12709 FLOWERING SENNA BND TX 78738
| Owner | NELSON KAY LIN CONNOLLY LIFE EST |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0115600710 |
| Short ID | 915903 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 34,412 SF |
| Acres | 0.790 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 20 BLK A HILLSIDE AT SPANISH OAKS |
| Neighborhood | P1041 |
| Land | $1,219,739 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,219,739 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,219,739 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,219,739 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,219,739 |
| Taxable Value | $1,219,739 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +565.4% from $183,300 (2021) to $1,219,739 (2025), a CAGR of 60.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7969% in 2025 (-0.0032% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $21,917. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 57.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,219,739 land vs $0 improvements), about $35/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,219,739, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +60.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $13,036,093 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $181,459. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $12,681.63 | $12,681.63 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $4,584.33 | $4,584.33 | Paid |
| U6H West Travis County MUD # 6 | 0.3215% | 0.2663% | 0.2221% | 0.1945% | 0.1729% | -0.0216% | $2,108.93 | $2,108.93 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,439.57 | $1,439.57 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $1,102.63 | $1,102.63 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1208% | 1.9820% | 1.7846% | 1.8001% | 1.7969% | -0.0032% | $21,917.09 | $21,917.09 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,136,474 | $1,219,739 | -6.8% |
| Assessed Value | $1,136,474 | $1,219,739 | -6.8% |
| Land Value | $1,136,474 | $1,219,739 | -6.8% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,136,474 | $1,219,739 | -6.8% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$20,421
Estimated
|
~$21,917
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,136,474 | $1,136,474 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $1,136,474 | $1,136,474 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,136,474 | $1,136,474 | — | — | $1,136,474 | $1,136,474 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,219,739 | $1,219,739 | — | — | $1,219,739 | $1,219,739 | ~$21,917 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $1,200,000 | $— | $21,601 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $1,200,000 | $— | $21,416 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $1,040,000 | $— | $20,613 | Verified |
| 2021 | $183,300 | — | — | — | $750,000 ! | $— | $15,906 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -6.8% | -6.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +1.6% | +1.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.8000% | Verified |
| 2023 | +15.4% | +15.4% | ~100% | 1.7800% | Verified |
| 2022 | +38.7% | +38.7% | ~100% | 1.9800% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 8.6800% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +62.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -6.8% | +279.3% | +63.0% | +565.4% | 2025 | -6.8% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 203.1% | — | 409.2% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.8000% | 1.8000% | — | 1.8000% | 2025 | 1.8000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$21,917 | $18,911 | ~$92,919 | $21,917 | 2025 | $15,906 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,959,039 | ~$1,959,039 | ~1.7159% | ~$33,615 | +60.6% |
| 2027 | ~$3,146,438 | ~$3,146,438 | ~1.6349% | ~$51,441 | +158.0% |
| 2028 | ~$5,053,535 | ~$5,053,535 | ~1.5539% | ~$78,529 | +314.3% |
| 2029 | ~$8,116,548 | ~$8,116,548 | ~1.4730% | ~$119,553 | +565.4% |
| 2030 | ~$13,036,093 | ~$13,036,093 | ~1.3920% | ~$181,459 | +968.8% |
| 2026 | ~$1,934,644 | ~$1,934,644 | ~1.7969% | ~$34,763 | +58.6% |
| 2027 | ~$3,068,564 | ~$3,068,564 | ~1.7969% | ~$55,138 | +151.6% |
| 2028 | ~$4,867,089 | ~$4,867,089 | ~1.7969% | ~$87,455 | +299.0% |
| 2029 | ~$7,719,754 | ~$7,719,754 | ~1.7969% | ~$138,714 | +532.9% |
| 2030 | ~$12,244,403 | ~$12,244,403 | ~1.7969% | ~$220,016 | +903.9% |
| 2026 | ~$1,983,434 | ~$1,983,434 | ~1.6754% | ~$33,230 | +62.6% |
| 2027 | ~$3,225,287 | ~$3,225,287 | ~1.5539% | ~$50,119 | +164.4% |
| 2028 | ~$5,244,681 | ~$5,244,681 | ~1.4325% | ~$75,128 | +330.0% |
| 2029 | ~$8,528,445 | ~$8,528,445 | ~1.3110% | ~$111,808 | +599.2% |
| 2030 | ~$13,868,216 | ~$13,868,216 | ~1.1895% | ~$164,967 | +1037.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,219,739 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 14× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,219,739 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $183,300 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.