2903 FERGUSON LN TX 78754
| Owner | BST 2903 FERGUSON LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0233280217 |
| Short ID | 702211 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 61 Warehouse (<20,000 SF) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 15,000 SF |
| Land SF | 145,578 SF |
| Acres | 3.342 |
| Year Built | 2005 |
| Legal | LOT 15-A BLK E WALNUT CK BUSINESS PK PH C AMD LT 16&17< 15 BL E AMD |
| Neighborhood | 61NEA |
| Land | $524,079 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $524,079 |
| Improvement | $1,406,938 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $1,406,938 |
| Market | $1,931,017 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,931,017 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,931,017 |
| Taxable Value | $1,931,017 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +3.7% from $1,861,700 (2021) to $1,931,017 (2025), a CAGR of 0.9% over 4 years. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has lagged the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $42,534. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 49.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 27% of market value ($524,079 land vs $1,406,938 improvements), about $4/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~21 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $1,931,017, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +0.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,021,304 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $37,845. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 45,400 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 15,000 SF | ✓ |
| 491 | SPRINKLER HEADS | 15,000 SF | ✗ |
| 881 | COMMCL FINISHOUT | 2,400 SF | ✓ |
| 408 | LOADING RAMP | 600 SF | ✓ |
| 482 | LIGHT POLES | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 413 | STAIRWAY EXT | 1 SF | ✓ |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $20,882.02 | $20,882.02 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $10,118.86 | $10,118.86 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $7,257.63 | $7,257.63 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,279.04 | $2,279.04 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1,996.67 | $1,996.67 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $42,534.22 | $42,534.22 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,459,229 | $1,931,017 | +27.4% |
| Assessed Value | $2,317,220 | $1,931,017 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $524,079 | $524,079 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $1,935,150 | $1,406,938 | +37.5% |
| Taxable Value | $2,317,220 | $1,931,017 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$142,009 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$51,041
Estimated
|
~$42,534
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,459,229 | $2,459,229 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $2,317,220 | $2,317,220 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,459,229 | $524,079 | $1,935,150 | −$142,009 | $2,317,220 | $2,317,220 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,931,017 | $524,079 | $1,406,938 | — | $1,931,017 | $1,931,017 | ~$42,534 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,933,725 | — | — | −$1,409,646 | $524,079 | $— | $31,242 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,692,814 | — | — | −$1,168,735 | $524,079 | $— | $39,368 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,754,313 | — | — | −$1,361,254 | $393,059 | $— | $39,448 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,861,700 | — | — | −$1,468,640 | $393,060 | $— | $43,279 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +27.4% | +20.0% | 94.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +30.6% | +30.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -23.5% | -23.5% | ~100% | 2.1100% | Verified |
| 2023 | +14.2% | +14.2% | ~100% | 2.0400% | Verified |
| 2022 | -3.5% | -3.5% | ~100% | 2.3300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.3200% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +10.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +27.4% | +6.4% | -3.4% | +27.4% | 2026 | -5.8% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 94.2% | 49.3% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 21.1% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.2000% | 2.2000% | — | 2.2000% | 2025 | 2.2000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$42,534 | $39,174 | ~$39,762 | $43,279 | 2021 | $31,242 | 2024 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,948,746 | ~$1,948,746 | ~2.1366% | ~$41,637 | +0.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,966,637 | ~$1,966,637 | ~2.0705% | ~$40,720 | +1.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,984,693 | ~$1,984,693 | ~2.0045% | ~$39,782 | +2.8% |
| 2029 | ~$2,002,915 | ~$2,002,915 | ~1.9384% | ~$38,824 | +3.7% |
| 2030 | ~$2,021,304 | ~$2,021,304 | ~1.8723% | ~$37,845 | +4.7% |
| 2026 | ~$1,910,125 | ~$1,910,125 | ~2.2027% | ~$42,074 | -1.1% |
| 2027 | ~$1,889,460 | ~$1,889,460 | ~2.2027% | ~$41,619 | -2.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,869,018 | ~$1,869,018 | ~2.2027% | ~$41,169 | -3.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,848,797 | ~$1,848,797 | ~2.2027% | ~$40,723 | -4.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,828,795 | ~$1,828,795 | ~2.2027% | ~$40,283 | -5.3% |
| 2026 | ~$1,987,366 | ~$1,987,366 | ~2.1036% | ~$41,806 | +2.9% |
| 2027 | ~$2,045,360 | ~$2,045,360 | ~2.0045% | ~$40,999 | +5.9% |
| 2028 | ~$2,105,045 | ~$2,105,045 | ~1.9054% | ~$40,109 | +9.0% |
| 2029 | ~$2,166,473 | ~$2,166,473 | ~1.8062% | ~$39,132 | +12.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,229,693 | ~$2,229,693 | ~1.7071% | ~$38,064 | +15.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,931,017 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — +36% above the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,931,017 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↑ Above median | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $1,933,725 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,692,814 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↑ Above median | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $1,754,313 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↑ Above median | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $1,861,700 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.