12616 DAIRYWORK RD 78610
| Owner | PAYNE KATY DIANE & CONNER MICHAEL |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0455070102 |
| Short ID | 954487 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,239 SF |
| Land SF | 6,586 SF |
| Acres | 0.151 |
| Year Built | 2023 |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 1 BLK A LOT 9 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $63,685 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $63,685 |
| Improvement | $353,083 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $353,083 |
| Market | $416,768 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $416,768 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $416,768 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $416,768 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +768.3% from $48,000 (2022) to $416,768 (2025), a CAGR of 105.5% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,323. P10L is the largest single contributor, at 44.5% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 15% of market value ($63,685 land vs $353,083 improvements), about $10/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~3 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +69.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $5,621,262 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,306. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,239 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,239 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 456 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 150 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,328.96 | $2,328.96 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,253.12 | $1,253.12 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $425.77 | $425.77 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $416.77 | $416.77 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $416.77 | $416.77 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $393.51 | $393.51 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $5,234.90 | $5,234.90 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | $2,328.96 | 44.5% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,253.12 | 23.9% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $425.77 | 8.1% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $416.77 | 8.0% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $416.77 | 8.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $393.51 | 7.5% |
| Total | 0.7973% 5 of 6 | $5,234.90 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $398,672 | $416,768 | -4.3% |
| Assessed Value | $398,672 | $416,768 | -4.3% |
| Land Value | $63,685 | $63,685 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $334,987 | $353,083 | -5.1% |
| Taxable Value | $398,672 | $416,768 | -4.3% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$3,178
Estimated
|
~$5,235
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $398,672 | $63,685 | $334,987 | — | $398,672 | $398,672 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $416,768 | $63,685 | $353,083 | — | $416,768 | $416,768 | ~$5,235 | Partial |
| 2024 | $366,462 | $60,000 | $306,462 | — | $366,462 | $296,975 | $4,820 | Verified |
| 2023 | $48,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $48,000 | $48,000 | $2,837 | Verified |
| 2022 | $48,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $48,000 | $48,000 | $2,810 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -4.3% | -4.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +13.7% | +13.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +663.5% ! | +663.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +768.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -4.3% | +168.2% | +69.8% | +663.5% | 2024 | -4.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.2600% | 1.2600% | — | 1.2600% | 2025 | 1.2600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$5,235 | $3,925 | ~$4,369 | $5,235 | 2025 | $2,810 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 663% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$676,798 | ~$438,539 | ~0.8031% | ~$3,522 | +69.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,148,955 | ~$482,393 | ~0.8089% | ~$3,902 | +188.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,950,503 | ~$530,632 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,323 | +389.3% |
| 2030 | ~$3,311,237 | ~$583,696 | ~0.8206% | ~$4,790 | +730.6% |
| 2031 | ~$5,621,262 | ~$642,065 | ~0.8264% | ~$5,306 | +1310.0% |
| 2027 | ~$668,825 | ~$438,539 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,496 | +67.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,122,042 | ~$482,393 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,846 | +181.4% |
| 2029 | ~$1,882,375 | ~$530,632 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,231 | +372.2% |
| 2030 | ~$3,157,932 | ~$583,696 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,654 | +692.1% |
| 2031 | ~$5,297,849 | ~$642,065 | ~0.7973% | ~$5,119 | +1228.9% |
| 2027 | ~$684,772 | ~$438,539 | ~0.8060% | ~$3,535 | +71.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,176,186 | ~$482,393 | ~0.8147% | ~$3,930 | +195.0% |
| 2029 | ~$2,020,256 | ~$530,632 | ~0.8235% | ~$4,370 | +406.7% |
| 2030 | ~$3,470,056 | ~$583,696 | ~0.8322% | ~$4,858 | +770.4% |
| 2031 | ~$5,960,281 | ~$642,065 | ~0.8409% | ~$5,399 | +1395.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |