12633 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | ADHIKARI NIRMAL & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250430303 |
| Short ID | 942881 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,534 SF |
| Land SF | 5,027 SF |
| Acres | 0.115 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 36 BLK O EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $93,423 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $93,423 |
| Improvement | $359,384 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $359,384 |
| Market | $452,807 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $452,807 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $452,807 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$90,561 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $362,246 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +219.1% from $141,904 (2024) to $452,807 (2025), a CAGR of 219.1% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $7,979. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 44.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 21% of market value ($93,423 land vs $359,384 improvements), about $19/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +219.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $149,797,858 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,654. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,534 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,472 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,062 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 380 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 238 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,382.69 | $3,382.69 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,898.23 | $1,898.23 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,361.48 | $1,361.48 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $463.03 | $463.03 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $427.53 | $427.53 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $7,532.96 | $7,532.96 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $439,047 | $452,807 | -3.0% |
| Assessed Value | $439,047 | $452,807 | -3.0% |
| Land Value | $100,089 | $93,423 | +7.1% |
| Improvement Value | $338,958 | $359,384 | -5.7% |
| Taxable Value | $351,238 | $362,246 | -3.0% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$7,737
Estimated
|
~$7,533
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $439,047 | $439,047 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $351,238 | $351,238 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $439,047 | $100,089 | $338,958 | — | $439,047 | $351,238 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $452,807 | $93,423 | $359,384 | — | $452,807 | $362,246 | ~$7,533 | Partial |
| 2024 | $141,904 | — | — | −$41,904 | $100,000 | $— | $8,096 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $80,000 | $— | $1,785 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $50,000 | $— | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $— | — | — | — | $15,000 | $— | $370 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.0% | -3.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -5.0% | -5.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +319.8% ! | +319.8% | ~100% | 1.7000% | Verified |
| 2023 | +127.0% ! | +127.0% | ~100% | 1.5700% | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | 2.3300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2918.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -3.0% | +108.0% | +221.1% | +219.1% | 2025 | -3.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 90.2% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 70.5% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6600% | 1.6600% | — | 1.6600% | 2025 | 1.6600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,533 | $7,815 | ~$12,114 | $8,096 | 2024 | $7,533 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,444,879 | ~$498,088 | ~2.1366% | ~$10,642 | +219.1% |
| 2027 | ~$4,610,522 | ~$547,896 | ~2.0705% | ~$11,344 | +918.2% |
| 2028 | ~$14,711,895 | ~$602,686 | ~2.0045% | ~$12,081 | +3149.0% |
| 2029 | ~$46,944,759 | ~$662,955 | ~1.9384% | ~$12,851 | +10267.5% |
| 2030 | ~$149,797,858 | ~$729,250 | ~1.8723% | ~$13,654 | +32982.1% |
| 2026 | ~$1,435,823 | ~$498,088 | ~2.2027% | ~$10,971 | +217.1% |
| 2027 | ~$4,552,908 | ~$547,896 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,068 | +905.5% |
| 2028 | ~$14,436,994 | ~$602,686 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,275 | +3088.3% |
| 2029 | ~$45,778,826 | ~$662,955 | ~2.2027% | ~$14,603 | +10010.0% |
| 2030 | ~$145,161,862 | ~$729,250 | ~2.2027% | ~$16,063 | +31958.2% |
| 2026 | ~$1,453,936 | ~$498,088 | ~2.1036% | ~$10,478 | +221.1% |
| 2027 | ~$4,668,499 | ~$547,896 | ~2.0045% | ~$10,982 | +931.0% |
| 2028 | ~$14,990,264 | ~$602,686 | ~1.9054% | ~$11,483 | +3210.5% |
| 2029 | ~$48,132,822 | ~$662,955 | ~1.8062% | ~$11,975 | +10529.9% |
| 2030 | ~$154,551,552 | ~$729,250 | ~1.7071% | ~$12,449 | +34031.9% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.