COW CREEK RD TX 78654
| Owner | HAILEY TRAVIS T JR & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0517960104 |
| Short ID | 382619 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,583 SF |
| Land SF | 2,213,719 SF |
| Acres | 50.820 |
| Year Built | 1997 |
| Legal | ABS 596 SUR 6 PAYNE J C ACR 49.82 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN150 |
| Land | $2,078,636 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,078,636 |
| Improvement | $449,316 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $449,316 |
| Market | $2,527,952 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,527,952 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,169,839 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $358,113 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$213,821 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $144,292 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +916.7% from $248,631 (2021) to $2,527,952 (2025), a CAGR of 78.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6938% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,001. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 39.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($358,113) is $2,169,839 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 82% of market value ($2,078,636 land vs $449,316 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,527,952, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +118.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $127,004,933 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $4,179. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,583 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,311 SF | ✓ |
| 301 | BARN SF | 2,075 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 831 SF | ✗ |
| 288 | SHED SF | 700 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 272 SF | ✓ |
| 631 | PORCH CLOS UNFIN | 144 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 382619 | HAILEY TRAVIS T JR & | 11001 COW CREEK RD 78654 | $473,001 | $388,305 | $165,375 |
| 447971 | HAILEY TRAVIS T JR & | 0.000 | $1,165,456 | $5,263 | $5,263 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $542.32 | $542.32 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $358.12 | $358.12 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $358.00 | $358.00 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $120.75 | $120.75 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6692% | 0.5953% | 0.5895% | 0.6434% | 0.6938% | +0.0504% | $1,379.19 | $1,379.19 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,638,457 | $2,527,952 | -35.2% |
| Assessed Value | $393,568 | $358,113 | +9.9% |
| Land Value | $1,188,789 | $2,078,636 | -42.8% |
| Improvement Value | $449,668 | $449,316 | +0.1% |
| Taxable Value | $170,638 | $144,292 | +18.3% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,244,889 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,184
Estimated
|
~$1,379
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,638,457 | $1,638,457 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $172,687 | $170,638 | -2,049 (-1.2%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,638,457 | $1,188,789 | $449,668 | −$1,244,889 | $393,568 | $170,638 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,527,952 | $2,078,636 | $449,316 | −$2,169,839 | $358,113 | $144,292 | ~$1,379 | Partial |
| 2024 | $291,740 | — | — | −$166,852 | $124,888 | $— | $1,169 | Verified |
| 2023 | $291,740 | — | — | −$211,752 | $79,988 | $— | $1,009 | Verified |
| 2022 | $241,067 | — | — | −$161,079 | $79,988 | $— | $1,062 | Verified |
| 2021 | $248,631 | — | — | −$229,809 | $18,822 | $— | $1,642 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -42.8% | +3.0% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.8% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +32.4% | -0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0400% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +4.9% | 0.3% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2022 | +63.9% | +5.3% | 0.3% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.5% | 0.6600% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +116.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -35.2% | +149.9% | +142.6% | +766.5% | 2025 | -35.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 24.0% | 24.9% | — | 42.8% | 2024 | 7.6% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$1,379 | $1,252 | ~$3,432 | $1,642 | 2021 | $1,009 | 2023 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$5,533,236 | ~$393,924 | ~0.7000% | ~$2,757 | +118.9% |
| 2027 | ~$12,111,266 | ~$433,317 | ~0.7062% | ~$3,060 | +379.1% |
| 2028 | ~$26,509,399 | ~$476,648 | ~0.7123% | ~$3,395 | +948.7% |
| 2029 | ~$58,024,344 | ~$524,313 | ~0.7185% | ~$3,767 | +2195.3% |
| 2030 | ~$127,004,933 | ~$576,745 | ~0.7247% | ~$4,179 | +4924.0% |
| 2026 | ~$5,482,677 | ~$393,924 | ~0.6938% | ~$2,733 | +116.9% |
| 2027 | ~$11,890,947 | ~$433,317 | ~0.6938% | ~$3,007 | +370.4% |
| 2028 | ~$25,789,343 | ~$476,648 | ~0.6938% | ~$3,307 | +920.2% |
| 2029 | ~$55,932,482 | ~$524,313 | ~0.6938% | ~$3,638 | +2112.6% |
| 2030 | ~$121,307,572 | ~$576,745 | ~0.6938% | ~$4,002 | +4698.7% |
| 2026 | ~$5,583,795 | ~$393,924 | ~0.7031% | ~$2,770 | +120.9% |
| 2027 | ~$12,333,606 | ~$433,317 | ~0.7123% | ~$3,087 | +387.9% |
| 2028 | ~$27,242,735 | ~$476,648 | ~0.7216% | ~$3,439 | +977.7% |
| 2029 | ~$60,174,340 | ~$524,313 | ~0.7308% | ~$3,832 | +2280.4% |
| 2030 | ~$132,914,378 | ~$576,745 | ~0.7401% | ~$4,268 | +5157.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,527,952 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,527,952 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $291,740 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $291,740 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $241,067 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $248,631 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.