9707 TAYLOR LN TX 78653
| Owner | ALLEN PATRICIA NELSON |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0218700603 |
| Short ID | 214370 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 780 SF |
| Land SF | 1,971,221 SF |
| Acres | 45.253 |
| Year Built | 1962 |
| Legal | ABS 438 SUR 35 JENNINGS G C ACR 44.253 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN307 |
| Land | $1,661,235 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,661,235 |
| Improvement | $174,211 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $174,211 |
| Market | $1,835,446 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,835,446 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,619,344 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $216,102 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$185,404 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $30,698 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +828.2% from $197,745 (2021) to $1,835,446 (2025), a CAGR of 74.5% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $546. Travis County ESD # 12 is the largest single contributor, at 51.5% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($216,102) is $1,619,344 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 91% of market value ($1,661,235 land vs $174,211 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~64-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,835,446, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +107.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $70,909,710 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,114. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
10 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| SO | Sketch Only | 4,500 SF | ✗ |
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 880 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 780 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 780 SF | ✗ |
| 051 | CARPORT DET 1ST | 360 SF | ✗ |
| 512 | DECK UNCOVRED | 360 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 280 SF | ✗ |
| 061 | CARPORT ATT 1ST | 240 SF | ✗ |
| 302 | BARN FV | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214370 | ALLEN PATRICIA NELSON | 9707 TAYLOR LN 78653 | $207,492 | $207,492 | $20,725 |
| 214371 | ALLEN PATRICIA NELSON | 44.253 | $1,327,590 | $5,575 | $5,575 |
Market value changed by 213% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $216.10 | $216.10 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $115.37 | $115.37 | Paid |
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $56.03 | $56.03 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $26.23 | $26.23 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $6.11 | $6.11 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $419.84 | $419.84 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,535,082 | $1,835,446 | -16.4% |
| Assessed Value | $213,067 | $216,102 | -1.4% |
| Land Value | $1,357,590 | $1,661,235 | -18.3% |
| Improvement Value | $177,492 | $174,211 | +1.9% |
| Taxable Value | $26,300 | $30,698 | -14.3% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,322,015 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$468
Estimated
|
~$420
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,550,529 | $1,535,082 | -15,447 (-1.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $40,706 | $26,300 | -14,406 (-35.4%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,535,082 | $1,357,590 | $177,492 | −$1,322,015 | $213,067 | $26,300 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,835,446 | $1,661,235 | $174,211 | −$1,619,344 | $216,102 | $30,698 | ~$420 | Partial |
| 2024 | $256,764 | — | — | −$220,054 | $36,710 | $— | $1,181 | Verified |
| 2023 | $291,877 | — | — | −$280,167 | $11,710 | $— | $1,407 | Verified |
| 2022 | $204,910 | — | — | −$193,200 | $11,710 | $— | $2,623 | Verified |
| 2021 | $197,745 | — | — | −$190,449 | $7,296 | $— | $2,586 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -18.3% | +7.6% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +31.2% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +213.5% ! | -12.7% | 0.2% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -7.6% | 0.9% | 0.1800% | Verified |
| 2022 | +60.5% | -1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3200% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.5% | 1.3100% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +403.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -16.4% | +126.5% | +115.8% | +614.8% | 2025 | -16.4% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 13.9% | 8.9% | — | 14.3% | 2024 | 3.7% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$420 | $1,643 | ~$4,590 | $2,623 | 2022 | $420 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$3,811,838 | ~$237,712 | ~1.7168% | ~$4,081 | +107.7% |
| 2027 | ~$7,916,391 | ~$261,483 | ~1.6550% | ~$4,328 | +331.3% |
| 2028 | ~$16,440,691 | ~$287,632 | ~1.5932% | ~$4,583 | +795.7% |
| 2029 | ~$34,143,881 | ~$316,395 | ~1.5314% | ~$4,845 | +1760.2% |
| 2030 | ~$70,909,710 | ~$348,034 | ~1.4695% | ~$5,114 | +3763.4% |
| 2026 | ~$3,775,129 | ~$237,712 | ~1.7787% | ~$4,228 | +105.7% |
| 2027 | ~$7,764,652 | ~$261,483 | ~1.7787% | ~$4,651 | +323.0% |
| 2028 | ~$15,970,267 | ~$287,632 | ~1.7787% | ~$5,116 | +770.1% |
| 2029 | ~$32,847,504 | ~$316,395 | ~1.7787% | ~$5,628 | +1689.6% |
| 2030 | ~$67,560,454 | ~$348,034 | ~1.7787% | ~$6,190 | +3580.9% |
| 2026 | ~$3,848,547 | ~$237,712 | ~1.6859% | ~$4,008 | +109.7% |
| 2027 | ~$8,069,599 | ~$261,483 | ~1.5932% | ~$4,166 | +339.7% |
| 2028 | ~$16,920,263 | ~$287,632 | ~1.5004% | ~$4,316 | +821.9% |
| 2029 | ~$35,478,258 | ~$316,395 | ~1.4077% | ~$4,454 | +1833.0% |
| 2030 | ~$74,390,497 | ~$348,034 | ~1.3150% | ~$4,577 | +3953.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,835,446 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 3× the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,835,446 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $256,764 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $291,877 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $204,910 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $197,745 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.