12524 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | LAZO CRISTOBAL RAMIREZ |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250400521 |
| Short ID | 942778 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,896 SF |
| Land SF | 6,952 SF |
| Acres | 0.160 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 14 BLK P EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $99,841 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $99,841 |
| Improvement | $396,884 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $396,884 |
| Market | $496,725 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $496,725 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $496,725 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $496,725 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +3211.5% from $15,000 (2021) to $496,725 (2025), a CAGR of 139.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $10,941. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 20% of market value ($99,841 land vs $396,884 improvements), about $14/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +100.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $15,421,245 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $14,503. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,896 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,603 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,293 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 389 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 175 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,490.32 | $3,490.32 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,939.95 | $1,939.95 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,391.40 | $1,391.40 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $473.32 | $473.32 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $436.93 | $436.93 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $7,731.92 | $7,731.92 | Paid |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $480,956 | $496,725 | -3.2% |
| Assessed Value | $480,956 | $496,725 | -3.2% |
| Land Value | $106,507 | $99,841 | +6.7% |
| Improvement Value | $374,449 | $396,884 | -5.7% |
| Taxable Value | $480,956 | $496,725 | -3.2% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$10,594
Estimated
|
~$7,732
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $480,956 | $106,507 | $374,449 | — | $480,956 | $480,956 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $496,725 | $99,841 | $396,884 | — | $496,725 | $496,725 | ~$7,732 | Partial |
| 2024 | $413,406 | $100,000 | $313,406 | — | $413,406 | $349,701 | $7,305 | Verified |
| 2023 | $117,500 | $100,000 | $17,500 | — | $117,500 | $117,500 | $2,392 | Verified |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $50,000 | — | — | $50,000 | $50,000 | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $15,000 | $15,000 | — | — | $15,000 | $15,000 | $370 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.2% | -3.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +20.2% | +20.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +251.8% ! | +251.8% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +135.0% ! | +135.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +3211.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -3.2% | +127.4% | +100.1% | +251.8% | 2024 | -3.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.5600% | 1.5600% | — | 1.5600% | 2025 | 1.5600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$7,732 | $3,793 | ~$12,868 | $7,732 | 2025 | $370 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$962,295 | ~$529,052 | ~2.1366% | ~$11,304 | +100.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,925,356 | ~$581,957 | ~2.0705% | ~$12,050 | +300.3% |
| 2029 | ~$3,852,244 | ~$640,152 | ~2.0045% | ~$12,832 | +701.0% |
| 2030 | ~$7,707,555 | ~$704,168 | ~1.9384% | ~$13,650 | +1502.5% |
| 2031 | ~$15,421,245 | ~$774,584 | ~1.8723% | ~$14,503 | +3106.4% |
| 2027 | ~$952,676 | ~$529,052 | ~2.2027% | ~$11,653 | +98.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,887,056 | ~$581,957 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,819 | +292.4% |
| 2029 | ~$3,737,874 | ~$640,152 | ~2.2027% | ~$14,101 | +677.2% |
| 2030 | ~$7,403,965 | ~$704,168 | ~2.2027% | ~$15,511 | +1439.4% |
| 2031 | ~$14,665,745 | ~$774,584 | ~2.2027% | ~$17,062 | +2949.3% |
| 2027 | ~$971,914 | ~$529,052 | ~2.1036% | ~$11,129 | +102.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,964,040 | ~$581,957 | ~2.0045% | ~$11,665 | +308.4% |
| 2029 | ~$3,968,924 | ~$640,152 | ~1.9054% | ~$12,197 | +725.2% |
| 2030 | ~$8,020,386 | ~$704,168 | ~1.8062% | ~$12,719 | +1567.6% |
| 2031 | ~$16,207,564 | ~$774,584 | ~1.7071% | ~$13,223 | +3269.9% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |