6314 ROUNDED PEBBLE LN 78610
| Owner | SMITH MICHAEL D & JUMANA B RIZIK |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0455070419 |
| Short ID | 954548 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 2,469 SF |
| Land SF | 5,400 SF |
| Acres | 0.124 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 1 BLK L LOT 10 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $62,881 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $62,881 |
| Improvement | $363,544 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $363,544 |
| Market | $426,425 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $426,425 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $426,425 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $426,425 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +788.4% from $48,000 (2022) to $426,425 (2025), a CAGR of 107.1% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,400. P10L is the largest single contributor, at 39.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 15% of market value ($62,881 land vs $363,544 improvements), about $12/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +71.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $6,019,945 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,470. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,469 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,549 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 920 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 400 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 224 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,096.06 | $2,096.06 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,442.43 | $1,442.43 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $452.95 | $452.95 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $438.34 | $438.34 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $426.43 | $426.43 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $426.43 | $426.43 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $5,282.64 | $5,282.64 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| P10L | — | $2,096.06 | 39.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,442.43 | 27.3% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $452.95 | 8.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $438.34 | 8.3% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $426.43 | 8.1% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $426.43 | 8.1% |
| Total | 0.7973% 5 of 6 | $5,282.64 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $411,000 | $426,425 | -3.6% |
| Assessed Value | $411,000 | $426,425 | -3.6% |
| Land Value | $62,881 | $62,881 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $348,119 | $363,544 | -4.2% |
| Taxable Value | $411,000 | $426,425 | -3.6% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$3,277
Estimated
|
~$5,283
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $411,000 | $62,881 | $348,119 | — | $411,000 | $411,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $426,425 | $62,881 | $363,544 | — | $426,425 | $426,425 | ~$5,283 | Partial |
| 2024 | $379,198 | $60,000 | $319,198 | — | $379,198 | $379,198 | $4,997 | Verified |
| 2023 | $381,003 | $60,000 | $321,003 | — | $381,003 | $381,003 | $4,931 | Verified |
| 2022 | $48,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $48,000 | $48,000 | $2,563 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.6% | -3.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +12.5% | +12.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -0.5% | -0.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +693.8% ! | +693.8% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +788.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -3.6% | +175.5% | +71.1% | +693.8% | 2023 | -3.6% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.2400% | 1.2400% | — | 1.2400% | 2025 | 1.2400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$5,283 | $4,443 | ~$4,504 | $5,283 | 2025 | $2,563 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 694% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$703,059 | ~$452,100 | ~0.8031% | ~$3,631 | +71.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,202,658 | ~$497,310 | ~0.8089% | ~$4,023 | +192.6% |
| 2029 | ~$2,057,275 | ~$547,041 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,457 | +400.6% |
| 2030 | ~$3,519,187 | ~$601,745 | ~0.8206% | ~$4,938 | +756.2% |
| 2031 | ~$6,019,945 | ~$661,920 | ~0.8264% | ~$5,470 | +1364.7% |
| 2027 | ~$694,839 | ~$452,100 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,604 | +69.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,174,700 | ~$497,310 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,965 | +185.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,985,955 | ~$547,041 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,361 | +383.2% |
| 2030 | ~$3,357,469 | ~$601,745 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,798 | +716.9% |
| 2031 | ~$5,676,160 | ~$661,920 | ~0.7973% | ~$5,277 | +1281.1% |
| 2027 | ~$711,279 | ~$452,100 | ~0.8060% | ~$3,644 | +73.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,230,945 | ~$497,310 | ~0.8147% | ~$4,052 | +199.5% |
| 2029 | ~$2,130,281 | ~$547,041 | ~0.8235% | ~$4,505 | +418.3% |
| 2030 | ~$3,686,678 | ~$601,745 | ~0.8322% | ~$5,008 | +797.0% |
| 2031 | ~$6,380,190 | ~$661,920 | ~0.8409% | ~$5,566 | +1452.4% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |