12612 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | THAPA SWASTIKA KARKI & TEK |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250400516 |
| Short ID | 942773 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,873 SF |
| Land SF | 8,259 SF |
| Acres | 0.190 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 9 BLK P EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $111,295 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $111,295 |
| Improvement | $360,033 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $360,033 |
| Market | $471,328 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $471,328 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $471,328 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$94,266 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $377,062 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +143.2% from $193,785 (2024) to $471,328 (2025), a CAGR of 143.2% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $8,305. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 24% of market value ($111,295 land vs $360,033 improvements), about $13/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +143.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $40,117,943 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $14,212. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,873 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,595 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,278 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 389 SF | ✓ |
| 612 | TERRACE UNCOVERD | 100 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 30 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,582.98 | $3,582.98 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,975.87 | $1,975.87 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,417.17 | $1,417.17 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $482.18 | $482.18 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $445.02 | $445.02 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $7,903.22 | $7,903.22 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $478,757 | $471,328 | +1.6% |
| Assessed Value | $478,757 | $471,328 | +1.6% |
| Land Value | $110,432 | $111,295 | -0.8% |
| Improvement Value | $368,325 | $360,033 | +2.3% |
| Taxable Value | $383,006 | $377,062 | +1.6% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$8,436
Estimated
|
~$7,903
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $478,757 | $478,757 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $383,006 | $383,006 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $478,757 | $110,432 | $368,325 | — | $478,757 | $383,006 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $471,328 | $111,295 | $360,033 | — | $471,328 | $377,062 | ~$7,903 | Partial |
| 2024 | $193,785 | — | — | −$83,785 | $110,000 | $— | $8,965 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $88,000 | $— | $3,156 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $55,000 | $— | $1,282 | Verified |
| 2021 | $— | — | — | — | $16,500 | $— | $407 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +1.6% | +1.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -9.6% | -9.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +236.4% ! | +236.4% | ~100% | 1.7200% | Verified |
| 2023 | +181.9% ! | +181.9% | ~100% | 2.0400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | 2.3300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2756.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +1.6% | +72.4% | +142.5% | +143.2% | 2025 | +1.6% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 85.6% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 56.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6800% | 1.6800% | — | 1.6800% | 2025 | 1.6800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,903 | $8,434 | ~$12,610 | $8,965 | 2024 | $7,903 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,146,374 | ~$518,461 | ~2.1366% | ~$11,077 | +143.2% |
| 2027 | ~$2,788,235 | ~$570,307 | ~2.0705% | ~$11,808 | +491.6% |
| 2028 | ~$6,781,605 | ~$627,338 | ~2.0045% | ~$12,575 | +1338.8% |
| 2029 | ~$16,494,364 | ~$690,071 | ~1.9384% | ~$13,376 | +3399.6% |
| 2030 | ~$40,117,943 | ~$759,078 | ~1.8723% | ~$14,212 | +8411.7% |
| 2026 | ~$1,136,947 | ~$518,461 | ~2.2027% | ~$11,420 | +141.2% |
| 2027 | ~$2,742,569 | ~$570,307 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,562 | +481.9% |
| 2028 | ~$6,615,683 | ~$627,338 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,818 | +1303.6% |
| 2029 | ~$15,958,491 | ~$690,071 | ~2.2027% | ~$15,200 | +3285.9% |
| 2030 | ~$38,495,411 | ~$759,078 | ~2.2027% | ~$16,720 | +8067.4% |
| 2026 | ~$1,155,801 | ~$518,461 | ~2.1036% | ~$10,906 | +145.2% |
| 2027 | ~$2,834,279 | ~$570,307 | ~2.0045% | ~$11,432 | +501.3% |
| 2028 | ~$6,950,279 | ~$627,338 | ~1.9054% | ~$11,953 | +1374.6% |
| 2029 | ~$17,043,621 | ~$690,071 | ~1.8062% | ~$12,464 | +3516.1% |
| 2030 | ~$41,794,730 | ~$759,078 | ~1.7071% | ~$12,958 | +8767.4% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.