HOG EYE RD TX
| Owner | SELLERS LARRY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0218900305 |
| Short ID | 214559 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1 SF |
| Land SF | 3,838,551 SF |
| Acres | 88.121 |
| Year Built | 2005 |
| Legal | ABS 215 SUR 56 DUTY R ACR 88.121 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN307 |
| Land | $3,145,759 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $3,145,759 |
| Improvement | $111,100 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $111,100 |
| Market | $3,256,859 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $3,256,859 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$3,136,428 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $120,431 |
| Taxable Value | $120,431 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +639.2% from $440,605 (2021) to $3,256,859 (2025), a CAGR of 64.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,142. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($120,431) is $3,136,428 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 97% of market value ($3,145,759 land vs $111,100 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $3,256,859, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +32.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $11,213,293 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $164,783. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
3 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 298 | LIGHT UTILITY BLDG | 5,475 SF | ✓ |
| 051 | CARPORT DET 1ST | 600 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $1,302.34 | $1,302.34 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $452.63 | $452.63 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $142.14 | $142.14 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $124.53 | $124.53 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $120.43 | $120.43 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $2,142.07 | $2,142.07 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $1,302.34 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $452.63 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $142.14 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $124.53 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $120.43 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $2,142.07 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,729,208 | $3,256,859 | -16.2% |
| Assessed Value | $94,973 | $120,431 | -21.1% |
| Land Value | $2,643,630 | $3,145,759 | -16.0% |
| Improvement Value | $85,578 | $111,100 | -23.0% |
| Taxable Value | $94,973 | $120,431 | -21.1% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,634,235 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,689
Estimated
|
~$2,142
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,729,208 | $2,643,630 | $85,578 | −$2,634,235 | $94,973 | $94,973 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $3,256,859 | $3,145,759 | $111,100 | −$3,136,428 | $120,431 | $120,431 | ~$2,142 | Partial |
| 2024 | $3,145,759 | $3,145,759 | — | −$3,136,549 | $9,210 | $9,210 | $160 | Verified |
| 2023 | $881,210 | $881,210 | — | −$871,950 | $9,260 | $9,260 | $156 | Verified |
| 2022 | $881,210 | $881,210 | — | −$871,612 | $9,598 | $9,598 | $189 | Verified |
| 2021 | $440,605 | — | — | −$431,014 | $9,591 | $9,591 | $194 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -16.2% | -21.1% | 3.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +3.5% | +1207.6% | 3.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +257.0% ! | -0.5% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -3.5% | 1.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +100.0% ! | +0.1% | 1.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 2.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +639.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -16.2% | +68.9% | +32.7% | +257.0% | 2024 | -16.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 3.5% | 2.0% | — | 3.7% | 2025 | 0.3% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0700% | 0.0700% | — | 0.0700% | 2025 | 0.0700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,142 | $568 | ~$107,477 | $2,142 | 2025 | $156 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 100% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,620,562 | ~$3,620,562 | ~1.7168% | ~$62,159 | +32.7% |
| 2028 | ~$4,803,029 | ~$4,803,029 | ~1.6550% | ~$79,491 | +76.0% |
| 2029 | ~$6,371,689 | ~$6,371,689 | ~1.5932% | ~$101,513 | +133.5% |
| 2030 | ~$8,452,669 | ~$8,452,669 | ~1.5314% | ~$129,441 | +209.7% |
| 2031 | ~$11,213,293 | ~$11,213,293 | ~1.4695% | ~$164,783 | +310.9% |
| 2027 | ~$3,565,977 | ~$3,565,977 | ~1.7787% | ~$63,427 | +30.7% |
| 2028 | ~$4,659,299 | ~$4,659,299 | ~1.7787% | ~$82,873 | +70.7% |
| 2029 | ~$6,087,830 | ~$6,087,830 | ~1.7787% | ~$108,282 | +123.1% |
| 2030 | ~$7,954,346 | ~$7,954,346 | ~1.7787% | ~$141,481 | +191.5% |
| 2031 | ~$10,393,131 | ~$10,393,131 | ~1.7787% | ~$184,859 | +280.8% |
| 2027 | ~$3,675,146 | ~$3,675,146 | ~1.6859% | ~$61,960 | +34.7% |
| 2028 | ~$4,948,944 | ~$4,948,944 | ~1.5932% | ~$78,846 | +81.3% |
| 2029 | ~$6,664,237 | ~$6,664,237 | ~1.5004% | ~$99,993 | +144.2% |
| 2030 | ~$8,974,048 | ~$8,974,048 | ~1.4077% | ~$126,328 | +228.8% |
| 2031 | ~$12,084,433 | ~$12,084,433 | ~1.3150% | ~$158,905 | +342.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $3,256,859 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 6× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3,256,859 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $3,145,759 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $881,210 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $881,210 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $440,605 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |