LUCERA BND 78641
| Owner | TRAVIS COUNTY MUD NO 20 |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0501570129 |
| Short ID | 978773 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,239,238 SF |
| Acres | 28.449 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 839 SUR 422 YBARBO C & ABS 840 SUR 421 YBARBO JA ACR 31.4399 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN150 |
| Land | $1,235,159 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,235,159 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,235,159 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,235,159 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,235,159 |
| Taxable Value | $1,235,159 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has fallen -8.8% from $1,353,950 (2024) to $1,235,159 (2025), a CAGR of -8.8% over 1 year. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide fell -2.3%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,235,159 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,235,159, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -19.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $310,282 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $888,770 | $1,235,159 | -28.0% |
| Assessed Value | $888,770 | $1,235,159 | -28.0% |
| Land Value | $888,770 | $1,235,159 | -28.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | — | E | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $888,770 | $888,770 | — | — | $888,770 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,235,159 | $1,235,159 | — | — | $1,235,159 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,353,950 | $1,353,950 | — | −$1,350,482 | $3,468 | $3,468 | $43 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -28.0% | -28.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -8.8% | +35515.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): -8.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -28.0% | -18.4% | -19.0% | -8.8% | 2025 | -28.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 66.8% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 0.3% | 2024 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tax Amount | $43 | $43 | — | $43 | 2024 | $43 | 2024 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$720,083 | ~$720,083 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -19.0% |
| 2028 | ~$583,413 | ~$583,413 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -34.4% |
| 2029 | ~$472,683 | ~$472,683 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -46.8% |
| 2030 | ~$382,968 | ~$382,968 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -56.9% |
| 2031 | ~$310,282 | ~$310,282 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -65.1% |
| 2027 | ~$844,332 | ~$844,332 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$802,115 | ~$802,115 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -9.7% |
| 2029 | ~$762,009 | ~$762,009 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$723,909 | ~$723,909 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$687,713 | ~$687,713 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$737,859 | ~$737,859 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -17.0% |
| 2028 | ~$612,572 | ~$612,572 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -31.1% |
| 2029 | ~$508,558 | ~$508,558 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -42.8% |
| 2030 | ~$422,206 | ~$422,206 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -52.5% |
| 2031 | ~$350,517 | ~$350,517 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | -60.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,235,159 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +120% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,235,159 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,353,950 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |