12017 NEW SWEDEN CHURCH RD TX 78653
| Owner | SANCHEZ JOSE CARDENAS ETAL |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0259700411 |
| Short ID | 263968 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,395 SF |
| Land SF | 315,069 SF |
| Acres | 7.233 |
| Year Built | 1984 |
| Legal | ABS 260 SUR 22 ELISON T ACR 6.233 |
| Neighborhood | _RGN312 |
| Land | $437,124 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $437,124 |
| Improvement | $141,784 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $141,784 |
| Market | $578,908 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $578,908 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$98,867 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $480,041 |
| Taxable Value | $480,041 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +167.5% from $216,380 (2021) to $578,908 (2025), a CAGR of 27.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $8,538. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($480,041) is $98,867 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 76% of market value ($437,124 land vs $141,784 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~42-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $578,908, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +27.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $1,980,843 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $11,361. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,395 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,395 SF | ✗ |
| 051 | CARPORT DET 1ST | 216 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 85 SF | ✗ |
| 581 | STORAGE ATT | 84 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 341 | OUT BUILDINGS FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 579 | STORAGE DET FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263968 | SANCHEZ JOSE CARDENAS ETAL | 12017 NEW SWEDEN CHURCH RD 78653 | $202,219 | $202,219 | $202,219 |
| 263969 | SANCHEZ JOSE CARDENAS ETAL | 12017 NEW SWEDEN CHURCH RD 78653 | $358,095 | $333,386 | $333,386 |
Market value changed by 76% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $5,191.17 | $5,191.17 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,804.21 | $1,804.21 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $566.55 | $566.55 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $496.36 | $496.36 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $480.04 | $480.04 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $8,538.33 | $8,538.33 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $560,314 | $578,908 | -3.2% |
| Assessed Value | $535,605 | $480,041 | +11.6% |
| Land Value | $415,547 | $437,124 | -4.9% |
| Improvement Value | $144,767 | $141,784 | +2.1% |
| Taxable Value | $535,605 | $480,041 | +11.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$24,709 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$9,527
Estimated
|
~$8,538
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $560,314 | $560,314 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $535,605 | $535,605 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $560,314 | $415,547 | $144,767 | −$24,709 | $535,605 | $535,605 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $578,908 | $437,124 | $141,784 | −$98,867 | $480,041 | $480,041 | ~$8,538 | Partial |
| 2024 | $351,973 | — | — | — | $437,124 ! | $— | $8,997 | Verified |
| 2023 | $329,702 | — | — | −$105,817 | $223,885 | $— | $9,199 | Verified |
| 2022 | $109,363 | — | — | — | $223,885 ! | $— | $10,283 | Verified |
| 2021 | $216,380 | — | — | −$93,608 | $122,772 | $— | $4,359 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -4.9% | +20.0% | 93.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 73.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +95.2% ! | +20.0% | 61.5% | 1.3600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.6900% | Verified |
| 2022 | +76.4% ! | +76.4% | ~100% | 1.9700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.0100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +244.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -3.2% | +44.0% | +28.7% | +201.5% | 2023 | -49.5% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 95.6% | 105.3% | — | 204.7% | 2022 | 56.7% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.3100% | 1.3100% | — | 1.3100% | 2025 | 1.3100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$8,538 | $8,276 | ~$10,196 | $10,283 | 2022 | $4,359 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$740,385 | ~$528,045 | ~1.7168% | ~$9,066 | +27.9% |
| 2027 | ~$946,904 | ~$580,850 | ~1.6550% | ~$9,613 | +63.6% |
| 2028 | ~$1,211,027 | ~$638,935 | ~1.5932% | ~$10,179 | +109.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,548,824 | ~$702,828 | ~1.5314% | ~$10,763 | +167.5% |
| 2030 | ~$1,980,843 | ~$773,111 | ~1.4695% | ~$11,361 | +242.2% |
| 2026 | ~$728,807 | ~$528,045 | ~1.7787% | ~$9,392 | +25.9% |
| 2027 | ~$917,520 | ~$580,850 | ~1.7787% | ~$10,331 | +58.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,155,097 | ~$638,935 | ~1.7787% | ~$11,365 | +99.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,454,190 | ~$702,828 | ~1.7787% | ~$12,501 | +151.2% |
| 2030 | ~$1,830,730 | ~$773,111 | ~1.7787% | ~$13,751 | +216.2% |
| 2026 | ~$751,963 | ~$528,045 | ~1.6859% | ~$8,902 | +29.9% |
| 2027 | ~$976,751 | ~$580,850 | ~1.5932% | ~$9,254 | +68.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,268,734 | ~$638,935 | ~1.5004% | ~$9,587 | +119.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,648,002 | ~$702,828 | ~1.4077% | ~$9,894 | +184.7% |
| 2030 | ~$2,140,646 | ~$773,111 | ~1.3150% | ~$10,166 | +269.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $578,908 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 7× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $578,908 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $351,973 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $329,702 | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $109,363 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | ↑ Above median | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $216,380 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.