14200 GRAEF RD TX 78610
| Owner | SALGADO ESMERALDA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0372010508 |
| Short ID | 464463 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 218,018 SF |
| Acres | 5.005 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 3A&3B BLK A GRAEF ROAD ESTATES RESUB OF LOT 3 |
| Neighborhood | _RGN435 |
| Land | $375,112 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $375,112 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $375,112 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $375,112 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$7,618 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $367,494 |
| Taxable Value | $367,494 |
|---|
| Total Due | $3,983.78 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | 2023 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +274.7% from $100,100 (2021) to $375,112 (2025), a CAGR of 39.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,930. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 47.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($367,494) is $7,618 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($375,112 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $375,112, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +39.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $1,955,778 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $16,162. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $3,983.78 in unpaid taxes since 2023. These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +115 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +37 |
| Austin Community College | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +8 |
| Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
| Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
Market value changed by 325% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,381.21 | $514.46 | $866.75 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $433.73 | $161.56 | $272.17 |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $379.99 | $141.54 | $238.45 |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $367.49 | $136.89 | $230.60 |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $367.49 | $136.89 | $230.60 |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $2,929.91 | $1,091.34 | $1,838.57 |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $375,112 | $375,112 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $375,112 | $367,494 | +2.1% |
| Land Value | $412,694 | $375,112 | +10.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $375,112 | $367,494 | +2.1% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,991
Estimated
|
$2,930 | ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $375,112 | $375,112 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $375,112 | $375,112 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $375,112 | $412,694 | — | — | $375,112 | $375,112 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $375,112 | $375,112 | — | −$7,618 | $367,494 | $367,494 | $2,930 | Verified |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $375,112 | $— | $2,308 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $255,204 | $— | $1,796 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $425,125 | $— | $2,999 | Verified |
| 2021 | $100,100 | — | — | — | $100,100 | $— | $775 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +2.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 98.0% | 0.7800% | Verified |
| 2024 | +47.0% | +20.0% | 81.6% | 0.6200% | Verified |
| 2023 | -40.0% | -40.0% | ~100% | 0.7000% | Verified |
| 2022 | +324.7% ! | +324.7% | ~100% | 0.7100% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 0.7700% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +274.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +137.3% | +39.1% | +274.7% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 99.3% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 98.0% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7800% | 0.7800% | — | 0.7800% | 2025 | 0.7800% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $2,930 | $1,852 | ~$9,198 | $2,930 | 2025 | $775 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$521,906 | ~$521,906 | ~0.8031% | ~$4,191 | +39.1% |
| 2027 | ~$726,147 | ~$726,147 | ~0.8089% | ~$5,874 | +93.6% |
| 2028 | ~$1,010,313 | ~$1,010,313 | ~0.8147% | ~$8,231 | +169.3% |
| 2029 | ~$1,405,684 | ~$1,405,684 | ~0.8206% | ~$11,534 | +274.7% |
| 2030 | ~$1,955,778 | ~$1,955,778 | ~0.8264% | ~$16,162 | +421.4% |
| 2026 | ~$514,404 | ~$514,404 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,101 | +37.1% |
| 2027 | ~$705,421 | ~$705,421 | ~0.7973% | ~$5,624 | +88.1% |
| 2028 | ~$967,368 | ~$967,368 | ~0.7973% | ~$7,713 | +157.9% |
| 2029 | ~$1,326,585 | ~$1,326,585 | ~0.7973% | ~$10,576 | +253.7% |
| 2030 | ~$1,819,193 | ~$1,819,193 | ~0.7973% | ~$14,504 | +385.0% |
| 2026 | ~$529,409 | ~$529,409 | ~0.8060% | ~$4,267 | +41.1% |
| 2027 | ~$747,173 | ~$747,173 | ~0.8147% | ~$6,087 | +99.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,054,512 | ~$1,054,512 | ~0.8235% | ~$8,684 | +181.1% |
| 2029 | ~$1,488,269 | ~$1,488,269 | ~0.8322% | ~$12,385 | +296.8% |
| 2030 | ~$2,100,446 | ~$2,100,446 | ~0.8409% | ~$17,663 | +460.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $375,112 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $375,112 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $100,100 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.