12520 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | GERBER KEVIN & NGOCANH CHE |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250400522 |
| Short ID | 942779 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,071 SF |
| Land SF | 6,181 SF |
| Acres | 0.142 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 15 BLK P EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $97,271 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $97,271 |
| Improvement | $279,170 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $279,170 |
| Market | $376,441 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $376,441 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $376,441 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$75,288 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $301,153 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +178.0% from $135,418 (2024) to $376,441 (2025), a CAGR of 178.0% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,633. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 42.6% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 26% of market value ($97,271 land vs $279,170 improvements), about $16/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +178.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $62,488,419 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $11,351. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,071 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,164 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 907 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 360 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 310 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $2,556.87 | $2,556.87 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,578.09 | $1,578.09 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,131.87 | $1,131.87 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $384.07 | $384.07 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $355.43 | $355.43 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $6,006.33 | $6,006.33 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $356,658 | $376,441 | -5.3% |
| Assessed Value | $356,658 | $376,441 | -5.3% |
| Land Value | $103,937 | $97,271 | +6.9% |
| Improvement Value | $252,721 | $279,170 | -9.5% |
| Taxable Value | $285,326 | $301,153 | -5.3% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,285
Estimated
|
~$6,006
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $397,125 | $356,658 | -40,467 (-10.2%) |
| Taxable Value | $317,700 | $285,326 | -32,374 (-10.2%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $356,658 | $103,937 | $252,721 | — | $356,658 | $285,326 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $376,441 | $97,271 | $279,170 | — | $376,441 | $301,153 | ~$6,006 | Partial |
| 2024 | $135,418 | — | — | −$35,418 | $100,000 | $— | $6,590 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $80,000 | $— | $2,206 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $50,000 | $— | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $— | — | — | — | $15,000 | $— | $370 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +5.5% | +5.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -5.5% | -5.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +267.8% ! | +267.8% | ~100% | 1.6500% | Verified |
| 2023 | +116.7% ! | +116.7% | ~100% | 2.0400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | 2.3300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2409.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -5.3% | +86.3% | +181.1% | +178.0% | 2025 | -5.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 91.3% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 73.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6000% | 1.6000% | — | 1.6000% | 2025 | 1.6000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$6,006 | $6,298 | ~$10,071 | $6,590 | 2024 | $6,006 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,046,447 | ~$414,085 | ~2.1366% | ~$8,847 | +178.0% |
| 2027 | ~$2,908,961 | ~$455,494 | ~2.0705% | ~$9,431 | +672.8% |
| 2028 | ~$8,086,461 | ~$501,043 | ~2.0045% | ~$10,043 | +2048.1% |
| 2029 | ~$22,479,105 | ~$551,147 | ~1.9384% | ~$10,683 | +5871.5% |
| 2030 | ~$62,488,419 | ~$606,262 | ~1.8723% | ~$11,351 | +16499.8% |
| 2026 | ~$1,038,919 | ~$414,085 | ~2.2027% | ~$9,121 | +176.0% |
| 2027 | ~$2,867,254 | ~$455,494 | ~2.2027% | ~$10,033 | +661.7% |
| 2028 | ~$7,913,176 | ~$501,043 | ~2.2027% | ~$11,036 | +2002.1% |
| 2029 | ~$21,839,136 | ~$551,147 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,140 | +5701.5% |
| 2030 | ~$60,272,622 | ~$606,262 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,354 | +15911.2% |
| 2026 | ~$1,053,976 | ~$414,085 | ~2.1036% | ~$8,711 | +180.0% |
| 2027 | ~$2,950,970 | ~$455,494 | ~2.0045% | ~$9,130 | +683.9% |
| 2028 | ~$8,262,257 | ~$501,043 | ~1.9054% | ~$9,547 | +2094.8% |
| 2029 | ~$23,133,037 | ~$551,147 | ~1.8062% | ~$9,955 | +6045.2% |
| 2030 | ~$64,768,908 | ~$606,262 | ~1.7071% | ~$10,350 | +17105.6% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.