9316 CHISHOLM TRL TX 78748
| Owner | HENRIQUEZ CARMEN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0430150301 |
| Short ID | 346049 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 52,185 SF |
| Acres | 1.198 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 6 SUR 19 CANNON W ACR 1.198 AKA TRT 14B WESTERN RIDGE ESTATES |
| Neighborhood | J4800 |
| Land | $782,773 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $782,773 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $782,773 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $782,773 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $782,773 |
| Taxable Value | $782,773 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +308.4% from $191,680 (2021) to $782,773 (2025), a CAGR of 42.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.0465% in 2025 (+0.0647% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $16,019. Austin ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($782,773 land vs $0 improvements), about $15/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $782,773, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +42.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $4,544,223 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $85,601. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 308% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 1.0617% | 0.9966% | 0.8595% | 0.9505% | 0.9252% | -0.0253% | $7,242.22 | $7,242.22 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $4,101.86 | $4,101.86 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,942.01 | $2,942.01 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $923.85 | $923.85 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $809.39 | $809.39 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1767% | 1.9749% | 1.8092% | 1.9818% | 2.0465% | +0.0647% | $16,019.33 | $16,019.33 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $782,773 | $782,773 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $782,773 | $782,773 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $782,773 | $782,773 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $782,773 | $782,773 | +0.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$16,019
Estimated
|
~$16,019
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $782,773 | $782,773 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $782,773 | $782,773 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $782,773 | $782,773 | — | — | $782,773 | $782,773 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $782,773 | $782,773 | — | — | $782,773 | $782,773 | ~$16,019 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $782,773 | $— | $15,513 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $782,773 | $— | $14,162 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $782,773 | $— | $15,459 | Verified |
| 2021 | $191,680 | — | — | — | $191,680 | $— | $4,172 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.9800% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.8100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +308.4% ! | +308.4% | ~100% | 1.9700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.1800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +308.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +154.2% | +42.2% | +308.4% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.0500% | 2.0500% | — | 2.0500% | 2025 | 2.0500% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$16,019 | $10,096 | ~$48,887 | $16,019 | 2025 | $4,172 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,112,758 | ~$1,112,758 | ~2.0139% | ~$22,410 | +42.2% |
| 2027 | ~$1,581,850 | ~$1,581,850 | ~1.9814% | ~$31,343 | +102.1% |
| 2028 | ~$2,248,693 | ~$2,248,693 | ~1.9488% | ~$43,823 | +187.3% |
| 2029 | ~$3,196,648 | ~$3,196,648 | ~1.9163% | ~$61,257 | +308.4% |
| 2030 | ~$4,544,223 | ~$4,544,223 | ~1.8837% | ~$85,601 | +480.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,097,102 | ~$1,097,102 | ~2.0465% | ~$22,452 | +40.2% |
| 2027 | ~$1,537,653 | ~$1,537,653 | ~2.0465% | ~$31,468 | +96.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,155,111 | ~$2,155,111 | ~2.0465% | ~$44,104 | +175.3% |
| 2029 | ~$3,020,514 | ~$3,020,514 | ~2.0465% | ~$61,814 | +285.9% |
| 2030 | ~$4,233,427 | ~$4,233,427 | ~2.0465% | ~$86,636 | +440.8% |
| 2026 | ~$1,128,413 | ~$1,128,413 | ~1.9977% | ~$22,542 | +44.2% |
| 2027 | ~$1,626,674 | ~$1,626,674 | ~1.9488% | ~$31,701 | +107.8% |
| 2028 | ~$2,344,945 | ~$2,344,945 | ~1.9000% | ~$44,554 | +199.6% |
| 2029 | ~$3,380,376 | ~$3,380,376 | ~1.8512% | ~$62,577 | +331.8% |
| 2030 | ~$4,873,010 | ~$4,873,010 | ~1.8024% | ~$87,830 | +522.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $782,773 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 9× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $782,773 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $191,680 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.