20405 WILSON RD TX 78660
| Owner | RODRIGUEZ JUAN G |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0282870104 |
| Short ID | 550257 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 476,111 SF |
| Acres | 10.930 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 28&30-33 LOT 36 MCSHEPHERD RANCHES CATFISH BENDS UNIT (.2186AC IN TRAVIS COUNTY) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN317SFR |
| Land | $592,515 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $592,515 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $592,515 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $592,515 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$580,665 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $11,850 |
| Taxable Value | $11,850 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +18375.7% from $3,207 (2021) to $592,515 (2025), a CAGR of 268.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6935% in 2025 (+0.0403% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $201. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 65.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($11,850) is $580,665 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($592,515 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $592,515, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +268.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $403,598,772 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,555,438. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 251% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $131.17 | $131.17 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $44.54 | $44.54 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $13.99 | $13.99 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $10.99 | $10.99 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.9472% | 1.7615% | 1.5918% | 1.6532% | 1.6935% | +0.0403% | $200.69 | $200.69 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $536,335 | $592,515 | -9.5% |
| Assessed Value | $10,727 | $11,850 | -9.5% |
| Land Value | $536,335 | $592,515 | -9.5% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $10,727 | $11,850 | -9.5% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$525,608 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$182
Estimated
|
~$201
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $536,335 | $536,335 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $10,727 | $10,727 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $536,335 | $536,335 | — | −$525,608 | $10,727 | $10,727 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $592,515 | $592,515 | — | −$580,665 | $11,850 | $11,850 | ~$201 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $11,850 | $— | $196 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $17,586 | $— | $280 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $14,989 | $— | $264 | Verified |
| 2021 | $3,207 | — | — | — | $4,269 ! | $— | $83 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -9.5% | -9.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +4900.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -32.6% | -32.6% | 2.0% | 0.0300% | Verified |
| 2023 | +17.3% | +17.3% | 2.0% | 0.0300% | Verified |
| 2022 | +251.1% ! | -93.0% | 2.0% | 0.0400% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.5900% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +177.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -9.5% | +9183.1% | +276.4% | +18375.7% | 2025 | -9.5% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 2.0% | 45.7% | — | 133.1% | 2021 | 2.0% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0300% | 0.0300% | — | 0.0300% | 2025 | 0.0300% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$201 | $142 | ~$1,547,972 | $201 | 2025 | $83 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$2,184,487 | ~$2,184,487 | ~1.6301% | ~$35,610 | +268.7% |
| 2027 | ~$8,053,776 | ~$8,053,776 | ~1.5667% | ~$126,179 | +1259.3% |
| 2028 | ~$29,692,697 | ~$29,692,697 | ~1.5033% | ~$446,370 | +4911.3% |
| 2029 | ~$109,471,165 | ~$109,471,165 | ~1.4399% | ~$1,576,261 | +18375.7% |
| 2030 | ~$403,598,772 | ~$403,598,772 | ~1.3765% | ~$5,555,438 | +68016.2% |
| 2026 | ~$2,172,637 | ~$2,172,637 | ~1.6935% | ~$36,794 | +266.7% |
| 2027 | ~$7,966,633 | ~$7,966,633 | ~1.6935% | ~$134,918 | +1244.5% |
| 2028 | ~$29,212,087 | ~$29,212,087 | ~1.6935% | ~$494,716 | +4830.2% |
| 2029 | ~$107,115,008 | ~$107,115,008 | ~1.6935% | ~$1,814,028 | +17978.0% |
| 2030 | ~$392,769,784 | ~$392,769,784 | ~1.6935% | ~$6,651,686 | +66188.6% |
| 2026 | ~$2,196,337 | ~$2,196,337 | ~1.5984% | ~$35,107 | +270.7% |
| 2027 | ~$8,141,392 | ~$8,141,392 | ~1.5033% | ~$122,389 | +1274.0% |
| 2028 | ~$30,178,549 | ~$30,178,549 | ~1.4082% | ~$424,969 | +4993.3% |
| 2029 | ~$111,865,980 | ~$111,865,980 | ~1.3131% | ~$1,468,872 | +18779.9% |
| 2030 | ~$414,665,305 | ~$414,665,305 | ~1.2179% | ~$5,050,403 | +69883.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $592,515 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 7× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $592,515 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $3,207 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.