15406 CONNIE ST TX 78728
| Owner | SUCHIL JACINTA & CUSTODIAN FOR |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0274230613 |
| Short ID | 276711 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 59 Office / Retail (SFR Conv.) |
| Valuation | Income |
| Improvement SF | 3,499 SF |
| Land SF | 13,035 SF |
| Acres | 0.299 |
| Year Built | 2005 |
| Legal | LOT 4 BLK 9 PAMELA HEIGHTS//TITLE CANCELED TO REAL ESTATE |
| Neighborhood | 59NOR |
| Land | $52,138 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $52,138 |
| Improvement | $309,111 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $309,111 |
| Market | $361,249 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $361,249 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $361,249 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$32,512 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $328,737 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +20.0% from $301,070 (2021) to $361,249 (2025), a CAGR of 4.7% over 4 years. This represents moderate, steady growth. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has lagged the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7240% in 2025 (+0.0338% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $5,668. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 51.5% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the income approach, so changes in rent roll or occupancy move the appraisal more directly than they would for a cost-approach property.
Value Composition: Land carries 14% of market value ($52,138 land vs $309,111 improvements), about $4/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~21 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $361,249, this parcel sits in the bottom quartile (<25th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +4.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $453,660 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $6,301. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
3 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,629 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 870 SF | ✓ |
| 011C | PORCH OPEN 1ST COMM | 513 SF | ✗ |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $1,095.84 | $1,095.84 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $615.63 | $615.63 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $193.32 | $193.32 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $166.98 | $166.98 | Paid |
| E17 Travis County ESD #17 | 0.0450% | 0.0245% | 0.0230% | 0.0370% | 0.0305% | -0.0065% | $54.90 | $54.90 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.9922% | 1.7860% | 1.6148% | 1.6902% | 1.7240% | +0.0338% | $2,126.67 | $2,126.67 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $273,321 | $361,249 | -24.3% |
| Assessed Value | $273,321 | $361,249 | -24.3% |
| Land Value | $53,307 | $52,138 | +2.2% |
| Improvement Value | $220,014 | $309,111 | -28.8% |
| Taxable Value | $228,302 | $328,737 | -30.6% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$3,936
Estimated
|
~$2,127
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $273,321 | $273,321 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $228,302 | $228,302 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $273,321 | $53,307 | $220,014 | — | $273,321 | $228,302 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $361,249 | $52,138 | $309,111 | — | $361,249 | $328,737 | ~$2,127 | Partial |
| 2024 | $375,628 | — | — | −$323,490 | $52,138 | $— | $5,802 | Verified |
| 2023 | $510,661 | — | — | −$458,523 | $52,138 | $— | $4,820 | Verified |
| 2022 | $312,841 | — | — | −$260,703 | $52,138 | $— | $7,147 | Verified |
| 2021 | $301,070 | — | — | −$248,932 | $52,138 | $— | $5,753 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -24.3% | -24.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -14.6% | -13.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +12.7% | +11.5% | 98.9% | 1.3700% | Verified |
| 2023 | -26.4% | -13.8% | ~100% | 1.2800% | Verified |
| 2022 | +63.2% | +39.3% | 85.3% | 1.4000% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 1.9100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +15.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -24.3% | +2.5% | +11.4% | +63.2% | 2023 | -26.4% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 43.0% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 10.2% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.5900% | 0.5900% | — | 0.5900% | 2025 | 0.5900% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,127 | $5,130 | ~$6,295 | $7,147 | 2022 | $2,127 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$378,087 | ~$378,087 | ~1.6570% | ~$6,265 | +4.7% |
| 2027 | ~$395,709 | ~$395,709 | ~1.5900% | ~$6,292 | +9.5% |
| 2028 | ~$414,153 | ~$414,153 | ~1.5229% | ~$6,307 | +14.6% |
| 2029 | ~$433,457 | ~$433,457 | ~1.4559% | ~$6,311 | +20.0% |
| 2030 | ~$453,660 | ~$453,660 | ~1.3888% | ~$6,301 | +25.6% |
| 2026 | ~$370,862 | ~$370,862 | ~1.7240% | ~$6,394 | +2.7% |
| 2027 | ~$380,730 | ~$380,730 | ~1.7240% | ~$6,564 | +5.4% |
| 2028 | ~$390,861 | ~$390,861 | ~1.7240% | ~$6,739 | +8.2% |
| 2029 | ~$401,262 | ~$401,262 | ~1.7240% | ~$6,918 | +11.1% |
| 2030 | ~$411,940 | ~$411,940 | ~1.7240% | ~$7,102 | +14.0% |
| 2026 | ~$385,312 | ~$385,312 | ~1.6235% | ~$6,255 | +6.7% |
| 2027 | ~$410,977 | ~$410,977 | ~1.5229% | ~$6,259 | +13.8% |
| 2028 | ~$438,352 | ~$438,352 | ~1.4224% | ~$6,235 | +21.3% |
| 2029 | ~$467,551 | ~$467,551 | ~1.3218% | ~$6,180 | +29.4% |
| 2030 | ~$498,694 | ~$498,694 | ~1.2213% | ~$6,090 | +38.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $361,249 places it in the bottom 25% for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — -75% below the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $361,249 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↓ Bottom 25% | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $375,628 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $510,661 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $312,841 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $301,070 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.