2209 LAUREN DR TX 78669
| Owner | ROBERTS SCOTT & SUSAN JANELLE GOFF |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0574120525 |
| Short ID | 357927 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 28,619 SF |
| Acres | 0.657 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 24 BLK 7 RANCH SEC 10 THE |
| Neighborhood | Q6003 |
| Land | $338,510 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $338,510 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $338,510 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $338,510 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$10,910 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $327,600 |
| Taxable Value | $327,600 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +501.8% from $56,250 (2021) to $338,510 (2025), a CAGR of 56.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6644% in 2025 (+0.0540% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,177. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 56.6% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($327,600) is $10,910 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($338,510 land vs $0 improvements), about $12/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $338,510, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +40.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,678,770 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $11,368. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,231.27 | $1,231.27 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $386.64 | $386.64 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $304.72 | $304.72 | Paid |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0880% | 0.0740% | 0.0730% | 0.0750% | 0.0775% | +0.0025% | $253.89 | $253.89 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6542% | 0.5699% | 0.5593% | 0.6104% | 0.6644% | +0.0540% | $2,176.52 | $2,176.52 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,231.27 | 56.6% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $386.64 | 17.8% |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0930% | $304.72 | 14.0% |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0775% | $253.89 | 11.7% |
| Total | 0.6644% | $2,176.52 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $307,296 | $338,510 | -9.2% |
| Assessed Value | $307,296 | $327,600 | -6.2% |
| Land Value | $307,296 | $338,510 | -9.2% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $307,296 | $327,600 | -6.2% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,042
Estimated
|
~$2,177
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $307,296 | $307,296 | — | — | $307,296 | $307,296 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $338,510 | $338,510 | — | −$10,910 | $327,600 | $327,600 | ~$2,177 | Partial |
| 2024 | $273,000 | $273,000 | — | — | $273,000 | $273,000 | $1,666 | Verified |
| 2023 | $292,500 | $292,500 | — | — | $292,500 | $292,500 | $1,636 | Verified |
| 2022 | $204,750 | $204,750 | — | — | $204,750 | $204,750 | $1,167 | Verified |
| 2021 | $56,250 | $56,250 | — | — | $56,250 | $56,250 | $368 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -9.2% | -6.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +24.0% | +20.0% | 96.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -6.7% | -6.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +42.9% | +42.9% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +264.0% ! | +264.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +501.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -9.2% | +63.0% | +40.4% | +264.0% | 2022 | -9.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 99.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 96.8% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.6400% | 0.6400% | — | 0.6400% | 2025 | 0.6400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,177 | $1,403 | ~$6,418 | $2,177 | 2025 | $368 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 264% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$431,563 | ~$431,563 | ~0.6669% | ~$2,878 | +40.4% |
| 2028 | ~$606,081 | ~$606,081 | ~0.6695% | ~$4,058 | +97.2% |
| 2029 | ~$851,172 | ~$851,172 | ~0.6720% | ~$5,720 | +177.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,195,376 | ~$1,195,376 | ~0.6746% | ~$8,064 | +289.0% |
| 2031 | ~$1,678,770 | ~$1,678,770 | ~0.6771% | ~$11,368 | +446.3% |
| 2027 | ~$425,417 | ~$425,417 | ~0.6644% | ~$2,826 | +38.4% |
| 2028 | ~$588,941 | ~$588,941 | ~0.6644% | ~$3,913 | +91.7% |
| 2029 | ~$815,323 | ~$815,323 | ~0.6644% | ~$5,417 | +165.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,128,723 | ~$1,128,723 | ~0.6644% | ~$7,499 | +267.3% |
| 2031 | ~$1,562,589 | ~$1,562,589 | ~0.6644% | ~$10,382 | +408.5% |
| 2027 | ~$437,709 | ~$437,709 | ~0.6682% | ~$2,925 | +42.4% |
| 2028 | ~$623,466 | ~$623,466 | ~0.6720% | ~$4,190 | +102.9% |
| 2029 | ~$888,058 | ~$888,058 | ~0.6759% | ~$6,002 | +189.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,264,938 | ~$1,264,938 | ~0.6797% | ~$8,598 | +311.6% |
| 2031 | ~$1,801,761 | ~$1,801,761 | ~0.6835% | ~$12,315 | +486.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $338,510 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $338,510 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $273,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $292,500 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $204,750 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $56,250 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Coordinates cached from a prior lookup | — |