BLAKE-MANOR RD TX 78653
| Owner | LONG RONNIE G & SELINA K CHRAN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0307800113 |
| Short ID | 288766 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 3,566 SF |
| Land SF | 1,055,372 SF |
| Acres | 24.228 |
| Year Built | 2020 |
| Legal | ABS 10 SUR 10 DUTY M ACR 23.228 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $1,031,483 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,031,483 |
| Improvement | $398,319 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $398,319 |
| Market | $1,429,802 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,429,802 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$904,252 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $525,550 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$104,639 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $420,911 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1262.1% from $104,971 (2021) to $1,429,802 (2025), a CAGR of 92.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6462% in 2025 (-0.0044% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,929. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 53.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($525,550) is $904,252 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 72% of market value ($1,031,483 land vs $398,319 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,429,802, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +24.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $4,331,899 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $11,502. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 3,566 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 3,566 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 608 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 454 SF | ✗ |
| 513 | DECK COVERED | 288 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 288766 | LONG RONNIE G & SELINA K CHRAN | ABS 10 SUR 10 DUTY M ACR 1.000 | $523,194 | $523,194 | $418,555 |
| 572753 | LONG RONNIE G & SELINA K CHRAN | 0.000 | $929,120 | $2,464 | $2,464 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $3,658.49 | $3,658.49 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,581.97 | $1,581.97 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $538.01 | $538.01 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $525.55 | $525.55 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $496.77 | $496.77 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8760% | 1.8002% | 1.6049% | 1.6506% | 1.6462% | -0.0044% | $6,800.79 | $6,800.79 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,452,314 | $1,429,802 | +1.6% |
| Assessed Value | $525,658 | $525,550 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $1,129,120 | $1,031,483 | +9.5% |
| Improvement Value | $323,194 | $398,319 | -18.9% |
| Taxable Value | $421,019 | $420,911 | +0.0% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$926,656 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,931
Estimated
|
~$6,801
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,452,314 | $1,452,314 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $421,019 | $421,019 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,452,314 | $1,129,120 | $323,194 | −$926,656 | $525,658 | $421,019 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,429,802 | $1,031,483 | $398,319 | −$904,252 | $525,550 | $420,911 | ~$6,801 | Partial |
| 2024 | $990,573 | — | — | −$865,698 | $124,875 | $— | $10,850 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,003,651 | — | — | −$878,838 | $124,813 | $— | $9,522 | Verified |
| 2022 | $735,249 | — | — | −$610,436 | $124,813 | $— | $10,308 | Verified |
| 2021 | $104,971 | — | — | −$30,013 | $74,958 | $— | $9,876 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +2.5% | +4.6% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +11.9% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +19.8% | -4.8% | 0.2% | 0.6200% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +4.1% | 0.3% | 0.5400% | Verified |
| 2022 | +2.9% | -99.6% | 0.3% | 0.5900% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 77.4% | 9.4100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +23.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +1.6% | +136.3% | +24.4% | +600.4% | 2022 | -1.3% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 36.2% | 31.1% | — | 71.4% | 2021 | 12.4% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$6,801 | $9,471 | ~$10,326 | $10,850 | 2024 | $6,801 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,784,664 | ~$578,105 | ~1.5887% | ~$9,184 | +24.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,227,598 | ~$635,916 | ~1.5313% | ~$9,738 | +55.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,780,465 | ~$699,507 | ~1.4738% | ~$10,309 | +94.5% |
| 2029 | ~$3,470,546 | ~$769,458 | ~1.4164% | ~$10,898 | +142.7% |
| 2030 | ~$4,331,899 | ~$846,404 | ~1.3589% | ~$11,502 | +203.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,756,068 | ~$578,105 | ~1.6462% | ~$9,517 | +22.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,156,784 | ~$635,916 | ~1.6462% | ~$10,468 | +50.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,648,939 | ~$699,507 | ~1.6462% | ~$11,515 | +85.3% |
| 2029 | ~$3,253,399 | ~$769,458 | ~1.6462% | ~$12,667 | +127.5% |
| 2030 | ~$3,995,790 | ~$846,404 | ~1.6462% | ~$13,933 | +179.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,813,260 | ~$578,105 | ~1.5600% | ~$9,018 | +26.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,299,557 | ~$635,916 | ~1.4738% | ~$9,372 | +60.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,916,273 | ~$699,507 | ~1.3876% | ~$9,707 | +104.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,698,387 | ~$769,458 | ~1.3015% | ~$10,014 | +158.7% |
| 2030 | ~$4,690,255 | ~$846,404 | ~1.2153% | ~$10,286 | +228.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,429,802 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +139% above the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,429,802 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $990,573 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,003,651 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $735,249 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $104,971 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.