BLAKE-MANOR RD TX 78653
| Owner | OBAWOLE OLA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0227670139 |
| Short ID | 737838 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 361,340 SF |
| Acres | 8.295 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 2 BLK 1 BLAKE MANOR GARDENS |
| Neighborhood | _RGN307 |
| Land | $526,179 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $526,179 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $526,179 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $526,179 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$147,077 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $379,102 |
| Taxable Value | $379,102 |
|---|
| Total Due | $11,682.09 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | 2024 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +215.7% from $166,688 (2021) to $526,179 (2025), a CAGR of 33.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,743. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($379,102) is $147,077 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($526,179 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $526,179, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +33.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,213,961 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $32,535. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $11,682.09 in unpaid taxes since 2024. These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +119 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +38 |
| Austin Community College | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +8 |
| Manor ISD | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0 |
| Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
Market value changed by 100% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $4,099.61 | $— | $4,099.61 |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,424.84 | $— | $1,424.84 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $447.43 | $— | $447.43 |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $391.99 | $— | $391.99 |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $379.10 | $— | $379.10 |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $6,742.97 | $0.00 | $6,742.97 |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $485,468 | $526,179 | -7.7% |
| Assessed Value | $454,922 | $379,102 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $485,468 | $526,179 | -7.7% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $454,922 | $379,102 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$30,546 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$8,092
Estimated
|
$6,743 | ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $485,468 | $485,468 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $454,922 | $454,922 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $485,468 | $485,468 | — | −$30,546 | $454,922 | $454,922 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $526,179 | $526,179 | — | −$147,077 | $379,102 | $379,102 | $6,743 | Verified |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $526,179 | $— | $5,482 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $263,265 | $— | $4,445 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $263,265 | $— | $5,180 | Verified |
| 2021 | $166,688 | — | — | — | $166,688 | $— | $3,377 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -7.7% | +20.0% | 93.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 72.0% | 1.2800% | Verified |
| 2024 | +99.9% ! | +20.0% | 60.0% | 1.0400% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.6900% | Verified |
| 2022 | +57.9% | +57.9% | ~100% | 1.9700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.0300% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +215.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -7.7% | +104.0% | +35.5% | +215.7% | 2025 | -7.7% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 93.7% | 88.6% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 72.0% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.2800% | 1.2800% | — | 1.2800% | 2025 | 1.2800% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $6,743 | $5,060 | ~$21,067 | $6,743 | 2025 | $3,377 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$701,360 | ~$701,360 | ~1.7168% | ~$12,041 | +33.3% |
| 2027 | ~$934,863 | ~$934,863 | ~1.6550% | ~$15,472 | +77.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,246,107 | ~$1,246,107 | ~1.5932% | ~$19,853 | +136.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,660,973 | ~$1,660,973 | ~1.5314% | ~$25,435 | +215.7% |
| 2030 | ~$2,213,961 | ~$2,213,961 | ~1.4695% | ~$32,535 | +320.8% |
| 2026 | ~$690,836 | ~$690,836 | ~1.7787% | ~$12,288 | +31.3% |
| 2027 | ~$907,019 | ~$907,019 | ~1.7787% | ~$16,133 | +72.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,190,853 | ~$1,190,853 | ~1.7787% | ~$21,181 | +126.3% |
| 2029 | ~$1,563,506 | ~$1,563,506 | ~1.7787% | ~$27,810 | +197.1% |
| 2030 | ~$2,052,774 | ~$2,052,774 | ~1.7787% | ~$36,512 | +290.1% |
| 2026 | ~$711,883 | ~$711,883 | ~1.6859% | ~$12,002 | +35.3% |
| 2027 | ~$963,128 | ~$963,128 | ~1.5932% | ~$15,344 | +83.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,303,045 | ~$1,303,045 | ~1.5004% | ~$19,551 | +147.6% |
| 2029 | ~$1,762,928 | ~$1,762,928 | ~1.4077% | ~$24,817 | +235.0% |
| 2030 | ~$2,385,118 | ~$2,385,118 | ~1.3150% | ~$31,363 | +353.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $526,179 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 6× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $526,179 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $166,688 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.