2921 TAVERN DR TX 78660
| Owner | IMRAN MUHAMMAD |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0254402026 |
| Short ID | 918605 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,304 SF |
| Land SF | 4,621 SF |
| Acres | 0.106 |
| Year Built | 2023 |
| Legal | LOT 2 BLK A UPPER EAST END |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $92,070 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $92,070 |
| Improvement | $332,986 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $332,986 |
| Market | $425,056 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $425,056 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $425,056 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$85,011 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $340,045 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +5567.4% from $7,500 (2021) to $425,056 (2025), a CAGR of 174.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2282% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $7,577. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 44.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 22% of market value ($92,070 land vs $332,986 improvements), about $20/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~3 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $425,056, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +174.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $66,096,317 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $12,902. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,304 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,242 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,062 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 389 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 116 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $3,155.28 | $3,155.28 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,781.89 | $1,781.89 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,278.04 | $1,278.04 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $434.34 | $434.34 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $401.33 | $401.33 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.5030% | 2.2429% | 2.0589% | 2.1382% | 2.2282% | +0.0900% | $7,050.88 | $7,050.88 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $372,903 | $425,056 | -12.3% |
| Assessed Value | $372,903 | $425,056 | -12.3% |
| Land Value | $98,737 | $92,070 | +7.2% |
| Improvement Value | $274,166 | $332,986 | -17.7% |
| Taxable Value | $298,322 | $340,045 | -12.3% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,647
Estimated
|
~$7,051
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $415,213 | $372,903 | -42,310 (-10.2%) |
| Taxable Value | $332,170 | $298,322 | -33,848 (-10.2%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $372,903 | $98,737 | $274,166 | — | $372,903 | $298,322 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $425,056 | $92,070 | $332,986 | — | $425,056 | $340,045 | ~$7,051 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $100,000 | $— | $7,768 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $100,000 | $— | $2,059 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $80,000 | $— | $1,794 | Verified |
| 2021 | $7,500 | — | — | — | $30,000 ! | $— | $391 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.3% | -2.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -5.1% | -5.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +348.1% ! | +348.1% | ~100% | 1.7300% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 2.0600% | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | 1.7900% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 5.2200% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1316.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -12.3% | +2777.5% | +182.1% | +5567.4% | 2025 | -12.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 200.0% | — | 400.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6600% | 1.6600% | — | 1.6600% | 2025 | 1.6600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,051 | $3,721 | ~$11,470 | $7,051 | 2025 | $391 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,166,252 | ~$467,562 | ~2.1595% | ~$10,097 | +174.4% |
| 2027 | ~$3,199,916 | ~$514,318 | ~2.0908% | ~$10,753 | +652.8% |
| 2028 | ~$8,779,804 | ~$565,750 | ~2.0221% | ~$11,440 | +1965.6% |
| 2029 | ~$24,089,680 | ~$622,324 | ~1.9534% | ~$12,156 | +5567.4% |
| 2030 | ~$66,096,317 | ~$684,557 | ~1.8847% | ~$12,902 | +15450.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,157,751 | ~$467,562 | ~2.2282% | ~$10,418 | +172.4% |
| 2027 | ~$3,153,436 | ~$514,318 | ~2.2282% | ~$11,460 | +641.9% |
| 2028 | ~$8,589,205 | ~$565,750 | ~2.2282% | ~$12,606 | +1920.7% |
| 2029 | ~$23,394,939 | ~$622,324 | ~2.2282% | ~$13,867 | +5404.0% |
| 2030 | ~$63,722,213 | ~$684,557 | ~2.2282% | ~$15,253 | +14891.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,174,753 | ~$467,562 | ~2.1251% | ~$9,936 | +176.4% |
| 2027 | ~$3,246,736 | ~$514,318 | ~2.0221% | ~$10,400 | +663.8% |
| 2028 | ~$8,973,202 | ~$565,750 | ~1.9190% | ~$10,857 | +2011.1% |
| 2029 | ~$24,799,782 | ~$622,324 | ~1.8160% | ~$11,301 | +5734.5% |
| 2030 | ~$68,540,661 | ~$684,557 | ~1.7129% | ~$11,726 | +16025.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $425,056 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 5× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $425,056 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $7,500 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.