20301 HOG EYE RD TX 78653
| Owner | MALLETT CARL & PATRICIA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0218800402 |
| Short ID | 214451 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,779 SF |
| Land SF | 584,096 SF |
| Acres | 13.409 |
| Year Built | 1965 |
| Legal | ABS 438 SUR 35 JENNINGS G C ACR 12.409 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN307 |
| Land | $610,559 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $610,559 |
| Improvement | $201,888 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $201,888 |
| Market | $812,447 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $812,447 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$585,753 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $226,694 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$188,296 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $38,398 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +354.4% from $178,782 (2021) to $812,447 (2025), a CAGR of 46.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $683. Travis County ESD # 12 is the largest single contributor, at 44.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($226,694) is $585,753 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 75% of market value ($610,559 land vs $201,888 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~61-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $812,447, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +64.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $9,765,781 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,365. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,779 SF | ✓ |
| 512 | DECK UNCOVRED | 160 SF | ✗ |
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 160 SF | ✓ |
| 612 | TERRACE UNCOVERD | 60 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 50 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 302 | BARN FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214451 | MALLETT CARL & PATRICIA | 20301 HOG EYE RD 78653 | $208,963 | $208,963 | $21,901 |
| 459816 | MALLETT CARL & PATRICIA | 0.000 | $578,148 | $1,323 | $1,323 |
Market value changed by 140% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $226.69 | $226.69 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $144.32 | $144.32 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $119.43 | $119.43 | Paid |
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $14.21 | $14.21 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.55 | $1.55 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $506.20 | $506.20 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $787,111 | $812,447 | -3.1% |
| Assessed Value | $210,286 | $226,694 | -7.2% |
| Land Value | $624,739 | $610,559 | +2.3% |
| Improvement Value | $162,372 | $201,888 | -19.6% |
| Taxable Value | $23,224 | $38,398 | -39.5% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$576,825 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$413
Estimated
|
~$506
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $787,111 | $787,111 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $25,273 | $23,224 | -2,049 (-8.1%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $787,111 | $624,739 | $162,372 | −$576,825 | $210,286 | $23,224 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $812,447 | $610,559 | $201,888 | −$585,753 | $226,694 | $38,398 | ~$506 | Partial |
| 2024 | $310,959 | — | — | −$265,425 | $45,534 | $— | $1,154 | Verified |
| 2023 | $290,733 | — | — | −$271,780 | $18,953 | $— | $1,185 | Verified |
| 2022 | $182,746 | — | — | −$163,793 | $18,953 | $— | $2,902 | Verified |
| 2021 | $178,782 | — | — | −$165,490 | $13,292 | $— | $2,874 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +2.3% | +0.7% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +1.3% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +140.3% ! | -0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1500% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -3.6% | 0.6% | 0.2200% | Verified |
| 2022 | +28.7% | -99.2% | 0.6% | 0.5500% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 90.3% | 1.6100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +209.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -3.1% | +45.3% | +65.5% | +161.3% | 2025 | -3.1% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 26.7% | 15.6% | — | 27.9% | 2025 | 6.5% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$506 | $1,724 | ~$4,815 | $2,902 | 2022 | $506 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,335,911 | ~$249,363 | ~1.7168% | ~$4,281 | +64.4% |
| 2027 | ~$2,196,645 | ~$274,300 | ~1.6550% | ~$4,540 | +170.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,611,954 | ~$301,730 | ~1.5932% | ~$4,807 | +344.6% |
| 2029 | ~$5,939,154 | ~$331,903 | ~1.5314% | ~$5,083 | +631.0% |
| 2030 | ~$9,765,781 | ~$365,093 | ~1.4695% | ~$5,365 | +1102.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,319,662 | ~$249,363 | ~1.7787% | ~$4,435 | +62.4% |
| 2027 | ~$2,143,533 | ~$274,300 | ~1.7787% | ~$4,879 | +163.8% |
| 2028 | ~$3,481,752 | ~$301,730 | ~1.7787% | ~$5,367 | +328.6% |
| 2029 | ~$5,655,427 | ~$331,903 | ~1.7787% | ~$5,903 | +596.1% |
| 2030 | ~$9,186,139 | ~$365,093 | ~1.7787% | ~$6,494 | +1030.7% |
| 2026 | ~$1,352,160 | ~$249,363 | ~1.6859% | ~$4,204 | +66.4% |
| 2027 | ~$2,250,406 | ~$274,300 | ~1.5932% | ~$4,370 | +177.0% |
| 2028 | ~$3,745,362 | ~$301,730 | ~1.5004% | ~$4,527 | +361.0% |
| 2029 | ~$6,233,425 | ~$331,903 | ~1.4077% | ~$4,672 | +667.2% |
| 2030 | ~$10,374,321 | ~$365,093 | ~1.3150% | ~$4,801 | +1176.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $812,447 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +36% above the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $812,447 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $310,959 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $290,733 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $182,746 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $178,782 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.