21309 CARDINAL AVE TX 78645
| Owner | WINDON RONALD JOSEPH JR & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0160900634 |
| Short ID | 159870 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 3,024 SF |
| Land SF | 29,355 SF |
| Acres | 0.674 |
| Year Built | 2021 |
| Legal | LOT 5 BLK C EMERALD BEND SEC 1 |
| Neighborhood | S04WF |
| Land | $395,200 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $395,200 |
| Improvement | $551,577 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $551,577 |
| Market | $946,777 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $946,777 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $946,777 |
| Taxable Value | $946,777 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +658.6% from $124,800 (2021) to $946,777 (2025), a CAGR of 66.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.1307% in 2025 (+0.0473% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $20,173. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 47.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 42% of market value ($395,200 land vs $551,577 improvements), about $13/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~5 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $946,777, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +52.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $8,488,014 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $28,120. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 3,024 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 3,024 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 2,772 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 912 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $9,347.47 | $9,347.47 | Paid |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.6070% | 0.4283% | 0.4139% | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -0.0031% | $3,860.69 | $3,860.69 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3,454.81 | $3,454.81 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,084.88 | $1,084.88 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $919.21 | $919.21 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $918.91 | $918.91 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4782% | 2.2082% | 2.0226% | 2.0834% | 2.1307% | +0.0473% | $19,585.97 | $19,585.97 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $9,347.47 | 47.7% |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.4200% | $3,860.69 | 19.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $3,454.81 | 17.6% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1,084.88 | 5.5% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $919.21 | 4.7% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $918.91 | 4.7% |
| Total | 2.1307% | $19,585.97 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,029,225 | $946,777 | +8.7% |
| Assessed Value | $1,029,225 | $946,777 | +8.7% |
| Land Value | $166,400 | $395,200 | -57.9% |
| Improvement Value | $862,825 | $551,577 | +56.4% |
| Taxable Value | $1,029,225 | $946,777 | +8.7% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$21,930
Estimated
|
~$19,586
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,029,225 | $166,400 | $862,825 | — | $1,029,225 | $1,029,225 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $946,777 | $395,200 | $551,577 | — | $946,777 | $946,777 | ~$19,586 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,064,233 | $395,200 | $669,033 | — | $1,064,233 | $1,064,233 | $22,172 | Verified |
| 2023 | $938,795 | $332,800 | $605,995 | — | $938,795 | $938,795 | $18,989 | Verified |
| 2022 | $552,201 | $332,800 | $219,401 | — | $552,201 | $552,201 | $12,194 | Verified |
| 2021 | $124,800 | $124,800 | — | — | $124,800 | $124,800 | $3,093 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +8.7% | +8.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -11.0% | -11.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +13.4% | +13.4% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +70.0% | +70.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +342.5% ! | +342.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +658.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +8.7% | +84.7% | +52.5% | +342.5% | 2022 | -11.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.0700% | 2.0700% | — | 2.0700% | 2025 | 2.0700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$19,586 | $15,207 | ~$25,625 | $22,172 | 2024 | $3,093 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 342% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,569,529 | ~$1,132,148 | ~2.0439% | ~$23,140 | +52.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,393,473 | ~$1,245,362 | ~1.9570% | ~$24,372 | +132.6% |
| 2029 | ~$3,649,957 | ~$1,369,898 | ~1.8702% | ~$25,619 | +254.6% |
| 2030 | ~$5,566,048 | ~$1,506,888 | ~1.7833% | ~$26,872 | +440.8% |
| 2031 | ~$8,488,014 | ~$1,657,577 | ~1.6964% | ~$28,120 | +724.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,548,945 | ~$1,132,148 | ~2.1307% | ~$24,123 | +50.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,331,104 | ~$1,245,362 | ~2.1307% | ~$26,535 | +126.5% |
| 2029 | ~$3,508,224 | ~$1,369,898 | ~2.1307% | ~$29,189 | +240.9% |
| 2030 | ~$5,279,745 | ~$1,506,888 | ~2.1307% | ~$32,108 | +413.0% |
| 2031 | ~$7,945,818 | ~$1,657,577 | ~2.1307% | ~$35,319 | +672.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,590,114 | ~$1,132,148 | ~2.0004% | ~$22,648 | +54.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,456,666 | ~$1,245,362 | ~1.8702% | ~$23,290 | +138.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,795,457 | ~$1,369,898 | ~1.7399% | ~$23,834 | +268.8% |
| 2030 | ~$5,863,839 | ~$1,506,888 | ~1.6096% | ~$24,254 | +469.7% |
| 2031 | ~$9,059,411 | ~$1,657,577 | ~1.4793% | ~$24,520 | +780.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $946,777 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 11× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $946,777 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $1,064,233 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $938,795 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $552,201 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $124,800 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |