12226 TRAILS END CV TX 78641
| Owner | SKILES CARL & SUSAN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0192470104 |
| Short ID | 186287 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,253 SF |
| Land SF | 2,243,776 SF |
| Acres | 51.510 |
| Year Built | 1970 |
| Legal | ABS 2246 SUR 53 HAYFORD S ACR 50.510 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN130 |
| Land | $2,096,639 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,096,639 |
| Improvement | $300,012 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $300,012 |
| Market | $2,396,651 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,396,651 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,050,756 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $345,895 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$211,363 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $134,532 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +963.5% from $225,350 (2021) to $2,396,651 (2025), a CAGR of 80.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 1.8841% in 2025 (+0.0525% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,535. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 30.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($345,895) is $2,050,756 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 87% of market value ($2,096,639 land vs $300,012 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~56-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,396,651, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +117.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $116,021,004 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $8,916. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,253 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,353 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 1,122 SF | ✗ |
| RSBLW | Residence Below | 900 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 600 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186287 | SKILES CARL & SUSAN | 12226 TRAILS END RD LEANDER 78641 | $276,504 | $276,504 | $75,934 |
| 186288 | SKILES CARL & SUSAN | 0.000 | $1,153,143 | $5,336 | $5,336 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $505.64 | $505.64 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $345.90 | $345.90 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $345.78 | $345.78 | Paid |
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $302.89 | $302.89 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $109.23 | $109.23 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $56.39 | $56.39 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1110% | 1.9686% | 1.7968% | 1.8316% | 1.8841% | +0.0525% | $1,665.83 | $1,665.83 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,429,647 | $2,396,651 | -40.3% |
| Assessed Value | $281,840 | $345,895 | -18.5% |
| Land Value | $1,175,973 | $2,096,639 | -43.9% |
| Improvement Value | $253,674 | $300,012 | -15.4% |
| Taxable Value | $81,270 | $134,532 | -39.6% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,147,807 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,531
Estimated
|
~$1,666
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,429,647 | $1,429,647 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $83,319 | $81,270 | -2,049 (-2.5%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,429,647 | $1,175,973 | $253,674 | −$1,147,807 | $281,840 | $81,270 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $2,396,651 | $2,096,639 | $300,012 | −$2,050,756 | $345,895 | $134,532 | ~$1,666 | Partial |
| 2024 | $472,709 | — | — | −$432,005 | $40,704 | $— | $2,447 | Verified |
| 2023 | $441,140 | — | — | −$410,436 | $30,704 | $— | $2,334 | Verified |
| 2022 | $233,693 | — | — | −$202,989 | $30,704 | $— | $3,599 | Verified |
| 2021 | $225,350 | — | — | −$195,350 | $30,000 | $— | $3,630 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -43.9% | +3.0% | 0.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.8% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +32.6% | -0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1000% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +4.9% | 0.3% | 0.1200% | Verified |
| 2022 | +65.5% | +5.3% | 0.3% | 0.1800% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.5% | 1.6100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +119.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -40.3% | +93.3% | +146.7% | +407.0% | 2025 | -40.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 19.7% | 12.7% | — | 19.7% | 2026 | 7.0% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$1,666 | $2,735 | ~$7,913 | $3,630 | 2021 | $1,666 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$5,207,043 | ~$380,485 | ~1.8274% | ~$6,953 | +117.3% |
| 2027 | ~$11,312,993 | ~$418,533 | ~1.7707% | ~$7,411 | +372.0% |
| 2028 | ~$24,578,982 | ~$460,386 | ~1.7140% | ~$7,891 | +925.6% |
| 2029 | ~$53,401,106 | ~$506,425 | ~1.6573% | ~$8,393 | +2128.2% |
| 2030 | ~$116,021,004 | ~$557,067 | ~1.6006% | ~$8,916 | +4741.0% |
| 2026 | ~$5,159,110 | ~$380,485 | ~1.8841% | ~$7,169 | +115.3% |
| 2027 | ~$11,105,670 | ~$418,533 | ~1.8841% | ~$7,886 | +363.4% |
| 2028 | ~$23,906,432 | ~$460,386 | ~1.8841% | ~$8,674 | +897.5% |
| 2029 | ~$51,461,773 | ~$506,425 | ~1.8841% | ~$9,542 | +2047.2% |
| 2030 | ~$110,778,308 | ~$557,067 | ~1.8841% | ~$10,496 | +4522.2% |
| 2026 | ~$5,254,976 | ~$380,485 | ~1.7991% | ~$6,845 | +119.3% |
| 2027 | ~$11,522,234 | ~$418,533 | ~1.7140% | ~$7,174 | +380.8% |
| 2028 | ~$25,264,029 | ~$460,386 | ~1.6289% | ~$7,499 | +954.1% |
| 2029 | ~$55,394,743 | ~$506,425 | ~1.5439% | ~$7,819 | +2211.3% |
| 2030 | ~$121,460,339 | ~$557,067 | ~1.4588% | ~$8,127 | +4967.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,396,651 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,396,651 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $472,709 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $441,140 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $233,693 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $225,350 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.