5451 BUCK LN TX 78617
| Owner | APAC-TEXAS INC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0323700227 |
| Short ID | 773532 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 6,083,938 SF |
| Acres | 139.668 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 2 BLK A GARFIELD SUBD SEC 1 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN410 |
| Land | $4,184,442 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $4,184,442 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $4,184,442 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $4,184,442 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,501,777 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,682,665 |
| Taxable Value | $1,682,665 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +499.2% from $698,340 (2021) to $4,184,442 (2025), a CAGR of 56.5% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 1.7462% in 2025 (-0.0044% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $29,382. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 54.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,682,665) is $2,501,777 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($4,184,442 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $4,184,442, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +41.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $31,603,261 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $461,061. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $15,966.81 | $15,966.81 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $6,324.21 | $6,324.21 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,985.93 | $1,985.93 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1,739.88 | $1,739.88 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1,682.67 | $1,682.67 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1,682.67 | $1,682.67 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.9760% | 1.8900% | 1.7067% | 1.7506% | 1.7462% | -0.0044% | $29,382.17 | $29,382.17 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 0.9489% | $15,966.81 | 54.3% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $6,324.21 | 21.5% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1,985.93 | 6.8% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $1,739.88 | 5.9% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $1,682.67 | 5.7% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $1,682.67 | 5.7% |
| Total | 1.7462% | $29,382.17 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $5,586,720 | $4,184,442 | +33.5% |
| Assessed Value | $2,019,030 | $1,682,665 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $5,586,720 | $4,184,442 | +33.5% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $2,019,030 | $1,682,665 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$3,567,690 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$35,256
Estimated
|
~$29,382
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $5,586,720 | $5,586,720 | — | −$3,567,690 | $2,019,030 | $2,019,030 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $4,184,442 | $4,184,442 | — | −$2,501,777 | $1,682,665 | $1,682,665 | ~$29,382 | Partial |
| 2024 | $4,184,442 | $4,184,442 | — | −$2,781,986 | $1,402,456 | $1,402,456 | $24,552 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,396,680 | $1,396,680 | — | −$226,759 | $1,169,921 | $1,169,921 | $19,968 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,396,680 | $1,396,680 | — | −$226,191 | $1,170,489 | $1,170,489 | $22,122 | Verified |
| 2021 | $698,340 | $698,340 | — | — | $698,340 | $698,340 | $11,615 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +33.5% | +20.0% | 36.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 40.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +199.6% ! | +19.9% | 33.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -0.0% | 83.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +100.0% ! | +67.6% | 83.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +499.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +33.5% | +66.6% | +41.4% | +199.6% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 36.1% | 62.9% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 33.5% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7000% | 0.7000% | — | 0.7000% | 2025 | 0.7000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$29,382 | $21,528 | ~$272,859 | $29,382 | 2025 | $11,615 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 100% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$7,900,815 | ~$7,900,815 | ~1.6887% | ~$133,422 | +41.4% |
| 2028 | ~$11,173,440 | ~$11,173,440 | ~1.6313% | ~$182,268 | +100.0% |
| 2029 | ~$15,801,630 | ~$15,801,630 | ~1.5738% | ~$248,688 | +182.8% |
| 2030 | ~$22,346,880 | ~$22,346,880 | ~1.5164% | ~$338,858 | +300.0% |
| 2031 | ~$31,603,261 | ~$31,603,261 | ~1.4589% | ~$461,061 | +465.7% |
| 2027 | ~$7,789,081 | ~$7,789,081 | ~1.7462% | ~$136,010 | +39.4% |
| 2028 | ~$10,859,642 | ~$10,859,642 | ~1.7462% | ~$189,628 | +94.4% |
| 2029 | ~$15,140,660 | ~$15,140,660 | ~1.7462% | ~$264,381 | +171.0% |
| 2030 | ~$21,109,314 | ~$21,109,314 | ~1.7462% | ~$368,604 | +277.8% |
| 2031 | ~$29,430,892 | ~$29,430,892 | ~1.7462% | ~$513,913 | +426.8% |
| 2027 | ~$8,012,550 | ~$8,012,550 | ~1.6600% | ~$133,007 | +43.4% |
| 2028 | ~$11,491,707 | ~$11,491,707 | ~1.5738% | ~$180,858 | +105.7% |
| 2029 | ~$16,481,562 | ~$16,481,562 | ~1.4876% | ~$245,185 | +195.0% |
| 2030 | ~$23,638,080 | ~$23,638,080 | ~1.4015% | ~$331,276 | +323.1% |
| 2031 | ~$33,902,056 | ~$33,902,056 | ~1.3153% | ~$445,904 | +506.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $4,184,442 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 7× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $4,184,442 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $4,184,442 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,396,680 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,396,680 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $698,340 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |