DESERT ORCHID DR 78610
| Owner | CURTIS JOHN III & LATISCHA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0369101017 |
| Short ID | 985459 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 5,152 SF |
| Acres | 0.118 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | STALLION RUN UNIT 3 BLK 4 LOT 90 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $62,713 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $62,713 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $50,170 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $50,170 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$21,370 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $28,800 |
| Taxable Value | $28,800 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +67.2% from $30,000 (2024) to $50,170 (2025), a CAGR of 67.2% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +27.9%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 7 taxing entities is 1.9680% in 2025 (+0.0755% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $567. Travis County MUD #26 is the largest single contributor, at 47.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($28,800) is $21,370 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 125% of market value ($62,713 land vs $0 improvements), about $12/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $50,170, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +225.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $115,094,063 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $11,299. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U10F Travis County MUD #26 | 0.6100% | 0.7725% | 0.9000% | 0.9000% | 0.9000% | +0.0000% | $451.53 | $451.53 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $165.94 | $165.94 | Paid |
| CMR City of Mustang Ridge | 0.3882% | 0.3112% | 0.2652% | 0.2388% | 0.2708% | +0.0320% | $135.85 | $135.85 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $52.11 | $52.11 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $50.17 | $50.17 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $50.17 | $50.17 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $48.77 | $48.77 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7722% | 1.7891% | 1.8691% | 1.8925% | 1.9680% | +0.0755% | $954.54 | $954.54 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| U10F Travis County MUD #26 | 0.9000% | $451.53 | 47.3% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $165.94 | 17.4% |
| CMR City of Mustang Ridge | 0.2708% | $135.85 | 14.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $52.11 | 5.5% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $50.17 | 5.3% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $50.17 | 5.3% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $48.77 | 5.1% |
| Total | 1.9680% | $954.54 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $317,031 | $50,170 | +531.9% |
| Assessed Value | $317,031 | $28,800 | +1000.8% |
| Land Value | $62,713 | $62,713 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $254,318 | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $317,031 | $28,800 | +1000.8% |
| Exemptions | HS | H | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,239
Estimated
|
~$955
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $317,031 | $62,713 | $254,318 | — | $317,031 | $317,031 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $50,170 | $62,713 | — | −$21,370 | $28,800 | $28,800 | ~$955 | Partial |
| 2024 | $30,000 | $30,000 | — | — | $30,000 | $30,000 | $867 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +531.9% ! | +1000.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +67.2% | -4.0% | 57.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +67.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +531.9% | +299.6% | +225.1% | +531.9% | 2026 | +67.2% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 85.8% | — | 100.0% | 2024 | 57.4% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.9000% | 1.9000% | — | 1.9000% | 2025 | 1.9000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$955 | $911 | ~$9,045 | $955 | 2025 | $867 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 532% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,030,604 | ~$348,734 | ~2.0170% | ~$7,034 | +225.1% |
| 2028 | ~$3,350,288 | ~$383,608 | ~2.0660% | ~$7,925 | +956.8% |
| 2029 | ~$10,891,118 | ~$421,968 | ~2.1149% | ~$8,924 | +3335.3% |
| 2030 | ~$35,404,844 | ~$464,165 | ~2.1639% | ~$10,044 | +11067.6% |
| 2031 | ~$115,094,063 | ~$510,582 | ~2.2129% | ~$11,299 | +36203.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,024,264 | ~$348,734 | ~1.9680% | ~$6,863 | +223.1% |
| 2028 | ~$3,309,191 | ~$383,608 | ~1.9680% | ~$7,550 | +943.8% |
| 2029 | ~$10,691,334 | ~$421,968 | ~1.9680% | ~$8,305 | +3272.3% |
| 2030 | ~$34,541,562 | ~$464,165 | ~1.9680% | ~$9,135 | +10795.3% |
| 2031 | ~$111,596,876 | ~$510,582 | ~1.9680% | ~$10,048 | +35100.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,036,945 | ~$348,734 | ~2.0415% | ~$7,119 | +227.1% |
| 2028 | ~$3,391,639 | ~$383,608 | ~2.1149% | ~$8,113 | +969.8% |
| 2029 | ~$11,093,374 | ~$421,968 | ~2.1884% | ~$9,234 | +3399.1% |
| 2030 | ~$36,284,207 | ~$464,165 | ~2.2618% | ~$10,499 | +11345.0% |
| 2031 | ~$118,678,380 | ~$510,582 | ~2.3353% | ~$11,924 | +37334.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $50,170 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -41% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $50,170 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Below median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $30,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |