15777 ANDERSON RD MANOR, TX 78653
| Owner | GAB MANOR LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0251700222 |
| Short ID | 259109 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,542 SF |
| Land SF | 1,742,400 SF |
| Acres | 40.000 |
| Year Built | 1984 |
| Legal | ABS 63 SUR 62 BACON S ACR 39.00 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN312 |
| Land | $3,000,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $3,000,000 |
| Improvement | $256,787 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $256,787 |
| Market | $3,256,787 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $3,256,787 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,915,220 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $341,567 |
| Taxable Value | $341,567 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +888.6% from $329,441 (2021) to $3,256,787 (2025), a CAGR of 77.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,075. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($341,567) is $2,915,220 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 92% of market value ($3,000,000 land vs $256,787 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~42-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $3,256,787, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +122.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $178,991,380 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $8,084. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
2 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 501 | CANOPY | 3,200 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,542 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259109 | GAB MANOR LLC | 15777 ANDERSON RD MANOR 78653 | $325,269 | $325,269 | $325,269 |
| 259110 | GAB MANOR LLC | 20.000 | $2,931,518 | $16,686 | $16,686 |
| 937144 | NASCIMBENI ALLEN M & | 15777 ANDERSON RD 78653 | — | — | — |
Market value changed by 75% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,693.71 | $3,693.71 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,283.77 | $1,283.77 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $403.13 | $403.13 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $353.18 | $353.18 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $341.57 | $341.57 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $6,075.36 | $6,075.36 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,256,787 | $3,256,787 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $341,955 | $341,567 | +0.1% |
| Land Value | $3,000,000 | $3,000,000 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $256,787 | $256,787 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $341,955 | $341,567 | +0.1% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,914,832 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,082
Estimated
|
~$6,075
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,256,787 | $3,256,787 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $341,955 | $341,955 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,256,787 | $3,000,000 | $256,787 | −$2,914,832 | $341,955 | $341,955 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $3,256,787 | $3,000,000 | $256,787 | −$2,915,220 | $341,567 | $341,567 | ~$6,075 | Partial |
| 2024 | $312,612 | — | — | −$237,612 | $75,000 | $— | $5,855 | Verified |
| 2023 | $542,696 | — | — | −$507,696 | $35,000 | $— | $9,516 | Verified |
| 2022 | $294,282 | — | — | −$280,753 | $13,529 | $— | $17,913 | Verified |
| 2021 | $329,441 | — | — | −$319,370 | $10,071 | $— | $5,137 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +2.4% | 0.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +7.2% | 0.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +86.5% ! | -93.9% | 0.5% | 0.1800% | Verified |
| 2023 | +1192.2% ! | +106.3% | 16.0% | 0.5000% | Verified |
| 2022 | -75.4% ! | -2.7% | ~100% | 1.1700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 25.3% | 1.5600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +492.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +194.6% | +122.8% | +941.8% | 2025 | -42.4% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 10.5% | 9.8% | — | 24.0% | 2024 | 3.1% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$6,075 | $8,899 | ~$7,255 | $17,913 | 2022 | $5,137 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$7,257,682 | ~$375,724 | ~1.7168% | ~$6,451 | +122.8% |
| 2027 | ~$16,173,591 | ~$413,296 | ~1.6550% | ~$6,840 | +396.6% |
| 2028 | ~$36,042,509 | ~$454,626 | ~1.5932% | ~$7,243 | +1006.7% |
| 2029 | ~$80,319,975 | ~$500,088 | ~1.5314% | ~$7,658 | +2366.2% |
| 2030 | ~$178,991,380 | ~$550,097 | ~1.4695% | ~$8,084 | +5395.9% |
| 2026 | ~$7,192,546 | ~$375,724 | ~1.7787% | ~$6,683 | +120.8% |
| 2027 | ~$15,884,587 | ~$413,296 | ~1.7787% | ~$7,351 | +387.7% |
| 2028 | ~$35,080,776 | ~$454,626 | ~1.7787% | ~$8,086 | +977.2% |
| 2029 | ~$77,475,159 | ~$500,088 | ~1.7787% | ~$8,895 | +2278.9% |
| 2030 | ~$171,102,265 | ~$550,097 | ~1.7787% | ~$9,784 | +5153.7% |
| 2026 | ~$7,322,817 | ~$375,724 | ~1.6859% | ~$6,334 | +124.8% |
| 2027 | ~$16,465,201 | ~$413,296 | ~1.5932% | ~$6,585 | +405.6% |
| 2028 | ~$37,021,660 | ~$454,626 | ~1.5004% | ~$6,821 | +1036.8% |
| 2029 | ~$83,242,425 | ~$500,088 | ~1.4077% | ~$7,040 | +2456.0% |
| 2030 | ~$187,168,848 | ~$550,097 | ~1.3150% | ~$7,234 | +5647.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $3,256,787 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 5× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3,256,787 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $312,612 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $542,696 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $294,282 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $329,441 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.