19641 LAKEHURST LOOP TX 78738
| Owner | FRANK JANIS B |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0141920416 |
| Short ID | 141003 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 31,577 SF |
| Acres | 0.725 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 17 BLK 6 LAKEHURST RESUB & ABS 2539 SUR 50 CEZEAU G & ABS 2163 SUR 49 G C & S F R R CO ACR 0.4253 TOTAL 0.7249 ACR |
| Neighborhood | Q01WF |
| Land | $1,980,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,980,000 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,980,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,980,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$269,280 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,710,720 |
| Taxable Value | $1,710,720 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +300.0% from $495,000 (2021) to $1,980,000 (2025), a CAGR of 41.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6266% in 2025 (+0.0256% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $27,826. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 63.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,710,720) is $269,280 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,980,000 land vs $0 improvements), about $63/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,980,000, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +41.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $11,200,571 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $158,428. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 80% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $16,749.57 | $16,749.57 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $6,054.86 | $6,054.86 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,901.35 | $1,901.35 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $1,498.47 | $1,498.47 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7963% | 1.7080% | 1.5604% | 1.6010% | 1.6266% | +0.0256% | $26,204.25 | $26,204.25 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,611,000 | $1,980,000 | -18.6% |
| Assessed Value | $1,611,000 | $1,710,720 | -5.8% |
| Land Value | $1,980,000 | $1,980,000 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,611,000 | $1,710,720 | -5.8% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$26,204
Estimated
|
~$26,204
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,980,000 | $1,611,000 | -369,000 (-18.6%) |
| Taxable Value | $1,933,200 | $1,611,000 | -322,200 (-16.7%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,611,000 | $1,980,000 | — | — | $1,611,000 | $1,611,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,980,000 | $1,980,000 | — | −$269,280 | $1,710,720 | $1,710,720 | ~$26,204 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $1,980,000 | $— | $22,824 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $1,188,000 | $— | $18,538 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $660,000 | $— | $11,273 | Verified |
| 2021 | $495,000 | — | — | — | $495,000 | $— | $8,892 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +13.0% | 97.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 86.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +66.7% | +20.0% | 72.0% | 1.1500% | Verified |
| 2023 | +80.0% ! | +80.0% | ~100% | 1.5600% | Verified |
| 2022 | +33.3% | +33.3% | ~100% | 1.7100% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 1.8000% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +300.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -18.6% | +140.7% | +47.9% | +300.0% | 2025 | -18.6% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 95.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 86.4% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.3200% | 1.3200% | — | 1.3200% | 2025 | 1.3200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$26,204 | $17,548 | ~$92,638 | $26,204 | 2025 | $8,892 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$2,800,143 | ~$2,800,143 | ~1.5842% | ~$44,359 | +41.4% |
| 2027 | ~$3,960,000 | ~$3,960,000 | ~1.5417% | ~$61,053 | +100.0% |
| 2028 | ~$5,600,286 | ~$5,600,286 | ~1.4993% | ~$83,966 | +182.8% |
| 2029 | ~$7,920,000 | ~$7,920,000 | ~1.4569% | ~$115,385 | +300.0% |
| 2030 | ~$11,200,571 | ~$11,200,571 | ~1.4145% | ~$158,428 | +465.7% |
| 2026 | ~$2,760,543 | ~$2,760,543 | ~1.6266% | ~$44,903 | +39.4% |
| 2027 | ~$3,848,786 | ~$3,848,786 | ~1.6266% | ~$62,604 | +94.4% |
| 2028 | ~$5,366,030 | ~$5,366,030 | ~1.6266% | ~$87,283 | +171.0% |
| 2029 | ~$7,481,392 | ~$7,481,392 | ~1.6266% | ~$121,691 | +277.8% |
| 2030 | ~$10,430,658 | ~$10,430,658 | ~1.6266% | ~$169,663 | +426.8% |
| 2026 | ~$2,839,743 | ~$2,839,743 | ~1.5629% | ~$44,384 | +43.4% |
| 2027 | ~$4,072,798 | ~$4,072,798 | ~1.4993% | ~$61,064 | +105.7% |
| 2028 | ~$5,841,262 | ~$5,841,262 | ~1.4357% | ~$83,862 | +195.0% |
| 2029 | ~$8,377,617 | ~$8,377,617 | ~1.3720% | ~$114,944 | +323.1% |
| 2030 | ~$12,015,292 | ~$12,015,292 | ~1.3084% | ~$157,208 | +506.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,980,000 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 23× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,980,000 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $495,000 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.