12001 NEW SWEDEN CHURCH RD TX 78653
| Owner | GUZMAN ISMAEL H & DIANNE N |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0259700412 |
| Short ID | 263970 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,728 SF |
| Land SF | 791,050 SF |
| Acres | 18.160 |
| Year Built | 1996 |
| Legal | ABS 260 SUR 22 ELISON T ACR 17.660 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN312 |
| Land | $610,073 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $610,073 |
| Improvement | $174,818 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $174,818 |
| Market | $784,891 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $784,891 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$613,967 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $170,924 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$33,542 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $137,382 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +618.4% from $109,254 (2021) to $784,891 (2025), a CAGR of 63.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,444. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 38.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($170,924) is $613,967 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 78% of market value ($610,073 land vs $174,818 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~30-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $784,891, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +89.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $19,401,966 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $4,045. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,728 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,728 SF | ✗ |
| 031 | GARAGE DET 1ST F | 560 SF | ✓ |
| 612 | TERRACE UNCOVERD | 179 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 039 | GARAGE DET FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263970 | GUZMAN ISMAEL H & DIANNE N | 12001 NEW SWEDEN CHURCH RD MANOR 78653 | $186,931 | $184,480 | $147,584 |
| 426729 | GUZMAN ISMAEL H & DIANNE N | 17.660 | $584,914 | $3,416 | $3,416 |
Market value changed by 172% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $516.34 | $516.34 | Paid |
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $334.42 | $334.42 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $171.56 | $171.56 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $170.93 | $170.93 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $162.14 | $162.14 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $1,355.39 | $1,355.39 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $771,845 | $784,891 | -1.7% |
| Assessed Value | $187,896 | $170,924 | +9.9% |
| Land Value | $601,474 | $610,073 | -1.4% |
| Improvement Value | $170,371 | $174,818 | -2.5% |
| Taxable Value | $151,000 | $137,382 | +9.9% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$583,949 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,686
Estimated
|
~$1,355
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $771,845 | $771,845 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $151,000 | $151,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $771,845 | $601,474 | $170,371 | −$583,949 | $187,896 | $151,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $784,891 | $610,073 | $174,818 | −$613,967 | $170,924 | $137,382 | ~$1,355 | Partial |
| 2024 | $341,000 | — | — | −$324,203 | $16,797 | $— | $1,468 | Verified |
| 2023 | $353,381 | — | — | −$347,209 | $6,172 | $— | $1,181 | Verified |
| 2022 | $114,548 | — | — | −$108,376 | $6,172 | $— | $1,876 | Verified |
| 2021 | $109,254 | — | — | −$104,461 | $4,793 | $— | $1,920 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.4% | +6.3% | 0.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +18.5% | 0.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +172.1% ! | +3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +7.9% | 1.2% | 0.2100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +28.8% | -1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3300% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.4% | 1.7600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +250.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -1.7% | +67.7% | +90.6% | +208.5% | 2023 | -3.5% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 24.3% | 10.4% | — | 24.3% | 2026 | 1.7% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$1,355 | $1,560 | ~$3,630 | $1,920 | 2021 | $1,181 | 2023 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,490,791 | ~$188,016 | ~1.7168% | ~$3,228 | +89.9% |
| 2027 | ~$2,831,548 | ~$206,818 | ~1.6550% | ~$3,423 | +260.8% |
| 2028 | ~$5,378,129 | ~$227,500 | ~1.5932% | ~$3,624 | +585.2% |
| 2029 | ~$10,215,002 | ~$250,250 | ~1.5314% | ~$3,832 | +1201.5% |
| 2030 | ~$19,401,966 | ~$275,275 | ~1.4695% | ~$4,045 | +2371.9% |
| 2026 | ~$1,475,093 | ~$188,016 | ~1.7787% | ~$3,344 | +87.9% |
| 2027 | ~$2,772,230 | ~$206,818 | ~1.7787% | ~$3,679 | +253.2% |
| 2028 | ~$5,210,018 | ~$227,500 | ~1.7787% | ~$4,046 | +563.8% |
| 2029 | ~$9,791,500 | ~$250,250 | ~1.7787% | ~$4,451 | +1147.5% |
| 2030 | ~$18,401,753 | ~$275,275 | ~1.7787% | ~$4,896 | +2244.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,506,488 | ~$188,016 | ~1.6859% | ~$3,170 | +91.9% |
| 2027 | ~$2,891,493 | ~$206,818 | ~1.5932% | ~$3,295 | +268.4% |
| 2028 | ~$5,549,817 | ~$227,500 | ~1.5004% | ~$3,414 | +607.1% |
| 2029 | ~$10,652,096 | ~$250,250 | ~1.4077% | ~$3,523 | +1257.1% |
| 2030 | ~$20,445,207 | ~$275,275 | ~1.3150% | ~$3,620 | +2504.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $784,891 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +31% above the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $784,891 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $341,000 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $353,381 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $114,548 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $109,254 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.