/SF of land. Land and improvements both carry meaningful weight; value is balanced between the structure and its site.
Submarket Position: At $785,053, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +44.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $4,929,795 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $6,165. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
2 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 051 | CARPORT DET 1ST | 1,172 SF | ✗ |
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 288 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 525447 | MERKEL DAVINA & KEITH | 15209 DECKER LAKE RD MANOR 78653 | $275,595 | $275,595 | $75,207 |
| 567159 | MERKEL DAVINA & KEITH | 0.000 | $555,296 | $12,316 | $12,316 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $317.92 | $317.92 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $281.70 | $281.70 | Paid |
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $116.32 | $116.32 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $50.29 | $50.29 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $12.67 | $12.67 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8760% | 1.8002% | 1.6049% | 1.6506% | 1.6462% | -0.0044% | $778.90 | $778.90 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $830,891 | $785,053 | +5.8% |
| Assessed Value | $287,911 | $281,696 | +2.2% |
| Land Value | $644,317 | $544,263 | +18.4% |
| Improvement Value | $186,574 | $240,790 | -22.5% |
| Taxable Value | $87,523 | $84,588 | +3.5% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$542,980 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,441
Estimated
|
~$779
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $830,891 | $830,891 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $89,572 | $87,523 | -2,049 (-2.3%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $830,891 | $644,317 | $186,574 | −$542,980 | $287,911 | $87,523 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $785,053 | $544,263 | $240,790 | −$503,357 | $281,696 | $84,588 | ~$779 | Partial |
| 2024 | $514,348 | — | — | −$468,555 | $45,793 | $— | $1,404 | Verified |
| 2023 | $520,664 | — | — | −$511,664 | $9,000 | $— | $1,349 | Verified |
| 2022 | $260,700 | — | — | −$251,700 | $9,000 | $— | $2,443 | Verified |
| 2021 | $167,300 | — | — | −$158,300 | $9,000 | $— | $2,424 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +9.0% | +0.5% | 2.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +1.1% | 2.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +14.0% | -0.5% | 2.4% | 0.1500% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.4% | 2.7% | 0.1400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +11.8% | -93.4% | 2.7% | 0.2500% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 46.0% | 1.4500% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +27.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +5.8% | +42.5% | +42.8% | +99.7% | 2023 | -1.2% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 34.7% | 15.0% | — | 35.9% | 2025 | 1.7% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0400% | 0.0400% | — | 0.0400% | 2025 | 0.0400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$779 | $1,680 | ~$5,535 | $2,443 | 2022 | $779 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,133,666 | ~$309,866 | ~1.5887% | ~$4,923 | +44.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,637,084 | ~$340,852 | ~1.5313% | ~$5,219 | +108.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,364,051 | ~$374,937 | ~1.4738% | ~$5,526 | +201.1% |
| 2029 | ~$3,413,838 | ~$412,431 | ~1.4164% | ~$5,841 | +334.9% |
| 2030 | ~$4,929,795 | ~$453,674 | ~1.3589% | ~$6,165 | +528.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,117,965 | ~$309,866 | ~1.6462% | ~$5,101 | +42.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,592,051 | ~$340,852 | ~1.6462% | ~$5,611 | +102.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,267,181 | ~$374,937 | ~1.6462% | ~$6,172 | +188.8% |
| 2029 | ~$3,228,607 | ~$412,431 | ~1.6462% | ~$6,789 | +311.3% |
| 2030 | ~$4,597,738 | ~$453,674 | ~1.6462% | ~$7,468 | +485.7% |
| 2026 | ~$1,149,367 | ~$309,866 | ~1.5600% | ~$4,834 | +46.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,682,745 | ~$340,852 | ~1.4738% | ~$5,024 | +114.3% |
| 2028 | ~$2,463,643 | ~$374,937 | ~1.3876% | ~$5,203 | +213.8% |
| 2029 | ~$3,606,928 | ~$412,431 | ~1.3015% | ~$5,368 | +359.5% |
| 2030 | ~$5,280,767 | ~$453,674 | ~1.2153% | ~$5,513 | +572.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $785,053 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +31% above the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $785,053 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $514,348 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $520,664 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $260,700 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $167,300 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.