MANDA RD TX 78653
| Owner | OLSON DONALD R |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0251800304 |
| Short ID | 259241 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,224 SF |
| Land SF | 2,687,652 SF |
| Acres | 61.700 |
| Year Built | 1972 |
| Legal | ABS 456 SUR 64 KIMBRO L ACR 60.70 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN320 |
| Land | $2,238,874 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,238,874 |
| Improvement | $30,318 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $30,318 |
| Market | $2,269,192 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,269,192 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,197,449 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $71,743 |
| Taxable Value | $71,743 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +9391.0% from $23,909 (2021) to $2,269,192 (2025), a CAGR of 212.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $500. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 53.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($71,743) is $2,197,449 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 99% of market value ($2,238,874 land vs $30,318 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~54-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,269,192, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +350.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $4,218,866,395 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $839. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
5 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | BARN SF | 2,000 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,224 SF | ✓ |
| 581 | STORAGE ATT | 1,020 SF | ✓ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 1 SF | ✗ |
| 121 | WATER/SEWER INF | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259241 | OLSON DONALD R | ABS 456 SUR 64 KIMBRO L ACR 1.0 MH 5612TD3299A-B | $66,604 | $66,604 | $66,604 |
| 259242 | OLSON DONALD R | 0.000 | — | — | — |
Market value changed by 222% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $292.20 | $292.20 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $91.76 | $91.76 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $80.39 | $80.39 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $77.74 | $77.74 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6021% | 0.6537% | 0.6973% | +0.0436% | $542.09 | $542.09 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $66,604 | $2,269,192 | -97.1% |
| Assessed Value | $66,604 | $71,743 | -7.2% |
| Land Value | $2,266,902 | $2,238,874 | +1.3% |
| Improvement Value | — | $30,318 | — |
| Taxable Value | $66,604 | $71,743 | -7.2% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$464
Estimated
|
~$542
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $66,604 | $66,604 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $66,604 | $66,604 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $66,604 | $2,266,902 | — | — | $66,604 | $66,604 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,269,192 | $2,238,874 | $30,318 | −$2,197,449 | $71,743 | $71,743 | ~$542 | Partial |
| 2024 | $42,085 | — | — | −$5,799 | $36,286 | $— | $399 | Verified |
| 2023 | $92,464 | — | — | −$81,178 | $11,286 | $— | $321 | Verified |
| 2022 | $24,790 | — | — | — | $74,913 ! | $— | $640 | Verified |
| 2021 | $23,909 | — | — | −$16,528 | $7,381 | $— | $246 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | — | — | — | Not available | — |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +6.2% | 0.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +221.5% ! | -6.5% | 0.5% | 0.0200% | Verified |
| 2023 | +9.6% | -2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +41.2% | -95.2% | 1.8% | 0.0900% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 54.5% | 1.0300% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +397.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -97.1% | +1083.4% | +3331.4% | +5291.9% | 2025 | -97.1% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 89.1% | — | 302.2% | 2022 | 3.2% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$542 | $430 | ~$690 | $640 | 2022 | $246 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$10,226,715 | ~$78,917 | ~0.7031% | ~$555 | +350.7% |
| 2027 | ~$46,089,400 | ~$86,809 | ~0.7089% | ~$615 | +1931.1% |
| 2028 | ~$207,714,092 | ~$95,490 | ~0.7147% | ~$683 | +9053.7% |
| 2029 | ~$936,118,583 | ~$105,039 | ~0.7206% | ~$757 | +41153.4% |
| 2030 | ~$4,218,866,395 | ~$115,543 | ~0.7264% | ~$839 | +185819.3% |
| 2026 | ~$10,181,331 | ~$78,917 | ~0.6973% | ~$550 | +348.7% |
| 2027 | ~$45,681,239 | ~$86,809 | ~0.6973% | ~$605 | +1913.1% |
| 2028 | ~$204,960,982 | ~$95,490 | ~0.6973% | ~$666 | +8932.3% |
| 2029 | ~$919,611,743 | ~$105,039 | ~0.6973% | ~$732 | +40426.0% |
| 2030 | ~$4,126,081,714 | ~$115,543 | ~0.6973% | ~$806 | +181730.4% |
| 2026 | ~$10,272,099 | ~$78,917 | ~0.7060% | ~$557 | +352.7% |
| 2027 | ~$46,499,376 | ~$86,809 | ~0.7147% | ~$620 | +1949.2% |
| 2028 | ~$210,491,746 | ~$95,490 | ~0.7235% | ~$691 | +9176.1% |
| 2029 | ~$952,846,652 | ~$105,039 | ~0.7322% | ~$769 | +41890.6% |
| 2030 | ~$4,313,312,805 | ~$115,543 | ~0.7409% | ~$856 | +189981.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,269,192 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,269,192 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $42,085 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $92,464 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $24,790 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $23,909 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.