18816 ELK HORN DR TX 78653
| Owner | WINSLOW KEVIN & BETHANY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0274650127 |
| Short ID | 906742 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,504 SF |
| Land SF | 8,816 SF |
| Acres | 0.202 |
| Year Built | 2020 |
| Legal | LOT 42 BLK L VERONA SEC 3 |
| Neighborhood | A9740 |
| Land | $42,178 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $42,178 |
| Improvement | $480,165 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $480,165 |
| Market | $522,343 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $522,343 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$4,132 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $518,211 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$103,642 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $414,569 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1454.6% from $33,600 (2021) to $522,343 (2025), a CAGR of 98.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2285% in 2025 (+0.0325% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $9,239. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 44.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($518,211) is $4,132 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 8% of market value ($42,178 land vs $480,165 improvements), about $5/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~6 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +98.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $16,124,134 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $16,461. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,504 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,395 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,109 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 634 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 158 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 261% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $4,186.42 | $4,186.42 | Paid |
| CPF City of Pflugerville | 0.4863% | 0.4813% | 0.5362% | 0.5428% | 0.5350% | -0.0078% | $2,772.43 | $2,772.43 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,558.14 | $1,558.14 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $489.29 | $489.29 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $480.72 | $480.72 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4335% | 2.2428% | 2.1280% | 2.1960% | 2.2285% | +0.0325% | $9,487.00 | $9,487.00 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $441,998 | $522,343 | -15.4% |
| Assessed Value | $441,998 | $518,211 | -14.7% |
| Land Value | $105,264 | $42,178 | +149.6% |
| Improvement Value | $336,734 | $480,165 | -29.9% |
| Taxable Value | $441,998 | $414,569 | +6.6% |
| Exemptions | — | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$9,850
Estimated
|
~$9,487
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $441,998 | $441,998 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $441,998 | $441,998 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $441,998 | $105,264 | $336,734 | — | $441,998 | $441,998 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $522,343 | $42,178 | $480,165 | −$4,132 | $518,211 | $414,569 | ~$9,487 | Partial |
| 2024 | $545,448 | — | — | −$503,448 | $42,000 | $— | $8,812 | Verified |
| 2023 | $526,041 | — | — | −$484,041 | $42,000 | $— | $10,056 | Verified |
| 2022 | $145,577 | — | — | −$103,577 | $42,000 | $— | $10,854 | Verified |
| 2021 | $33,600 | — | — | — | $42,000 ! | $— | $3,543 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -15.4% | -14.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +10.9% | +10.0% | 99.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -13.6% | -13.6% | ~100% | 1.8700% | Verified |
| 2023 | +3.7% | +3.7% | ~100% | 1.8400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +261.3% ! | +261.3% | ~100% | 2.0600% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 10.5400% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +258.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -15.4% | +115.7% | +105.8% | +333.3% | 2022 | -15.4% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 61.5% | — | 125.0% | 2021 | 7.7% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.8200% | 1.8200% | — | 1.8200% | 2025 | 1.8200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$9,487 | $8,550 | ~$14,373 | $10,854 | 2022 | $3,543 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,037,194 | ~$570,032 | ~2.1773% | ~$12,411 | +98.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,059,511 | ~$627,035 | ~2.1261% | ~$13,331 | +294.3% |
| 2028 | ~$4,089,481 | ~$689,739 | ~2.0748% | ~$14,311 | +682.9% |
| 2029 | ~$8,120,304 | ~$758,713 | ~2.0236% | ~$15,353 | +1454.6% |
| 2030 | ~$16,124,134 | ~$834,584 | ~1.9724% | ~$16,461 | +2986.9% |
| 2026 | ~$1,026,747 | ~$570,032 | ~2.2285% | ~$12,703 | +96.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,018,232 | ~$627,035 | ~2.2285% | ~$13,974 | +286.4% |
| 2028 | ~$3,967,150 | ~$689,739 | ~2.2285% | ~$15,371 | +659.5% |
| 2029 | ~$7,798,055 | ~$758,713 | ~2.2285% | ~$16,908 | +1392.9% |
| 2030 | ~$15,328,298 | ~$834,584 | ~2.2285% | ~$18,599 | +2834.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,047,641 | ~$570,032 | ~2.1517% | ~$12,265 | +100.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,101,207 | ~$627,035 | ~2.0748% | ~$13,010 | +302.3% |
| 2028 | ~$4,214,300 | ~$689,739 | ~1.9980% | ~$13,781 | +706.8% |
| 2029 | ~$8,452,438 | ~$758,713 | ~1.9211% | ~$14,576 | +1518.2% |
| 2030 | ~$16,952,688 | ~$834,584 | ~1.8443% | ~$15,392 | +3145.5% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.