7916 DECKER LN TX 78724
| Owner | METZ DARREN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0221430303 |
| Short ID | 546140 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 20 Small Store (<10,000 SF) |
| Valuation | Income |
| Improvement SF | 9,020 SF |
| Land SF | 128,546 SF |
| Acres | 2.951 |
| Year Built | 2020 |
| Legal | LOT 1 BLK A DECKER LANE BUSINESS PARK |
| Neighborhood | 20EAS |
| Land | $192,818 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $192,818 |
| Improvement | $1,152,771 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $1,152,771 |
| Market | $1,345,589 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,345,589 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,345,589 |
| Taxable Value | $1,345,589 |
|---|
| Total Due | $1,800.59 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | — |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +772.3% from $154,255 (2021) to $1,345,589 (2025), a CAGR of 71.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +24.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $23,934. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the income approach, so changes in rent roll or occupancy move the appraisal more directly than they would for a cost-approach property.
Value Composition: Land carries 14% of market value ($192,818 land vs $1,152,771 improvements), about $1/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~6 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $1,345,589, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +71.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $20,172,230 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $31,846. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $1,800.59 in unpaid taxes . These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
5 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 17,400 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 9,020 SF | ✓ |
| 591 | MASONRY TRIM SF | 550 SF | ✗ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 80 SF | ✗ |
| 482 | LIGHT POLES | 2 SF | ✓ |
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +423 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +135 |
| Austin Community College | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +28 |
| Manor ISD | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0 |
| Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $14,551.20 | $13,599.26 | $951.94 |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $5,057.33 | $4,726.47 | $330.86 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,588.10 | $1,484.21 | $103.89 |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1,391.34 | $1,300.32 | $91.02 |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1,345.59 | $1,257.56 | $88.03 |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $23,933.56 | $22,367.82 | $1,565.74 |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,373,051 | $1,345,589 | +2.0% |
| Assessed Value | $1,373,051 | $1,345,589 | +2.0% |
| Land Value | $192,818 | $192,818 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $1,180,233 | $1,152,771 | +2.4% |
| Taxable Value | $1,373,051 | $1,345,589 | +2.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$24,422
Estimated
|
$23,934 | ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,373,051 | $1,373,051 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $1,373,051 | $1,373,051 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,373,051 | $192,818 | $1,180,233 | — | $1,373,051 | $1,373,051 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $1,345,589 | $192,818 | $1,152,771 | — | $1,345,589 | $1,345,589 | $23,934 | Verified |
| 2024 | $1,401,927 | — | — | −$1,209,109 | $192,818 | $— | $24,363 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,068,593 | — | — | −$875,775 | $192,818 | $— | $23,668 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,236,080 | — | — | −$1,043,262 | $192,818 | $— | $21,026 | Verified |
| 2021 | $154,255 | — | — | — | $192,818 ! | $— | $25,043 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +2.0% | +2.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -4.2% | -4.2% | ~100% | 1.7800% | Verified |
| 2024 | +0.2% | +0.2% | ~100% | 1.7400% | Verified |
| 2023 | +31.2% | +31.2% | ~100% | 1.6900% | Verified |
| 2022 | -13.5% | -13.5% | ~100% | 1.9700% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | 16.2300% | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +8.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +2.0% | +143.4% | +71.2% | +701.3% | 2022 | -13.5% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 62.1% | — | 125.0% | 2021 | 13.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.7800% | 1.7800% | — | 1.7800% | 2025 | 1.7800% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $23,934 | $23,607 | ~$28,581 | $25,043 | 2021 | $21,026 | 2022 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$2,312,495 | ~$1,480,148 | ~1.7168% | ~$25,412 | +71.9% |
| 2027 | ~$3,974,194 | ~$1,628,163 | ~1.6550% | ~$26,946 | +195.3% |
| 2028 | ~$6,829,947 | ~$1,790,979 | ~1.5932% | ~$28,534 | +407.6% |
| 2029 | ~$11,737,770 | ~$1,970,077 | ~1.5314% | ~$30,169 | +772.3% |
| 2030 | ~$20,172,230 | ~$2,167,085 | ~1.4695% | ~$31,846 | +1399.1% |
| 2026 | ~$2,285,583 | ~$1,480,148 | ~1.7787% | ~$26,327 | +69.9% |
| 2027 | ~$3,882,232 | ~$1,628,163 | ~1.7787% | ~$28,960 | +188.5% |
| 2028 | ~$6,594,259 | ~$1,790,979 | ~1.7787% | ~$31,856 | +390.1% |
| 2029 | ~$11,200,839 | ~$1,970,077 | ~1.7787% | ~$35,041 | +732.4% |
| 2030 | ~$19,025,456 | ~$2,167,085 | ~1.7787% | ~$38,545 | +1313.9% |
| 2026 | ~$2,339,406 | ~$1,480,148 | ~1.6859% | ~$24,954 | +73.9% |
| 2027 | ~$4,067,232 | ~$1,628,163 | ~1.5932% | ~$25,940 | +202.3% |
| 2028 | ~$7,071,184 | ~$1,790,979 | ~1.5004% | ~$26,873 | +425.5% |
| 2029 | ~$12,293,778 | ~$1,970,077 | ~1.4077% | ~$27,733 | +813.6% |
| 2030 | ~$21,373,646 | ~$2,167,085 | ~1.3150% | ~$28,496 | +1488.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,345,589 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — -5% below the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,345,589 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↓ Below median | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $1,401,927 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,068,593 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↓ Below median | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $1,236,080 | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | ↑ Above median | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $154,255 | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.