19601 F M RD 1431 TX 78645
| Owner | GRACEFUL PROPERTY HOLDINGS INC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0183670318 |
| Short ID | 182214 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 61 Warehouse (<20,000 SF) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 11,000 SF |
| Land SF | 249,163 SF |
| Acres | 5.720 |
| Year Built | 2021 |
| Legal | ABS 249 SUR 105 D & W R R CO ABS 2537 SUR 98 CARLTON J F ACR 5.7200 |
| Neighborhood | 61NWE |
| Land | $747,490 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $747,490 |
| Improvement | $527,510 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $527,510 |
| Market | $1,275,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,275,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,275,000 |
| Taxable Value | $1,275,000 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +249.9% from $364,356 (2021) to $1,275,000 (2025), a CAGR of 36.8% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7107% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $21,812. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 59.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 59% of market value ($747,490 land vs $527,510 improvements), about $3/SF of land. Land and improvements both carry meaningful weight; value is balanced between the structure and its site.
Submarket Position: At $1,275,000, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +36.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $6,102,257 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $31,010. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 11,000 SF | ✓ |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $12,965.48 | $12,965.48 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $4,792.02 | $4,792.02 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,504.79 | $1,504.79 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1,275.00 | $1,275.00 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $1,274.58 | $1,274.58 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8712% | 1.7799% | 1.6087% | 1.6603% | 1.7107% | +0.0504% | $21,811.87 | $21,811.87 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,910,848 | $1,275,000 | +49.9% |
| Assessed Value | $1,530,000 | $1,275,000 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $747,490 | $747,490 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $1,163,358 | $527,510 | +120.5% |
| Taxable Value | $1,530,000 | $1,275,000 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$380,848 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$26,174
Estimated
|
~$21,812
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,910,848 | $1,910,848 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $1,530,000 | $1,530,000 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,910,848 | $747,490 | $1,163,358 | −$380,848 | $1,530,000 | $1,530,000 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,275,000 | $747,490 | $527,510 | — | $1,275,000 | $1,275,000 | ~$21,812 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,091,979 | — | — | −$344,489 | $747,490 | $— | $19,542 | Verified |
| 2023 | $893,826 | — | — | −$395,500 | $498,326 | $— | $17,567 | Verified |
| 2022 | $839,533 | — | — | −$341,207 | $498,326 | $— | $15,909 | Verified |
| 2021 | $364,356 | — | — | — | $498,326 ! | $— | $15,709 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +49.9% | +20.0% | 80.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +8.3% | +8.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +7.8% | +7.8% | ~100% | 1.6600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +22.2% | +22.2% | ~100% | 1.6100% | Verified |
| 2022 | +6.5% | +6.5% | ~100% | 1.7800% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 4.3100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +51.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +49.9% | +45.2% | +27.7% | +130.4% | 2022 | +6.5% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 80.1% | 83.4% | — | 136.8% | 2021 | 55.8% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.7100% | 1.7100% | — | 1.7100% | 2025 | 1.7100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$21,812 | $18,108 | ~$27,105 | $21,812 | 2025 | $15,709 | 2021 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,743,838 | ~$1,402,500 | ~1.6706% | ~$23,431 | +36.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,385,077 | ~$1,542,750 | ~1.6305% | ~$25,155 | +87.1% |
| 2028 | ~$3,262,108 | ~$1,697,025 | ~1.5904% | ~$26,990 | +155.9% |
| 2029 | ~$4,461,639 | ~$1,866,728 | ~1.5503% | ~$28,940 | +249.9% |
| 2030 | ~$6,102,257 | ~$2,053,400 | ~1.5102% | ~$31,010 | +378.6% |
| 2026 | ~$1,718,338 | ~$1,402,500 | ~1.7107% | ~$23,993 | +34.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,315,833 | ~$1,542,750 | ~1.7107% | ~$26,392 | +81.6% |
| 2028 | ~$3,121,086 | ~$1,697,025 | ~1.7107% | ~$29,032 | +144.8% |
| 2029 | ~$4,206,339 | ~$1,866,728 | ~1.7107% | ~$31,935 | +229.9% |
| 2030 | ~$5,668,952 | ~$2,053,400 | ~1.7107% | ~$35,128 | +344.6% |
| 2026 | ~$1,769,338 | ~$1,402,500 | ~1.6506% | ~$23,149 | +38.8% |
| 2027 | ~$2,455,340 | ~$1,542,750 | ~1.5904% | ~$24,536 | +92.6% |
| 2028 | ~$3,407,316 | ~$1,697,025 | ~1.5302% | ~$25,968 | +167.2% |
| 2029 | ~$4,728,388 | ~$1,866,728 | ~1.4701% | ~$27,442 | +270.9% |
| 2030 | ~$6,561,662 | ~$2,053,400 | ~1.4099% | ~$28,951 | +414.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,275,000 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — -10% below the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,275,000 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↓ Below median | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $1,091,979 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $893,826 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↓ Below median | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $839,533 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↓ Below median | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $364,356 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.