12513 ORCHARD GROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | SIMMONS CORY S |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0250401004 |
| Short ID | 942850 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,945 SF |
| Land SF | 5,175 SF |
| Acres | 0.119 |
| Year Built | 2024 |
| Legal | LOT 23 BLK O EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS V |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $93,916 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $93,916 |
| Improvement | $404,272 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $404,272 |
| Market | $498,188 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $498,188 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $498,188 |
| Taxable Value | $498,188 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +3221.3% from $15,000 (2021) to $498,188 (2025), a CAGR of 140.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 19% of market value ($93,916 land vs $404,272 improvements), about $18/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~2 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +100.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $15,744,974 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,945 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,667 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,278 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 389 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 130 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $485,978 | $498,188 | -2.5% |
| Assessed Value | $485,978 | $498,188 | -2.5% |
| Land Value | $100,583 | $93,916 | +7.1% |
| Improvement Value | $385,395 | $404,272 | -4.7% |
| Taxable Value | — | $498,188 | — |
| Exemptions | HS,DVHS | VH | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $485,978 | $100,583 | $385,395 | — | $485,978 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $498,188 | $93,916 | $404,272 | — | $498,188 | $498,188 | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2024 | $113,914 | $100,000 | $13,914 | — | $113,914 | $113,914 | $2,407 | Verified |
| 2023 | $80,000 | $100,000 | — | — | $80,000 | $80,000 | $1,629 | Verified |
| 2022 | $50,000 | $50,000 | — | — | $50,000 | $50,000 | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $15,000 | $15,000 | — | — | $15,000 | $15,000 | $370 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.5% | -2.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +337.3% ! | +337.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +42.4% | +42.4% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +60.0% | +60.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +3221.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -2.5% | +134.1% | +100.5% | +337.3% | 2025 | -2.5% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tax Amount | $2,407 | $1,393 | — | $2,407 | 2024 | $370 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$974,365 | ~$534,576 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +100.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,953,560 | ~$588,033 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +302.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,916,804 | ~$646,837 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +706.0% |
| 2030 | ~$7,853,023 | ~$711,520 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +1515.9% |
| 2031 | ~$15,744,974 | ~$782,672 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +3139.9% |
| 2027 | ~$964,645 | ~$534,576 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +98.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,914,780 | ~$588,033 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +294.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,800,756 | ~$646,837 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +682.1% |
| 2030 | ~$7,544,337 | ~$711,520 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +1452.4% |
| 2031 | ~$14,975,184 | ~$782,672 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +2981.5% |
| 2027 | ~$984,085 | ~$534,576 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +102.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,992,729 | ~$588,033 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +310.0% |
| 2029 | ~$4,035,191 | ~$646,837 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +730.3% |
| 2030 | ~$8,171,087 | ~$711,520 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +1581.4% |
| 2031 | ~$16,546,101 | ~$782,672 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +3304.7% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |