8651 OLD BEE CAVES RD TX 00000
| Owner | 8651 HOLDINGS LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0101440207 |
| Short ID | 540311 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 61 Warehouse (<20,000 SF) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 11,223 SF |
| Land SF | 47,045 SF |
| Acres | 1.080 |
| Year Built | 2019 |
| Legal | LOT 2 MOUNTAIN SHADOWS RESUB OF BLK J |
| Neighborhood | 61SWE |
| Land | $423,403 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $423,403 |
| Improvement | $2,166,084 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $2,166,084 |
| Market | $2,589,487 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,589,487 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$208,376 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,381,111 |
| Taxable Value | $2,381,111 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +590.9% from $374,823 (2021) to $2,589,487 (2025), a CAGR of 62.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.0465% in 2025 (+0.0647% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $48,729. Austin ISD is the largest single contributor, at 45.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($2,381,111) is $208,376 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 16% of market value ($423,403 land vs $2,166,084 improvements), about $9/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~7 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $2,589,487, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +62.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $29,003,347 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $72,238. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 15,000 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 11,223 SF | ✓ |
| 881 | COMMCL FINISHOUT | 4,620 SF | ✓ |
| 407 | LOADING DOCK | 750 SF | ✓ |
| 611 | TERRACE | 558 SF | ✗ |
| 591 | MASONRY TRIM SF | 400 SF | ✗ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 216 SF | ✗ |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 1.0617% | 0.9966% | 0.8595% | 0.9505% | 0.9252% | -0.0253% | $22,030.04 | $22,030.04 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $12,477.43 | $12,477.43 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $8,949.29 | $8,949.29 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,810.26 | $2,810.26 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $2,462.07 | $2,462.07 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1767% | 1.9749% | 1.8092% | 1.9818% | 2.0465% | +0.0647% | $48,729.09 | $48,729.09 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,599,028 | $2,589,487 | +0.4% |
| Assessed Value | $2,599,028 | $2,381,111 | +9.2% |
| Land Value | $423,403 | $423,403 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $2,175,625 | $2,166,084 | +0.4% |
| Taxable Value | $2,599,028 | $2,381,111 | +9.2% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$53,189
Estimated
|
~$48,729
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,041,837 | $2,599,028 | -442,809 (-14.6%) |
| Taxable Value | $2,857,333 | $2,599,028 | -258,305 (-9.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,599,028 | $423,403 | $2,175,625 | — | $2,599,028 | $2,599,028 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,589,487 | $423,403 | $2,166,084 | −$208,376 | $2,381,111 | $2,381,111 | ~$48,729 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,012,809 | — | — | −$1,589,406 | $423,403 | $— | $39,324 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,831,552 | — | — | −$1,408,149 | $423,403 | $— | $36,417 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,717,920 | — | — | −$1,388,606 | $329,314 | $— | $36,172 | Verified |
| 2021 | $374,823 | — | — | −$45,509 | $329,314 | $— | $37,394 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +17.5% | +20.0% | 93.9% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +30.5% | +20.0% | 92.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -1.4% | -1.4% | ~100% | 1.9800% | Verified |
| 2023 | +9.9% | +9.9% | ~100% | 1.8100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +6.6% | +6.6% | ~100% | 1.9700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 9.9800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +50.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.4% | +80.8% | +62.0% | +358.3% | 2022 | +0.4% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 57.2% | — | 100.0% | 2026 | 19.2% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.8800% | 1.8800% | — | 1.8800% | 2025 | 1.8800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$48,729 | $39,607 | ~$62,129 | $48,729 | 2025 | $36,172 | 2022 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$4,198,176 | ~$2,619,222 | ~2.0139% | ~$52,749 | +62.1% |
| 2027 | ~$6,806,244 | ~$2,881,144 | ~1.9814% | ~$57,087 | +162.8% |
| 2028 | ~$11,034,543 | ~$3,169,259 | ~1.9488% | ~$61,764 | +326.1% |
| 2029 | ~$17,889,625 | ~$3,486,185 | ~1.9163% | ~$66,805 | +590.9% |
| 2030 | ~$29,003,347 | ~$3,834,803 | ~1.8837% | ~$72,238 | +1020.0% |
| 2026 | ~$4,146,386 | ~$2,619,222 | ~2.0465% | ~$53,602 | +60.1% |
| 2027 | ~$6,639,352 | ~$2,881,144 | ~2.0465% | ~$58,962 | +156.4% |
| 2028 | ~$10,631,186 | ~$3,169,259 | ~2.0465% | ~$64,858 | +310.6% |
| 2029 | ~$17,023,063 | ~$3,486,185 | ~2.0465% | ~$71,344 | +557.4% |
| 2030 | ~$27,257,981 | ~$3,834,803 | ~2.0465% | ~$78,479 | +952.6% |
| 2026 | ~$4,249,965 | ~$2,619,222 | ~1.9977% | ~$52,323 | +64.1% |
| 2027 | ~$6,975,206 | ~$2,881,144 | ~1.9488% | ~$56,149 | +169.4% |
| 2028 | ~$11,447,976 | ~$3,169,259 | ~1.9000% | ~$60,216 | +342.1% |
| 2029 | ~$18,788,858 | ~$3,486,185 | ~1.8512% | ~$64,536 | +625.6% |
| 2030 | ~$30,836,995 | ~$3,834,803 | ~1.8024% | ~$69,117 | +1090.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,589,487 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — +83% above the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,589,487 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↑ Above median | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $2,012,809 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,831,552 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↑ Above median | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $1,717,920 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↑ Above median | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $374,823 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.