2907 E M L KING JR BLVD TX 78702
| Owner | AJN 2915 MLK L P |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0212120901 |
| Short ID | 204239 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 11,195 SF |
| Acres | 0.257 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | .257 AC OF OLT 28 DIVISION B |
| Neighborhood | 48CEN |
| Land | $356,558 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $356,558 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $356,558 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $356,558 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$63,160 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $293,398 |
| Taxable Value | $293,398 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +75.0% from $203,748 (2021) to $356,558 (2025), a CAGR of 15.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.0465% in 2025 (+0.0647% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,004. Austin ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($293,398) is $63,160 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($356,558 land vs $0 improvements), about $32/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $356,558, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +15.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $717,672 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,519. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 100% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 1.0617% | 0.9966% | 0.8595% | 0.9505% | 0.9252% | -0.0253% | $2,714.52 | $2,714.52 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,537.46 | $1,537.46 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,102.72 | $1,102.72 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $346.28 | $346.28 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $303.37 | $303.37 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1767% | 1.9749% | 1.8092% | 1.9818% | 2.0465% | +0.0647% | $6,004.35 | $6,004.35 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $356,558 | $356,558 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $352,078 | $293,398 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $356,558 | $356,558 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $352,078 | $293,398 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$4,480 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$7,205
Estimated
|
~$6,004
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $356,558 | $356,558 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $352,078 | $352,078 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $356,558 | $356,558 | — | −$4,480 | $352,078 | $352,078 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $356,558 | $356,558 | — | −$63,160 | $293,398 | $293,398 | ~$6,004 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $356,558 | $— | $4,845 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $407,495 | $— | $3,686 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $203,748 | $— | $4,024 | Verified |
| 2021 | $203,748 | — | — | — | $203,748 | $— | $4,435 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 98.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 82.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -12.5% | -40.0% | 68.6% | 1.3600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +100.0% ! | +100.0% | ~100% | 0.9000% | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.9700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.1800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +75.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +37.5% | +15.0% | +75.0% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 98.7% | 93.7% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 82.3% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6800% | 1.6800% | — | 1.6800% | 2025 | 1.6800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$6,004 | $5,220 | ~$10,731 | $6,004 | 2025 | $4,435 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$410,100 | ~$410,100 | ~2.0139% | ~$8,259 | +15.0% |
| 2027 | ~$471,681 | ~$471,681 | ~1.9814% | ~$9,346 | +32.3% |
| 2028 | ~$542,510 | ~$542,510 | ~1.9488% | ~$10,573 | +52.2% |
| 2029 | ~$623,975 | ~$623,975 | ~1.9163% | ~$11,957 | +75.0% |
| 2030 | ~$717,672 | ~$717,672 | ~1.8837% | ~$13,519 | +101.3% |
| 2026 | ~$402,968 | ~$402,968 | ~2.0465% | ~$8,247 | +13.0% |
| 2027 | ~$455,420 | ~$455,420 | ~2.0465% | ~$9,320 | +27.7% |
| 2028 | ~$514,698 | ~$514,698 | ~2.0465% | ~$10,533 | +44.4% |
| 2029 | ~$581,693 | ~$581,693 | ~2.0465% | ~$11,904 | +63.1% |
| 2030 | ~$657,408 | ~$657,408 | ~2.0465% | ~$13,454 | +84.4% |
| 2026 | ~$417,231 | ~$417,231 | ~1.9977% | ~$8,335 | +17.0% |
| 2027 | ~$488,228 | ~$488,228 | ~1.9488% | ~$9,515 | +36.9% |
| 2028 | ~$571,306 | ~$571,306 | ~1.9000% | ~$10,855 | +60.2% |
| 2029 | ~$668,521 | ~$668,521 | ~1.8512% | ~$12,376 | +87.5% |
| 2030 | ~$782,278 | ~$782,278 | ~1.8024% | ~$14,100 | +119.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $356,558 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $356,558 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $203,748 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.