6510 ROUNDED PEBBLE LN 78610
| Owner | PICOTT TAT & IRIS M VELARDE |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0455070405 |
| Short ID | 954534 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,934 SF |
| Land SF | 5,400 SF |
| Acres | 0.124 |
| Year Built | 2021 |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 1 BLK L LOT 24 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $62,881 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $62,881 |
| Improvement | $407,382 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $407,382 |
| Market | $470,263 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $470,263 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $470,263 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS) | −$94,053 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $376,210 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +806.9% from $51,855 (2023) to $470,263 (2025), a CAGR of 201.1% over 2 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,999. P10L is the largest single contributor, at 39.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 13% of market value ($62,881 land vs $407,382 improvements), about $12/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~5 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +201.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $116,470,580 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $6,259. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,934 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,740 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,194 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 380 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 92 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 948% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,096.06 | $2,096.06 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,413.97 | $1,413.97 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $481.08 | $481.08 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $470.26 | $470.26 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $470.26 | $470.26 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $444.01 | $444.01 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $5,375.64 | $5,375.64 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $432,167 | $470,263 | -8.1% |
| Assessed Value | $432,167 | $470,263 | -8.1% |
| Land Value | $62,881 | $62,881 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $369,286 | $407,382 | -9.4% |
| Taxable Value | $345,734 | $376,210 | -8.1% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,756
Estimated
|
~$5,376
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $432,167 | $432,167 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $345,734 | $345,734 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $432,167 | $62,881 | $369,286 | — | $432,167 | $345,734 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $470,263 | $62,881 | $407,382 | — | $470,263 | $376,210 | ~$5,376 | Partial |
| 2024 | $543,386 | — | — | −$483,386 | $60,000 | $— | $5,583 | Verified |
| 2023 | $51,855 | — | — | — | $60,000 ! | $— | $5,628 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $48,000 | $— | $2,590 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -8.1% | -8.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -9.6% | -9.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -4.3% | -4.3% | ~100% | 1.0700% | Verified |
| 2023 | +947.9% ! | +947.9% | ~100% | 1.0400% | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | 4.9900% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +806.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -8.1% | +308.8% | +206.5% | +947.9% | 2024 | -13.5% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 81.7% | — | 115.7% | 2023 | 11.0% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.1400% | 1.1400% | — | 1.1400% | 2025 | 1.1400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$5,376 | $5,529 | ~$5,153 | $5,628 | 2023 | $5,376 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,416,172 | ~$517,289 | ~0.8031% | ~$4,154 | +201.1% |
| 2027 | ~$4,264,725 | ~$569,018 | ~0.8089% | ~$4,603 | +806.9% |
| 2028 | ~$12,842,988 | ~$625,920 | ~0.8147% | ~$5,100 | +2631.0% |
| 2029 | ~$38,675,965 | ~$688,512 | ~0.8206% | ~$5,650 | +8124.3% |
| 2030 | ~$116,470,580 | ~$757,363 | ~0.8264% | ~$6,259 | +24667.1% |
| 2026 | ~$1,406,766 | ~$517,289 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,124 | +199.1% |
| 2027 | ~$4,208,266 | ~$569,018 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,537 | +794.9% |
| 2028 | ~$12,588,800 | ~$625,920 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,990 | +2577.0% |
| 2029 | ~$37,658,716 | ~$688,512 | ~0.7973% | ~$5,489 | +7908.0% |
| 2030 | ~$112,654,016 | ~$757,363 | ~0.7973% | ~$6,038 | +23855.5% |
| 2026 | ~$1,425,577 | ~$517,289 | ~0.8060% | ~$4,169 | +203.1% |
| 2027 | ~$4,321,559 | ~$569,018 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,636 | +819.0% |
| 2028 | ~$13,100,574 | ~$625,920 | ~0.8235% | ~$5,154 | +2685.8% |
| 2029 | ~$39,713,684 | ~$688,512 | ~0.8322% | ~$5,730 | +8345.0% |
| 2030 | ~$120,389,891 | ~$757,363 | ~0.8409% | ~$6,369 | +25500.5% |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.