12616 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | NEESKENS KAJ & JASMINE C KUO |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250400515 |
| Short ID | 942772 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,873 SF |
| Land SF | 8,067 SF |
| Acres | 0.185 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 8 BLK P EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $110,337 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $110,337 |
| Improvement | $362,785 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $362,785 |
| Market | $473,122 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $473,122 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $473,122 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$94,624 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $378,498 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +144.1% from $193,785 (2024) to $473,122 (2025), a CAGR of 144.1% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $8,337. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 23% of market value ($110,337 land vs $362,785 improvements), about $14/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +144.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $41,042,903 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $14,266. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,873 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,595 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,278 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 389 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 170 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,602.38 | $3,602.38 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,983.39 | $1,983.39 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,422.57 | $1,422.57 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $484.04 | $484.04 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $446.71 | $446.71 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $7,939.09 | $7,939.09 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $481,924 | $473,122 | +1.9% |
| Assessed Value | $481,924 | $473,122 | +1.9% |
| Land Value | $110,112 | $110,337 | -0.2% |
| Improvement Value | $371,812 | $362,785 | +2.5% |
| Taxable Value | $385,539 | $378,498 | +1.9% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$8,492
Estimated
|
~$7,939
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $481,924 | $481,924 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $385,539 | $385,539 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $481,924 | $110,112 | $371,812 | — | $481,924 | $385,539 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $473,122 | $110,337 | $362,785 | — | $473,122 | $378,498 | ~$7,939 | Partial |
| 2024 | $193,785 | — | — | −$83,785 | $110,000 | $— | $8,246 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $88,000 | $— | $3,156 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $55,000 | $— | $1,282 | Verified |
| 2021 | $— | — | — | — | $16,500 | $— | $407 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +1.9% | +1.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -2.3% | -2.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +212.4% ! | +212.4% | ~100% | 1.7000% | Verified |
| 2023 | +181.9% ! | +181.9% | ~100% | 2.0400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | 2.3300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2767.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +1.9% | +73.0% | +143.3% | +144.1% | 2025 | +1.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 85.6% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 56.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6800% | 1.6800% | — | 1.6800% | 2025 | 1.6800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,939 | $8,092 | ~$12,658 | $8,246 | 2024 | $7,939 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,155,117 | ~$520,434 | ~2.1366% | ~$11,120 | +144.1% |
| 2027 | ~$2,820,195 | ~$572,478 | ~2.0705% | ~$11,853 | +496.1% |
| 2028 | ~$6,885,446 | ~$629,725 | ~2.0045% | ~$12,623 | +1355.3% |
| 2029 | ~$16,810,672 | ~$692,698 | ~1.9384% | ~$13,427 | +3453.1% |
| 2030 | ~$41,042,903 | ~$761,968 | ~1.8723% | ~$14,266 | +8574.9% |
| 2026 | ~$1,145,655 | ~$520,434 | ~2.2027% | ~$11,464 | +142.1% |
| 2027 | ~$2,774,179 | ~$572,478 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,610 | +486.4% |
| 2028 | ~$6,717,617 | ~$629,725 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,871 | +1319.8% |
| 2029 | ~$16,266,568 | ~$692,698 | ~2.2027% | ~$15,258 | +3338.1% |
| 2030 | ~$39,389,153 | ~$761,968 | ~2.2027% | ~$16,784 | +8225.4% |
| 2026 | ~$1,164,580 | ~$520,434 | ~2.1036% | ~$10,948 | +146.1% |
| 2027 | ~$2,866,589 | ~$572,478 | ~2.0045% | ~$11,475 | +505.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,056,048 | ~$629,725 | ~1.9054% | ~$11,998 | +1391.4% |
| 2029 | ~$17,368,314 | ~$692,698 | ~1.8062% | ~$12,512 | +3571.0% |
| 2030 | ~$42,751,739 | ~$761,968 | ~1.7071% | ~$13,008 | +8936.1% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.