BLAKE-MANOR RD TX 78653
| Owner | FOWLER RONALD |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0213770201 |
| Short ID | 544889 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 3,059 SF |
| Land SF | 435,600 SF |
| Acres | 10.000 |
| Year Built | 1989 |
| Legal | ABS 60 SUR 40 BUCKMAN O ACR 9.00 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $574,650 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $574,650 |
| Improvement | $245,075 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $245,075 |
| Market | $819,725 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $819,725 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$560,945 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $258,780 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$194,785 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $63,995 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +412.0% from $160,090 (2021) to $819,725 (2025), a CAGR of 50.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,138. Travis County ESD # 12 is the largest single contributor, at 48.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($258,780) is $560,945 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 70% of market value ($574,650 land vs $245,075 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~37-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $819,725, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +25.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $2,565,806 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $6,125. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
6 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 3,059 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 3,059 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 586 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 400 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 544889 | FOWLER RONALD | 19215 BLAKE-MANOR RD 78653 | $301,623 | $283,610 | $81,619 |
| 544890 | FOWLER RONALD | 0.000 | $450,000 | $959 | $959 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $258.78 | $258.78 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $240.52 | $240.52 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $25.98 | $25.98 | Paid |
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $10.31 | $10.31 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $0.99 | $0.99 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $536.58 | $536.58 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $751,623 | $819,725 | -8.3% |
| Assessed Value | $284,569 | $258,780 | +10.0% |
| Land Value | $500,000 | $574,650 | -13.0% |
| Improvement Value | $251,623 | $245,075 | +2.7% |
| Taxable Value | $82,578 | $63,995 | +29.0% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$467,054 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,469
Estimated
|
~$537
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $751,623 | $751,623 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $84,627 | $82,578 | -2,049 (-2.4%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $751,623 | $500,000 | $251,623 | −$467,054 | $284,569 | $82,578 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $819,725 | $574,650 | $245,075 | −$560,945 | $258,780 | $63,995 | ~$537 | Partial |
| 2024 | $581,001 | — | — | −$523,536 | $57,465 | $— | $905 | Verified |
| 2023 | $542,535 | — | — | −$500,050 | $42,485 | $— | $864 | Verified |
| 2022 | $413,366 | — | — | −$370,881 | $42,485 | $— | $2,005 | Verified |
| 2021 | $160,090 | — | — | −$119,496 | $40,594 | $— | $1,957 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -13.0% | +0.6% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +1.3% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +35.3% | -0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0900% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0900% | Verified |
| 2022 | -7.5% | -99.4% | 0.3% | 0.2200% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 42.6% | 1.2200% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +25.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -8.3% | +45.9% | +27.9% | +158.2% | 2022 | -8.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 37.9% | 20.5% | — | 37.9% | 2026 | 7.8% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$537 | $1,254 | ~$5,497 | $2,005 | 2022 | $537 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$1,029,863 | ~$284,658 | ~1.7168% | ~$4,887 | +25.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,293,869 | ~$313,124 | ~1.6550% | ~$5,182 | +57.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,625,555 | ~$344,436 | ~1.5932% | ~$5,488 | +98.3% |
| 2029 | ~$2,042,268 | ~$378,880 | ~1.5314% | ~$5,802 | +149.1% |
| 2030 | ~$2,565,806 | ~$416,768 | ~1.4695% | ~$6,125 | +213.0% |
| 2026 | ~$1,013,468 | ~$284,658 | ~1.7787% | ~$5,063 | +23.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,253,003 | ~$313,124 | ~1.7787% | ~$5,569 | +52.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,549,152 | ~$344,436 | ~1.7787% | ~$6,126 | +89.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,915,296 | ~$378,880 | ~1.7787% | ~$6,739 | +133.7% |
| 2030 | ~$2,367,979 | ~$416,768 | ~1.7787% | ~$7,413 | +188.9% |
| 2026 | ~$1,046,257 | ~$284,658 | ~1.6859% | ~$4,799 | +27.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,335,392 | ~$313,124 | ~1.5932% | ~$4,989 | +62.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,704,429 | ~$344,436 | ~1.5004% | ~$5,168 | +107.9% |
| 2029 | ~$2,175,451 | ~$378,880 | ~1.4077% | ~$5,333 | +165.4% |
| 2030 | ~$2,776,640 | ~$416,768 | ~1.3150% | ~$5,480 | +238.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $819,725 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +37% above the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $819,725 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $581,001 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $542,535 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $413,366 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $160,090 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.