12817 WILLOWGROVE LN TX 78653
| Owner | ABED OBAIDULLAH & NAZIFA MAYAR |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0252401601 |
| Short ID | 940977 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,930 SF |
| Land SF | 5,789 SF |
| Acres | 0.133 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 3 BLK G EASTVILLAGE SINGLE FAMILY PHS 1 |
| Neighborhood | A5850 |
| Land | $95,964 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $95,964 |
| Improvement | $411,893 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $411,893 |
| Market | $507,857 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $507,857 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $507,857 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,SO) | −$7,783 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $500,074 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +2016.1% from $24,000 (2021) to $507,857 (2025), a CAGR of 114.5% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $11,015. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.6% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 19% of market value ($95,964 land vs $411,893 improvements), about $17/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +81.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $9,165,042 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $14,142. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,930 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,655 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,275 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 420 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 250 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 411 | SOLAR DEVICES RESIDENTIAL | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,684.61 | $3,684.61 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $2,007.11 | $2,007.11 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,439.58 | $1,439.58 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $491.90 | $491.90 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $452.06 | $452.06 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $8,075.26 | $8,075.26 | Paid |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $469,000 | $507,857 | -7.7% |
| Assessed Value | $469,000 | $507,857 | -7.7% |
| Land Value | $102,630 | $95,964 | +6.9% |
| Improvement Value | $366,370 | $411,893 | -11.1% |
| Taxable Value | $462,325 | $500,074 | -7.5% |
| Exemptions | HS,SO | HS,SO | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$10,184
Estimated
|
~$8,075
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $469,000 | $102,630 | $366,370 | — | $469,000 | $462,325 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $507,857 | $95,964 | $411,893 | — | $507,857 | $500,074 | ~$8,075 | Partial |
| 2024 | $524,049 | $100,000 | $424,049 | — | $524,049 | $419,239 | $8,268 | Verified |
| 2023 | $368,097 | $100,000 | $268,097 | — | $368,097 | $368,097 | $5,781 | Verified |
| 2022 | $80,000 | $100,000 | — | — | $80,000 | $80,000 | $1,864 | Verified |
| 2021 | $24,000 | $24,000 | — | — | $24,000 | $24,000 | $592 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -7.7% | -7.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -3.1% | -3.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +42.4% | +42.4% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +360.1% ! | +360.1% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +233.3% ! | +233.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +2016.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -7.7% | +125.0% | +81.2% | +360.1% | 2023 | -7.7% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.5900% | 1.5900% | — | 1.5900% | 2025 | 1.5900% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$8,075 | $4,916 | ~$12,548 | $8,268 | 2024 | $592 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 233% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$849,895 | ~$515,900 | ~2.1366% | ~$11,023 | +81.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,540,130 | ~$567,490 | ~2.0705% | ~$11,750 | +228.4% |
| 2029 | ~$2,790,936 | ~$624,239 | ~2.0045% | ~$12,513 | +495.1% |
| 2030 | ~$5,057,573 | ~$686,663 | ~1.9384% | ~$13,310 | +978.4% |
| 2031 | ~$9,165,042 | ~$755,329 | ~1.8723% | ~$14,142 | +1854.2% |
| 2027 | ~$840,515 | ~$515,900 | ~2.2027% | ~$11,364 | +79.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,506,322 | ~$567,490 | ~2.2027% | ~$12,500 | +221.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,699,544 | ~$624,239 | ~2.2027% | ~$13,750 | +475.6% |
| 2030 | ~$4,837,967 | ~$686,663 | ~2.2027% | ~$15,125 | +931.5% |
| 2031 | ~$8,670,326 | ~$755,329 | ~2.2027% | ~$16,638 | +1748.7% |
| 2027 | ~$859,275 | ~$515,900 | ~2.1036% | ~$10,852 | +83.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,574,314 | ~$567,490 | ~2.0045% | ~$11,375 | +235.7% |
| 2029 | ~$2,884,367 | ~$624,239 | ~1.9054% | ~$11,894 | +515.0% |
| 2030 | ~$5,284,571 | ~$686,663 | ~1.8062% | ~$12,403 | +1026.8% |
| 2031 | ~$9,682,087 | ~$755,329 | ~1.7071% | ~$12,894 | +1964.4% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |