FAGERQUIST RD TX 78617
| Owner | CANNADAY CARLENE J |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0339500204 |
| Short ID | 299125 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,776 SF |
| Land SF | 2,949,012 SF |
| Acres | 67.700 |
| Year Built | 1955 |
| Legal | ABS 797 SUR 5 WESTBROOK T B ACR 64.70 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN415 |
| Land | $2,278,041 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,278,041 |
| Improvement | $300,669 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $300,669 |
| Market | $2,578,710 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,578,710 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,409,866 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $168,844 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$161,402 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $7,442 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +2473.1% from $100,218 (2021) to $2,578,710 (2025), a CAGR of 125.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 1.7462% in 2025 (-0.0044% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $130. Travis County ESD # 11 is the largest single contributor, at 37.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($168,844) is $2,409,866 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 88% of market value ($2,278,041 land vs $300,669 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~71-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,578,710, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +152.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $262,929,863 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $3,967. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
4 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,776 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 1,200 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 352 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299125 | CANNADAY CARLENE J JACKSON | 15700 FAGERQUIST RD 78617 | $228,929 | $177,542 | $0 |
| 464369 | CANNADAY CARLENE J | 0.000 | $2,588,000 | $8,459 | $8,459 |
Market value changed by 114% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $168.84 | $168.84 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $168.84 | $168.84 | Paid |
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $70.62 | $70.62 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $27.97 | $27.97 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $8.78 | $8.78 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $7.70 | $7.70 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.9760% | 1.8900% | 1.7067% | 1.7506% | 1.7462% | -0.0044% | $452.75 | $452.75 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,816,929 | $2,578,710 | +9.2% |
| Assessed Value | $186,001 | $168,844 | +10.2% |
| Land Value | $2,696,000 | $2,278,041 | +18.3% |
| Improvement Value | $120,929 | $300,669 | -59.8% |
| Taxable Value | $8,459 | $7,442 | +13.7% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,630,928 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$148
Estimated
|
~$453
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,816,929 | $2,816,929 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $8,459 | $8,459 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,816,929 | $2,696,000 | $120,929 | −$2,630,928 | $186,001 | $8,459 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,578,710 | $2,278,041 | $300,669 | −$2,409,866 | $168,844 | $7,442 | ~$453 | Partial |
| 2024 | $234,166 | — | — | −$142,909 | $91,257 | $— | $414 | Verified |
| 2023 | $221,201 | — | — | −$168,559 | $52,642 | $— | $422 | Verified |
| 2022 | $160,820 | — | — | −$108,178 | $52,642 | $— | $920 | Verified |
| 2021 | $100,218 | — | — | −$75,608 | $24,610 | $— | $957 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +18.3% | +13.7% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.4% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +73.4% | -24.7% | 0.3% | 0.0200% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -14.9% | 0.7% | 0.0300% | Verified |
| 2022 | +113.9% ! | -15.1% | 0.8% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 2.1% | 0.9600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +270.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +9.2% | +222.9% | +147.9% | +1001.2% | 2025 | +5.9% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 6.6% | 22.2% | — | 39.0% | 2024 | 6.5% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$453 | $633 | ~$3,544 | $957 | 2021 | $414 | 2024 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$6,502,644 | ~$185,728 | ~1.6887% | ~$3,136 | +152.2% |
| 2027 | ~$16,397,494 | ~$204,301 | ~1.6313% | ~$3,333 | +535.9% |
| 2028 | ~$41,348,994 | ~$224,731 | ~1.5738% | ~$3,537 | +1503.5% |
| 2029 | ~$104,268,334 | ~$247,205 | ~1.5164% | ~$3,749 | +3943.4% |
| 2030 | ~$262,929,863 | ~$271,925 | ~1.4589% | ~$3,967 | +10096.2% |
| 2026 | ~$6,451,070 | ~$185,728 | ~1.7462% | ~$3,243 | +150.2% |
| 2027 | ~$16,138,419 | ~$204,301 | ~1.7462% | ~$3,567 | +525.8% |
| 2028 | ~$40,372,927 | ~$224,731 | ~1.7462% | ~$3,924 | +1465.6% |
| 2029 | ~$100,999,560 | ~$247,205 | ~1.7462% | ~$4,317 | +3816.7% |
| 2030 | ~$252,667,119 | ~$271,925 | ~1.7462% | ~$4,748 | +9698.2% |
| 2026 | ~$6,554,218 | ~$185,728 | ~1.6600% | ~$3,083 | +154.2% |
| 2027 | ~$16,658,631 | ~$204,301 | ~1.5738% | ~$3,215 | +546.0% |
| 2028 | ~$42,340,668 | ~$224,731 | ~1.4876% | ~$3,343 | +1541.9% |
| 2029 | ~$107,615,816 | ~$247,205 | ~1.4015% | ~$3,464 | +4073.2% |
| 2030 | ~$273,523,410 | ~$271,925 | ~1.3153% | ~$3,577 | +10507.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,578,710 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,578,710 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $234,166 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $221,201 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $160,820 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $100,218 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.