9200 HILL LN TX 78653
| Owner | DG MANOR DOWNS PROPERTY OWNER LP |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0242500113 |
| Short ID | 247973 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 31 Night Club / Bar |
| Valuation | Income |
| Improvement SF | 13,935 SF |
| Land SF | 1,931,015 SF |
| Acres | 44.330 |
| Year Built | 1950 |
| Legal | ABS 732 SUR 51 SANDERS R G ACR 44.330 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _AACRE |
| Land | $4,433,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $4,433,000 |
| Improvement | $173,241 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $173,241 |
| Market | $4,606,241 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $4,606,241 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$964,756 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $3,641,485 |
| Taxable Value | $3,641,485 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +180.5% from $1,642,209 (2023) to $4,606,241 (2025), a CAGR of 67.5% over 2 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +0.2%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $64,770. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($3,641,485) is $964,756 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the income approach, so changes in rent roll or occupancy move the appraisal more directly than they would for a cost-approach property.
Value Composition: Land carries 96% of market value ($4,433,000 land vs $173,241 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~76-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $4,606,241, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,417,484 (P25 $649,268 / P75 $3,347,260, n=13,608). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +67.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2025 certified trend, projected forward from 2025), the model projects market value near $60,693,506 by 2030, with an estimated annual tax burden around $86,183. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
18 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 45,450 SF | ✗ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 41,680 SF | ✗ |
| MISC | Miscellaneous | 16,800 SF | ✓ |
| 301 | BARN SF | 14,296 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 12,747 SF | ✓ |
| 611 | TERRACE | 12,559 SF | ✗ |
| 881 | COMMCL FINISHOUT | 7,344 SF | ✓ |
| 327 | STORAGE COMM'L | 7,156 SF | ✓ |
| 541 | FENCE COMM LF | 4,950 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,188 SF | ✓ |
| 483 | LIVING QUARTERS | 640 SF | ✓ |
| SO | Sketch Only | 525 SF | ✗ |
| 513C | DECK COVERD COMM | 478 SF | ✗ |
| 273 | COLDSTG VAULT SM | 430 SF | ✓ |
| 435 | FENCE IRON LF | 60 SF | ✗ |
| 482 | LIGHT POLES | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 299 | ALL FLAT VALUE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 522C | FIREPLACE COMM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Market value changed by 82% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $39,379.02 | $39,379.02 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $13,686.34 | $13,686.34 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $4,297.79 | $4,297.79 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $3,765.30 | $3,765.30 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $3,641.49 | $3,641.49 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $64,769.94 | $64,769.94 | Paid |
| 2026 Certified Certified | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $5,166,934 | $4,606,241 | +12.2% |
| Assessed Value | $4,369,782 | $3,641,485 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $4,433,000 | $4,433,000 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $733,934 | $173,241 | +323.6% |
| Taxable Value | $4,369,782 | $3,641,485 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$797,152 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$77,724
Estimated
|
~$64,770
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2026 Certified Certified | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $5,166,934 | $5,166,934 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Taxable Value | $4,369,782 | $4,369,782 | +0 (+0.0%) |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5,166,934 | $4,433,000 | $733,934 | −$797,152 | $4,369,782 | $4,369,782 | Not yet — post-cert | Certified — no billing yet |
| 2025 | $4,606,241 | $4,433,000 | $173,241 | −$964,756 | $3,641,485 | $3,641,485 | ~$64,770 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,528,809 | — | — | — | — | $— | $52,653 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,642,209 | — | — | −$1,642,208 | $1 | $— | $42,693 | Verified |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | — | $— | $22,772 | Verified |
| 2021 | $— | — | — | — | — | $— | $25,137 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +12.2% | +20.0% | 84.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 79.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +82.2% ! | +20.0% | 65.9% | 1.1400% | Verified |
| 2023 | +54.0% | +497.9% | ~100% | 1.6900% | Verified |
| 2022 | -33.2% | -65.9% | 25.8% | 1.3900% | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 50.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +87.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +12.2% | +49.5% | +63.8% | +82.2% | 2025 | +12.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 84.6% | 54.6% | — | 84.6% | 2026 | 0.0% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.4100% | 1.4100% | — | 1.4100% | 2025 | 1.4100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$64,770 | $53,372 | ~$77,348 | $64,770 | 2025 | $42,693 | 2023 |
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ~$7,714,464 | ~$4,005,634 | ~1.7168% | ~$68,770 | +67.5% |
| 2027 | ~$12,920,071 | ~$4,406,197 | ~1.6550% | ~$72,923 | +180.5% |
| 2028 | ~$21,638,343 | ~$4,846,817 | ~1.5932% | ~$77,219 | +369.8% |
| 2029 | ~$36,239,577 | ~$5,331,498 | ~1.5314% | ~$81,644 | +686.7% |
| 2030 | ~$60,693,506 | ~$5,864,648 | ~1.4695% | ~$86,183 | +1217.6% |
| 2026 | ~$7,622,339 | ~$4,005,634 | ~1.7787% | ~$71,247 | +65.5% |
| 2027 | ~$12,613,334 | ~$4,406,197 | ~1.7787% | ~$78,372 | +173.8% |
| 2028 | ~$20,872,359 | ~$4,846,817 | ~1.7787% | ~$86,209 | +353.1% |
| 2029 | ~$34,539,271 | ~$5,331,498 | ~1.7787% | ~$94,830 | +649.8% |
| 2030 | ~$57,155,075 | ~$5,864,648 | ~1.7787% | ~$104,313 | +1140.8% |
| 2026 | ~$7,806,589 | ~$4,005,634 | ~1.6859% | ~$67,532 | +69.5% |
| 2027 | ~$13,230,492 | ~$4,406,197 | ~1.5932% | ~$70,199 | +187.2% |
| 2028 | ~$22,422,841 | ~$4,846,817 | ~1.5004% | ~$72,724 | +386.8% |
| 2029 | ~$38,001,900 | ~$5,331,498 | ~1.4077% | ~$75,052 | +725.0% |
| 2030 | ~$64,405,057 | ~$5,864,648 | ~1.3150% | ~$77,118 | +1298.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $4,606,241 places it in the top 25% for Commercial properties in Travis County (13608 comparable) — 3× the county median of $1,417,484. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $4,606,241 | $649,268 | $1,417,484 | $3,347,260 | ↑ Top 25% | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $2,528,809 | $661,016 | $1,438,465 | $3,471,171 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,642,209 | $667,828 | $1,414,358 | $3,374,900 | ↑ Above median | +9.7% |
| 2022 | — | $553,066 | $1,215,730 | $2,939,150 | — | +3.3% |
| 2021 | — | $517,750 | $1,142,600 | $2,780,453 | — | base yr |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.