14725 ARROWHEAD DR TX 78641
| Owner | BERNICE B MARJORIE & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0164480216 |
| Short ID | 165213 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 39,596 SF |
| Acres | 0.909 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 11 BLK H ARROWHEAD POINT SUBD NO 2 & ABS 242 SUR 75 D & W R R CO ACR 0.695 |
| Neighborhood | T9010WF |
| Land | $989,100 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $989,100 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $989,100 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $989,100 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$267,228 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $721,872 |
| Taxable Value | $721,872 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +265.4% from $270,702 (2021) to $989,100 (2025), a CAGR of 38.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +487.2%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7842% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $12,879. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($721,872) is $267,228 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($989,100 land vs $0 improvements), about $25/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $989,100, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $85,028 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $363,420, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +38.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $4,996,618 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $74,982. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Market value changed by 85% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $7,846.03 | $7,846.03 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,713.12 | $2,713.12 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $851.97 | $851.97 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $746.42 | $746.42 | Paid |
| E14 Travis County ESD # 14 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $721.87 | $721.87 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0110% | 1.8902% | 1.7126% | 1.7406% | 1.7842% | +0.0436% | $12,879.41 | $12,879.41 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $890,190 | $989,100 | -10.0% |
| Assessed Value | $866,246 | $721,872 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $890,190 | $989,100 | -10.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $866,246 | $721,872 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$23,944 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$15,455
Estimated
|
~$12,879
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $890,190 | $890,190 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $866,246 | $866,246 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $890,190 | $890,190 | — | −$23,944 | $866,246 | $866,246 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $989,100 | $989,100 | — | −$267,228 | $721,872 | $721,872 | ~$12,879 | Partial |
| 2024 | $— | — | — | — | $989,100 | $— | $10,471 | Verified |
| 2023 | $— | — | — | — | $501,300 | $— | $8,586 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $270,702 | $— | $5,117 | Verified |
| 2021 | $270,702 | — | — | — | $270,702 | $— | $5,444 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.0% | +20.0% | 97.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 73.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +97.3% ! | +20.0% | 60.8% | 1.0600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +85.2% ! | +85.2% | ~100% | 1.7100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | 1.8900% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 2.0100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +265.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -10.0% | +127.7% | +41.3% | +265.4% | 2025 | -10.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 97.3% | 90.1% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 73.0% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.3000% | 1.3000% | — | 1.3000% | 2025 | 1.3000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$12,879 | $9,162 | ~$45,734 | $12,879 | 2025 | $5,444 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,367,500 | ~$1,367,500 | ~1.7275% | ~$23,623 | +38.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,890,665 | ~$1,890,665 | ~1.6708% | ~$31,589 | +91.2% |
| 2028 | ~$2,613,977 | ~$2,613,977 | ~1.6141% | ~$42,191 | +164.3% |
| 2029 | ~$3,614,007 | ~$3,614,007 | ~1.5574% | ~$56,283 | +265.4% |
| 2030 | ~$4,996,618 | ~$4,996,618 | ~1.5007% | ~$74,982 | +405.2% |
| 2026 | ~$1,347,718 | ~$1,347,718 | ~1.7842% | ~$24,046 | +36.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,836,361 | ~$1,836,361 | ~1.7842% | ~$32,764 | +85.7% |
| 2028 | ~$2,502,170 | ~$2,502,170 | ~1.7842% | ~$44,643 | +153.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,409,382 | ~$3,409,382 | ~1.7842% | ~$60,829 | +244.7% |
| 2030 | ~$4,645,523 | ~$4,645,523 | ~1.7842% | ~$82,884 | +369.7% |
| 2026 | ~$1,387,282 | ~$1,387,282 | ~1.6991% | ~$23,572 | +40.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,945,761 | ~$1,945,761 | ~1.6141% | ~$31,406 | +96.7% |
| 2028 | ~$2,729,066 | ~$2,729,066 | ~1.5290% | ~$41,728 | +175.9% |
| 2029 | ~$3,827,706 | ~$3,827,706 | ~1.4440% | ~$55,270 | +287.0% |
| 2030 | ~$5,368,627 | ~$5,368,627 | ~1.3589% | ~$72,954 | +442.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $989,100 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 12× the county median of $85,028. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $989,100 | $24,862 | $85,028 | $363,420 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | — | $23,000 | $66,000 | $330,000 | — | +0.0% |
| 2023 | — | $25,000 | $71,500 | $271,439 | — | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,463 | — | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $270,702 | $6,000 | $14,480 | $80,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.