1848 FERGUSON LN TX 78754
| Owner | ALLIE BECK LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0235260110 |
| Short ID | 238549 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 60 Industrial 20K+ SF (<25% FO) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 171,029 SF |
| Land SF | 653,400 SF |
| Acres | 15.000 |
| Year Built | 2021 |
| Legal | ABS 29 SUR 58 APPLEGATE J ACR 15.0000 |
| Neighborhood | 64NEA |
| Land | $1,960,200 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,960,200 |
| Improvement | $25,539,800 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $25,539,800 |
| Market | $27,500,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $27,500,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $27,500,000 |
| Exemptions (−) | −$1,020,616 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $26,479,384 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +2705.8% from $980,100 (2021) to $27,500,000 (2025), a CAGR of 130.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7053% in 2025 (+0.0402% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $451,544. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 63.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 7% of market value ($1,960,200 land vs $25,539,800 improvements), about $3/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~5 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $27,500,000, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +130.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $1,775,867,563 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $588,769. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
10 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 260,000 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 171,029 SF | ✓ |
| 093 | HVAC COMMRCL SF | 156,629 SF | ✗ |
| 491 | SPRINKLER HEADS | 144,650 SF | ✗ |
| 881 | COMMCL FINISHOUT | 14,400 SF | ✓ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 2,400 SF | ✗ |
| 407 | LOADING DOCK | 1,100 SF | ✓ |
| 411 | SOLAR DEVICES RESIDENTIAL | 685 SF | ✓ |
| 482 | LIGHT POLES | 38 SF | ✓ |
| 413 | STAIRWAY EXT | 3 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 393% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $286,348.06 | $286,348.06 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $99,521.44 | $99,521.44 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $31,251.76 | $31,251.76 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $27,379.68 | $27,379.68 | Paid |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0800% | 0.0600% | 0.0400% | 0.0300% | 0.0266% | -0.0034% | $7,043.52 | $7,043.52 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0060% | 1.9276% | 1.6300% | 1.6651% | 1.7053% | +0.0402% | $451,544.46 | $451,544.46 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $29,000,000 | $27,500,000 | +5.5% |
| Assessed Value | $29,000,000 | $27,500,000 | +5.5% |
| Land Value | $1,960,200 | $1,960,200 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $27,039,800 | $25,539,800 | +5.9% |
| Taxable Value | $28,062,457 | $26,479,384 | +6.0% |
| Exemptions | — | N | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$478,540
Estimated
|
~$451,544
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $29,000,000 | $29,000,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $28,062,457 | $28,062,457 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $29,000,000 | $1,960,200 | $27,039,800 | — | $29,000,000 | $28,062,457 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $27,500,000 | $1,960,200 | $25,539,800 | — | $27,500,000 | $26,479,384 | ~$451,544 | Partial |
| 2024 | $25,319,000 | — | — | — | — | $— | $432,506 | Verified |
| 2023 | $14,249,601 | — | — | −$12,942,801 | $1,306,800 | $— | $412,712 | Verified |
| 2022 | $2,889,813 | — | — | −$1,583,013 | $1,306,800 | $— | $274,679 | Verified |
| 2021 | $980,100 | — | — | — | $1,306,800 ! | $— | $57,969 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +5.5% | +5.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -3.0% | -3.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +12.0% | +12.0% | ~100% | 1.5200% | Verified |
| 2023 | +77.7% ! | +77.7% | ~100% | 1.6300% | Verified |
| 2022 | +393.1% ! | +393.1% | ~100% | 1.9300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 5.9100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +851.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +5.5% | +135.9% | +127.8% | +393.1% | 2023 | +5.5% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 77.5% | — | 133.3% | 2021 | 9.2% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6400% | 1.6400% | — | 1.6400% | 2025 | 1.6400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$451,544 | $325,882 | ~$541,280 | $451,544 | 2025 | $57,969 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$63,291,920 | ~$30,250,000 | ~1.6301% | ~$493,102 | +130.2% |
| 2027 | ~$145,667,896 | ~$33,275,000 | ~1.5549% | ~$517,397 | +429.7% |
| 2028 | ~$335,258,210 | ~$36,602,500 | ~1.4797% | ~$541,620 | +1119.1% |
| 2029 | ~$771,604,938 | ~$40,262,750 | ~1.4046% | ~$565,513 | +2705.8% |
| 2030 | ~$1,775,867,563 | ~$44,289,025 | ~1.3294% | ~$588,769 | +6357.7% |
| 2026 | ~$62,741,920 | ~$30,250,000 | ~1.7053% | ~$515,844 | +128.2% |
| 2027 | ~$143,147,219 | ~$33,275,000 | ~1.7053% | ~$567,428 | +420.5% |
| 2028 | ~$326,593,867 | ~$36,602,500 | ~1.7053% | ~$624,171 | +1087.6% |
| 2029 | ~$745,131,863 | ~$40,262,750 | ~1.7053% | ~$686,588 | +2609.6% |
| 2030 | ~$1,700,036,499 | ~$44,289,025 | ~1.7053% | ~$755,247 | +6082.0% |
| 2026 | ~$63,841,920 | ~$30,250,000 | ~1.5925% | ~$481,732 | +132.2% |
| 2027 | ~$148,210,572 | ~$33,275,000 | ~1.4797% | ~$492,382 | +438.9% |
| 2028 | ~$344,074,454 | ~$36,602,500 | ~1.3670% | ~$500,345 | +1151.2% |
| 2029 | ~$798,777,228 | ~$40,262,750 | ~1.2542% | ~$504,976 | +2804.6% |
| 2030 | ~$1,854,380,793 | ~$44,289,025 | ~1.1414% | ~$505,530 | +6643.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $27,500,000 places it in the top 25% for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — 19× the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $27,500,000 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↑ Top 25% | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $25,319,000 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $14,249,601 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↑ Top 25% | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $2,889,813 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↑ Above median | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $980,100 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.