14437 GREGG MANOR RD TX 78653
| Owner | MADRID JOHNNY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0251500121 |
| Short ID | 362378 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,048 SF |
| Land SF | 1,106,860 SF |
| Acres | 25.410 |
| Year Built | 2000 |
| Legal | 24.41 AC OF LOT 8 BLK 1 HIDELL ADDN 2 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | 1NE2 |
| Land | $1,106,860 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,106,860 |
| Improvement | $71,605 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $71,605 |
| Market | $1,178,465 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,178,465 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,064,021 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $114,444 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$22,000 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $92,444 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1175.1% from $92,425 (2021) to $1,178,465 (2025), a CAGR of 89.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,644. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 47.5% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($114,444) is $1,064,021 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 94% of market value ($1,106,860 land vs $71,605 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,178,465, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +133.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $82,009,105 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $2,709. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,048 SF | ✓ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 1,350 SF | ✗ |
| 301 | BARN SF | 900 SF | ✓ |
| 611 | TERRACE | 900 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 384 SF | ✗ |
| 511 | DECK | 330 SF | ✗ |
| 121 | WATER/SEWER INF | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362378 | MADRID JOHNNY | 14437 GREGG MANOR RD MANOR 78653 | $1,176,873 | $116,175 | $93,460 |
| 526821 | MADRID JOHNNY | 24.410 | — | — | — |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $347.44 | $347.44 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $114.44 | $114.44 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $113.17 | $113.17 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $109.10 | $109.10 | Paid |
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $48.06 | $48.06 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $732.21 | $732.21 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,176,873 | $1,178,465 | -0.1% |
| Assessed Value | $116,175 | $114,444 | +1.5% |
| Land Value | $1,106,860 | $1,106,860 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $70,013 | $71,605 | -2.2% |
| Taxable Value | $93,460 | $92,444 | +1.1% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,060,698 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,662
Estimated
|
~$732
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,176,873 | $1,176,873 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $93,460 | $93,460 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,176,873 | $1,106,860 | $70,013 | −$1,060,698 | $116,175 | $93,460 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,178,465 | $1,106,860 | $71,605 | −$1,064,021 | $114,444 | $92,444 | ~$732 | Partial |
| 2024 | $107,914 | — | — | −$64,354 | $43,560 | $— | $623 | Verified |
| 2023 | $111,479 | — | — | −$67,919 | $43,560 | $— | $704 | Verified |
| 2022 | $92,425 | — | — | −$48,865 | $43,560 | $— | $1,436 | Verified |
| 2021 | $92,425 | — | — | −$48,865 | $43,560 | $— | $1,511 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | — | — | Not available | — |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +18.5% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0500% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +7.9% | 0.3% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | -1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1200% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.3% | 1.6400% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +0.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -0.1% | +201.9% | +133.7% | +992.0% | 2025 | -3.2% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 9.9% | 32.2% | — | 47.1% | 2021 | 9.7% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$732 | $1,001 | ~$2,431 | $1,511 | 2021 | $623 | 2024 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$2,753,124 | ~$125,888 | ~1.7168% | ~$2,161 | +133.6% |
| 2027 | ~$6,431,834 | ~$138,477 | ~1.6550% | ~$2,292 | +445.8% |
| 2028 | ~$15,026,018 | ~$152,325 | ~1.5932% | ~$2,427 | +1175.1% |
| 2029 | ~$35,103,708 | ~$167,557 | ~1.5314% | ~$2,566 | +2878.8% |
| 2030 | ~$82,009,105 | ~$184,313 | ~1.4695% | ~$2,709 | +6859.0% |
| 2026 | ~$2,729,555 | ~$125,888 | ~1.7787% | ~$2,239 | +131.6% |
| 2027 | ~$6,322,181 | ~$138,477 | ~1.7787% | ~$2,463 | +436.5% |
| 2028 | ~$14,643,403 | ~$152,325 | ~1.7787% | ~$2,709 | +1142.6% |
| 2029 | ~$33,916,975 | ~$167,557 | ~1.7787% | ~$2,980 | +2778.1% |
| 2030 | ~$78,558,326 | ~$184,313 | ~1.7787% | ~$3,278 | +6566.2% |
| 2026 | ~$2,776,693 | ~$125,888 | ~1.6859% | ~$2,122 | +135.6% |
| 2027 | ~$6,542,431 | ~$138,477 | ~1.5932% | ~$2,206 | +455.2% |
| 2028 | ~$15,415,242 | ~$152,325 | ~1.5004% | ~$2,286 | +1208.1% |
| 2029 | ~$36,321,314 | ~$167,557 | ~1.4077% | ~$2,359 | +2982.1% |
| 2030 | ~$85,580,096 | ~$184,313 | ~1.3150% | ~$2,424 | +7162.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,178,465 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +97% above the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,178,465 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $107,914 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $111,479 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $92,425 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $92,425 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.