LOCKWOOD RD TX 78653
| Owner | ARELLANO SIPRIANO & TERESA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0218800301 |
| Short ID | 214436 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 3,484 SF |
| Land SF | 1,439,658 SF |
| Acres | 33.050 |
| Year Built | 1994 |
| Legal | ABS 438 SUR 35 JENNINGS G C ACR 32.05 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN307 |
| Land | $1,286,890 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,286,890 |
| Improvement | $362,721 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $362,721 |
| Market | $1,649,611 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,649,611 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,294,994 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $354,617 |
| Exemptions (−) (HS,OV65) | −$209,083 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $145,534 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +398.6% from $330,839 (2021) to $1,649,611 (2025), a CAGR of 49.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +479.4%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $2,589. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 40.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($354,617) is $1,294,994 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 78% of market value ($1,286,890 land vs $362,721 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~32-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,649,611, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $597,708 (P25 $207,536 / P75 $1,442,275, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +70.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $23,974,040 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $8,393. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 3,484 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,540 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 944 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 803 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 528 SF | ✓ |
| SO | Sketch Only | 400 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 121 | WATER/SEWER INF | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Unit (prop_id) | Owner | Address | Market Value | Assessed Value | Taxable Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214436 | ARELLANO SIPRIANO & TERESA | 19919 LOCKWOOD RD MANOR 78653 | $323,642 | $323,642 | $113,645 |
| 368856 | ARELLANO SIPRIANO & TERESA | 31.050 | $1,142,583 | $29,584 | $29,584 |
| 839781 | LEE VERONICA K & | 19915 LOCKWOOD RD 78653 | — | — | — |
Market value changed by 91% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $273.61 | $273.61 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $208.07 | $208.07 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $107.63 | $107.63 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $52.95 | $52.95 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $36.62 | $36.62 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $678.88 | $678.88 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,466,225 | $1,649,611 | -11.1% |
| Assessed Value | $353,226 | $354,617 | -0.4% |
| Land Value | $1,178,233 | $1,286,890 | -8.4% |
| Improvement Value | $287,992 | $362,721 | -20.6% |
| Taxable Value | $143,229 | $145,534 | -1.6% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,112,999 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,548
Estimated
|
~$679
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,466,225 | $1,466,225 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $145,278 | $143,229 | -2,049 (-1.4%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,466,225 | $1,178,233 | $287,992 | −$1,112,999 | $353,226 | $143,229 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,649,611 | $1,286,890 | $362,721 | −$1,294,994 | $354,617 | $145,534 | ~$679 | Partial |
| 2024 | $537,183 | — | — | −$498,539 | $38,644 | $— | $931 | Verified |
| 2023 | $528,412 | — | — | −$514,768 | $13,644 | $— | $827 | Verified |
| 2022 | $331,105 | — | — | −$317,461 | $13,644 | $— | $1,165 | Verified |
| 2021 | $330,839 | — | — | −$322,129 | $8,710 | $— | $1,056 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -8.4% | +16.9% | 2.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.8% | +19.7% | 2.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +4910.0% ! | -14.5% | 1.7% | 0.0600% | Verified |
| 2023 | -13.6% | -13.6% | ~100% | 0.0800% | Verified |
| 2022 | -90.9% ! | -87.3% | ~100% | 0.1200% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 71.5% | 0.3200% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +296.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -11.1% | +51.5% | +75.1% | +207.1% | 2025 | -11.1% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 24.1% | 10.3% | — | 24.1% | 2026 | 2.6% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0400% | 0.0400% | — | 0.0400% | 2025 | 0.0400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$679 | $931 | ~$7,532 | $1,165 | 2022 | $679 | 2025 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$2,817,432 | ~$390,079 | ~1.7168% | ~$6,697 | +70.8% |
| 2027 | ~$4,811,998 | ~$429,087 | ~1.6550% | ~$7,101 | +191.7% |
| 2028 | ~$8,218,591 | ~$471,995 | ~1.5932% | ~$7,520 | +398.2% |
| 2029 | ~$14,036,838 | ~$519,195 | ~1.5314% | ~$7,951 | +750.9% |
| 2030 | ~$23,974,040 | ~$571,114 | ~1.4695% | ~$8,393 | +1353.3% |
| 2026 | ~$2,784,440 | ~$390,079 | ~1.7787% | ~$6,938 | +68.8% |
| 2027 | ~$4,699,960 | ~$429,087 | ~1.7787% | ~$7,632 | +184.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,933,238 | ~$471,995 | ~1.7787% | ~$8,395 | +380.9% |
| 2029 | ~$13,390,810 | ~$519,195 | ~1.7787% | ~$9,235 | +711.8% |
| 2030 | ~$22,602,847 | ~$571,114 | ~1.7787% | ~$10,158 | +1270.2% |
| 2026 | ~$2,850,424 | ~$390,079 | ~1.6859% | ~$6,576 | +72.8% |
| 2027 | ~$4,925,355 | ~$429,087 | ~1.5932% | ~$6,836 | +198.6% |
| 2028 | ~$8,510,705 | ~$471,995 | ~1.5004% | ~$7,082 | +415.9% |
| 2029 | ~$14,705,964 | ~$519,195 | ~1.4077% | ~$7,309 | +791.5% |
| 2030 | ~$25,410,985 | ~$571,114 | ~1.3150% | ~$7,510 | +1440.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,649,611 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +176% above the county median of $597,708. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,649,611 | $207,536 | $597,708 | $1,442,275 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $537,183 | $217,016 | $597,296 | $1,446,593 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $528,412 | $167,963 | $453,916 | $1,078,522 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $331,105 | $180,794 | $446,888 | $1,009,883 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $330,839 | $33,611 | $103,166 | $247,000 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.