3500 LOHMANS FORD RD 19 TX 78645
| Owner | WALTER DAVID E JR |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0162780318 |
| Short ID | 475302 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 39,600 SF |
| Acres | 0.909 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2191 SUR 173 C E P I & M CO ACR .783 |
| Neighborhood | S04WF |
| Land | $356,400 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $356,400 |
| Improvement | $15,107 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $15,107 |
| Market | $371,507 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $371,507 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$82,596 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $288,911 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $288,911 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +284.9% from $96,525 (2021) to $371,507 (2025), a CAGR of 40.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7107% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $4,943. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 35.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($288,911) is $82,596 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 96% of market value ($356,400 land vs $15,107 improvements), about $9/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $371,507, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +30.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,428,654 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $7,729. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 600 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $926.69 | $926.69 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $868.69 | $868.69 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $288.91 | $288.91 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $288.82 | $288.82 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $272.79 | $272.79 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8712% | 1.7799% | 1.6087% | 1.6603% | 1.7107% | +0.0504% | $2,645.90 | $2,645.90 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $926.69 | 35.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $868.69 | 32.8% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $288.91 | 10.9% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $288.82 | 10.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $272.79 | 10.3% |
| Total | 1.7107% | $2,645.90 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $371,350 | $371,507 | -0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $317,802 | $288,911 | +10.0% |
| Land Value | $356,400 | $356,400 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $14,950 | $15,107 | -1.0% |
| Taxable Value | $317,802 | $288,911 | +10.0% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$53,548 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$5,437
Estimated
|
~$2,646
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $371,350 | $356,400 | $14,950 | −$53,548 | $317,802 | $317,802 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $371,507 | $356,400 | $15,107 | −$82,596 | $288,911 | $288,911 | ~$2,646 | Partial |
| 2024 | $376,307 | $356,400 | $19,907 | −$113,661 | $262,646 | $210,117 | $2,572 | Verified |
| 2023 | $238,769 | $198,000 | $40,769 | — | $238,769 | $191,015 | $2,142 | Verified |
| 2022 | $298,169 | $257,400 | $40,769 | — | $298,169 | $298,169 | $3,878 | Verified |
| 2021 | $96,525 | $96,525 | — | — | $96,525 | $96,525 | $1,806 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.0% | +10.0% | 85.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -1.3% | +10.0% | 77.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +57.6% | +10.0% | 69.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -19.9% | -19.9% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +208.9% ! | +208.9% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +284.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +-0.0% | +49.1% | +30.9% | +208.9% | 2022 | -19.9% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 85.6% | 88.9% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 69.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7100% | 0.7100% | — | 0.7100% | 2025 | 0.7100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,646 | $2,609 | ~$6,756 | $3,878 | 2022 | $1,806 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 209% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$486,197 | ~$349,582 | ~1.6706% | ~$5,840 | +30.9% |
| 2028 | ~$636,562 | ~$384,540 | ~1.6305% | ~$6,270 | +71.4% |
| 2029 | ~$833,431 | ~$422,994 | ~1.5904% | ~$6,727 | +124.4% |
| 2030 | ~$1,091,185 | ~$465,294 | ~1.5503% | ~$7,213 | +193.8% |
| 2031 | ~$1,428,654 | ~$511,823 | ~1.5102% | ~$7,729 | +284.7% |
| 2027 | ~$478,770 | ~$349,582 | ~1.7107% | ~$5,980 | +28.9% |
| 2028 | ~$617,263 | ~$384,540 | ~1.7107% | ~$6,578 | +66.2% |
| 2029 | ~$795,818 | ~$422,994 | ~1.7107% | ~$7,236 | +114.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,026,023 | ~$465,294 | ~1.7107% | ~$7,960 | +176.3% |
| 2031 | ~$1,322,819 | ~$511,823 | ~1.7107% | ~$8,756 | +256.2% |
| 2027 | ~$493,624 | ~$349,582 | ~1.6506% | ~$5,770 | +32.9% |
| 2028 | ~$656,159 | ~$384,540 | ~1.5904% | ~$6,116 | +76.7% |
| 2029 | ~$872,211 | ~$422,994 | ~1.5302% | ~$6,473 | +134.9% |
| 2030 | ~$1,159,403 | ~$465,294 | ~1.4701% | ~$6,840 | +212.2% |
| 2031 | ~$1,541,157 | ~$511,823 | ~1.4099% | ~$7,216 | +315.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $371,507 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $371,507 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $376,307 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $238,769 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $298,169 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $96,525 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |