15105 E U S HY 290 TX 78653
| Owner | JKR REALTY PARTNERS LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0234800540 |
| Short ID | 724205 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 441,829 SF |
| Acres | 10.143 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 154 SUR 52 CALDWELL A C ACR 10.143 |
| Neighborhood | 1FE3 |
| Land | $2,209,145 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,209,145 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,750,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,750,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,750,000 |
| Taxable Value | $1,750,000 |
|---|
| Total Due | $52,976.41 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | — |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +6065.2% from $28,385 (2021) to $1,750,000 (2025), a CAGR of 180.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.6324% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $46,066. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 41.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 126% of market value ($2,209,145 land vs $0 improvements), about $5/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,750,000, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +180.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $302,325,296 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $67,979. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $52,976.41 in unpaid taxes . These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 9,600 SF | ✗ |
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +550 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +176 |
| Austin Community College | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +37 |
| Manor ISD | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0 |
| City of Manor | 0.8537% | 0.8537% | +0 |
| Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
Market value changed by 379% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $18,924.50 | $— | $18,924.50 |
| CMA City of Manor | 0.7827% | 0.7470% | 0.6789% | 0.8537% | 0.8537% | +0.0000% | $14,939.75 | $— | $14,939.75 |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $6,577.29 | $— | $6,577.29 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,065.40 | $— | $2,065.40 |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1,809.50 | $— | $1,809.50 |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1,750.00 | $— | $1,750.00 |
| Combined Rate | 2.8087% | 2.7146% | 2.3671% | 2.5888% | 2.6324% | +0.0436% | $46,066.44 | $0.00 | $46,066.44 |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,750,000 | $1,750,000 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $1,750,000 | $1,750,000 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $2,209,145 | $2,209,145 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,750,000 | $1,750,000 | +0.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$46,066
Estimated
|
$46,066 | ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,750,000 | $1,750,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $1,750,000 | $1,750,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,750,000 | $2,209,145 | — | — | $1,750,000 | $1,750,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,750,000 | $2,209,145 | — | — | $1,750,000 | $1,750,000 | $46,066 | Verified |
| 2024 | $2,233,521 | — | — | −$483,521 | $1,750,000 | $— | $45,304 | Verified |
| 2023 | $466,205 | — | — | — | — | $— | $52,871 | Verified |
| 2022 | $468,237 | — | — | — | — | $— | $12,656 | Verified |
| 2021 | $28,385 | — | — | — | — | $— | $13,151 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 2.6300% | Verified |
| 2024 | -21.6% | -21.6% | ~100% | 2.5900% | Verified |
| 2023 | +379.1% ! | +379.1% | ~100% | 2.3700% | Verified |
| 2022 | -0.4% | -0.4% | ~100% | 2.7100% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 46.3300% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +273.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +381.3% | +180.2% | +1549.6% | 2022 | -21.6% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 92.8% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 78.4% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.6300% | 2.6300% | — | 2.6300% | 2025 | 2.6300% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $46,066 | $34,010 | ~$58,568 | $52,871 | 2023 | $12,656 | 2022 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$4,903,716 | ~$1,925,000 | ~2.5883% | ~$49,825 | +180.2% |
| 2027 | ~$13,740,819 | ~$2,117,500 | ~2.5442% | ~$53,874 | +685.2% |
| 2028 | ~$38,503,474 | ~$2,329,250 | ~2.5001% | ~$58,234 | +2100.2% |
| 2029 | ~$107,891,492 | ~$2,562,175 | ~2.4561% | ~$62,928 | +6065.2% |
| 2030 | ~$302,325,296 | ~$2,818,393 | ~2.4120% | ~$67,979 | +17175.7% |
| 2026 | ~$4,868,716 | ~$1,925,000 | ~2.6324% | ~$50,673 | +178.2% |
| 2027 | ~$13,545,371 | ~$2,117,500 | ~2.6324% | ~$55,740 | +674.0% |
| 2028 | ~$37,684,895 | ~$2,329,250 | ~2.6324% | ~$61,314 | +2053.4% |
| 2029 | ~$104,844,035 | ~$2,562,175 | ~2.6324% | ~$67,446 | +5891.1% |
| 2030 | ~$291,689,065 | ~$2,818,393 | ~2.6324% | ~$74,190 | +16567.9% |
| 2026 | ~$4,938,716 | ~$1,925,000 | ~2.5663% | ~$49,400 | +182.2% |
| 2027 | ~$13,937,668 | ~$2,117,500 | ~2.5001% | ~$52,940 | +696.4% |
| 2028 | ~$39,333,821 | ~$2,329,250 | ~2.4340% | ~$56,694 | +2147.6% |
| 2029 | ~$111,004,905 | ~$2,562,175 | ~2.3679% | ~$60,670 | +6243.1% |
| 2030 | ~$313,269,562 | ~$2,818,393 | ~2.3018% | ~$64,873 | +17801.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,750,000 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 21× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,750,000 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $2,233,521 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $466,205 | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $468,237 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $28,385 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.